SCOTLAND › PREMIERSHIP
17.10.2026 14:00
Rugby Park

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Kilmarnock Win 0%
Draw 0%
Motherwell Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kilmarnock1.58
Motherwell1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
WWDLW
13 GF / 17 GA
Motherwell Motherwell
WLDWL
22 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
4
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
10
4
Shots on Goal
3.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 9 matches
Motherwell Motherwell 15 matches
Kilmarnock Statistic Motherwell
3 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
4 Losses 7
13 Goals For 22
17 Goals Against 27
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
4 BTTS Yes 7
6 Over 1.5 13
5 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 4
4 Shots On Goal 3.15
9.86 Total Shots 8.31
4.86 Corners 3.69
42.4% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kilmarnock won 3 times, Motherwell won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:23 from Kilmarnock's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Kilmarnock 4-2-3-1 / Motherwell 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Kilmarnock wins 3, draws 6, Motherwell wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 14:4 10 18
L W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 8:4 4 16
W W W W W
3 7 4 1 2 14:8 6 13
D L W W W
4 7 3 1 3 9:7 2 10
W L D L W
5 7 3 1 3 8:9 -1 10
L L L W D
6 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D L W D L
7 7 2 2 3 7:8 -1 8
D W D L L
8 7 2 2 3 9:11 -2 8
W D L W L
9 7 2 2 3 9:11 -2 8
L L L W D
10 7 2 1 4 8:11 -3 7
D L L L W
11 7 1 3 3 6:9 -3 6
D W D L L
12 7 1 2 4 6:15 -9 5
D W D L L
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)