SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
29.08.2026 14:00
Rugby Park
Referee: N. Walsh
Kilmarnock
Match Timeline
Dundee Utd
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Bert Esselink
Dundee Utd
12'
E. Agyei · Assist: M. Merghem
Dundee Utd
🔄
18'
R. Deas ↔ G. Stanger
Kilmarnock
🟨
35'
Cathal McCarthy
Kilmarnock
36'
Z. Sapsford
Dundee Utd
🟨
38'
Zachary Sapsford
Dundee Utd
41'
W. Ferry · Assist: M. Merghem
Dundee Utd
🟨
43'
Joe Hugill
Kilmarnock
🔄
46'
J. Meier ↔ J. Brandon
Kilmarnock
🔄
46'
N. Clescenco ↔ D. Daniels
Kilmarnock
🔄
63'
T. John-Jules ↔ C. Burke
Kilmarnock
🔄
63'
M. O'Hara ↔ B. Rice
Kilmarnock
🔄
63'
M. Merghem ↔ J. Randall
Dundee Utd
🔄
63'
A. Yoro ↔ L. Rose
Dundee Utd
🟨
69'
William Ferry
Dundee Utd
🔄
74'
Z. Sapsford ↔ N. Farrugia
Dundee Utd
77'
J. Randall · Assist: W. Ferry
Dundee Utd
🔄
79'
D. Bennie ↔ D. Naamo
Dundee Utd
🟨
90+2'
Bailey Rice
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.4%
Odds 2.41
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.77
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.4%
2.41
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.77
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.5%
1.18
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Kilmarnock Win 77.4%
Draw 15.2%
Dundee Utd Win 7.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kilmarnock2.65
Dundee Utd1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
WWDLW
11 GF / 11 GA
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd
WLDWL
3 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.75
Average Goals Scored
0.75
2.75
Average Goals Conceded
2.5
3
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
2
5
Shots on Goal
2.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 4 matches
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 4 matches
Kilmarnock Statistic Dundee Utd
2 Wins 0
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 3
11 Goals For 3
11 Goals Against 10
2.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
2.75 Avg Goals Conceded 2.5
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 2
5 Shots On Goal 2.67
8.5 Total Shots 15
4 Corners 4.33
40.5% Ball Possession 57%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kilmarnock won 8 times, Dundee Utd won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:15 from Kilmarnock's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.6%)
Predicted formations: Kilmarnock 4-4-2 / Dundee Utd 4-3-3
H2H summary: Kilmarnock wins 8, draws 5, Dundee Utd wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 14:3 11 18
W W W W W
2 6 4 1 1 7:4 3 13
W W W W L
3 5 4 0 1 12:5 7 12
W W W W L
4 6 3 1 2 8:6 2 10
L L W D W
5 5 2 2 1 8:5 3 8
L W D D W
6 6 2 1 3 7:6 1 7
L D L W W
7 6 2 1 3 8:9 -1 7
L W D L L
8 5 2 0 3 7:9 -2 6
L L W W L
9 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
D L W L L
10 5 1 1 3 2:7 -5 4
D L L L W
11 5 0 2 3 3:7 -4 2
D L L D L
12 5 0 1 4 4:14 -10 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)