SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
17.10.2026 14:00
Rugby Park

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Kilmarnock Win 0%
Draw 0%
Motherwell Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kilmarnock1.59
Motherwell1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
WWDLW
11 GF / 16 GA
Motherwell Motherwell
WLDWL
21 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.62
2.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
3
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
8
4
Shots on Goal
2.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 7 matches
Motherwell Motherwell 13 matches
Kilmarnock Statistic Motherwell
2 Wins 5
1 Draws 3
4 Losses 5
11 Goals For 21
16 Goals Against 21
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
2.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
3 BTTS Yes 6
5 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 2.91
10.6 Total Shots 7.36
5 Corners 3.09
44.8% Ball Possession 42.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kilmarnock won 3 times, Motherwell won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:23 from Kilmarnock's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Kilmarnock 4-1-3-2 / Motherwell 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Kilmarnock wins 3, draws 6, Motherwell wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 13:3 10 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 0 1 12:5 7 12
W W W W L
3 5 3 1 1 8:5 3 10
L W D W W
4 5 3 1 1 6:4 2 10
W W W L D
5 5 2 2 1 8:5 3 8
L W D D W
6 6 2 1 3 7:6 1 7
L D L W W
7 5 2 1 2 8:8 0 7
W D L L W
8 5 2 0 3 7:9 -2 6
L L W W L
9 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
D L W L L
10 5 1 1 3 2:7 -5 4
D L L L W
11 5 0 2 3 3:7 -4 2
D L L D L
12 5 0 1 4 4:14 -10 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)