Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Kilmarnock Win 0%
Draw 0%
Motherwell Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kilmarnock2.15
Motherwell2.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kilmarnock
WWDLW
11 GF / 11 GA
Motherwell
WLDWL
13 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.75
Average Goals Scored
1.63
2.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
3
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
4
5
Shots on Goal
2
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Kilmarnock
4 matches
Motherwell
8 matches
| Kilmarnock | Statistic | Motherwell |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 11 | Goals For | 13 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 2.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 2.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 2 |
| 8.5 | Total Shots | 3.33 |
| 4 | Corners | 1.67 |
| 40.5% | Ball Possession | 34.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kilmarnock won 3 times, Motherwell won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:23 from Kilmarnock's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Kilmarnock 4-3-1-2 / Motherwell 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Kilmarnock wins 3, draws 6, Motherwell wins 6
Last matches: Kilmarnock
09.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
5
L
02.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
3
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Linfield
3
2
W
01.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Glentoran
4
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
4
1
W
12.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
3
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
1
5
L
21.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
04.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
1
5
L
31.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0
4
L
Last matches: Motherwell
13.08.26
UEF
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
0
D
06.08.26
UEF
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
2
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
3
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Genk
3
4
L
05.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Aarhus
0
4
L
16.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
1
3
L
07.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
ST Mirren
5
0
W
H2H: Kilmarnock vs Motherwell
24.01.26
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
4
0
L
22.11.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
3
L
30.08.25
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
2
D
14.05.25
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
3
0
L
05.04.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2
0
W
08.01.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0
0
D
20.12.24
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
18.08.24
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
1
0
L
03.02.24
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
04.11.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
0
W
26.08.23
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
1
L
06.05.23
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
0
L
25.02.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
1
D
23.12.22
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
2
D
27.08.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2
1
W
Last matches: Kilmarnock
09.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
5
L
12.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
31.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
3
L
20.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
0
1
L
06.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
0
3
L
29.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
3
L
29.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
18.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
0
3
L
04.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
W
14.09.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
2
L
23.08.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
0
0
D
02.08.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
2
D
H2H at home: Kilmarnock
22.11.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
3
L
05.04.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2
0
W
08.01.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0
0
D
04.11.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
0
W
25.02.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
1
D
27.08.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2
1
W
Last matches: Motherwell
06.08.26
UEF
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
2
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
3
0
W
05.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Aarhus
0
4
L
16.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
1
3
L
07.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
ST Mirren
5
0
W
31.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
Livingston
2
0
W
10.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
1
1
D
27.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
0
1
L
13.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
0
0
D
03.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
0
D
22.11.25
Pre
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
3
1
W
09.11.25
Pre
Motherwell
Aberdeen
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pre
Motherwell
Livingston
2
1
W
05.10.25
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
L
H2H away: Motherwell
22.11.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
3
W
05.04.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2
0
L
08.01.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0
0
D
04.11.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
0
L
25.02.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
1
D
27.08.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2
1
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Motherwell
Away
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 12 |
Kilmarnock
Home
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)