SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
09.08.2026 12:30
Rugby Park
Referee: R. Lee
Kilmarnock
Match Timeline
Celtic
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
K. Hogh · Assist: A. Engels
Celtic
🟨
26'
Joe Hugill
Kilmarnock
33'
K. Hogh · Assist: B. Nygren
Celtic
35'
K. Hogh · Assist: C. Duran
Celtic
🔄
46'
A. Johnston ↔ C. Donovan
Celtic
47'
B. Nygren
Celtic
56'
M. Schjonning-Larsen · Assist: T. Lowery
Kilmarnock
🔄
64'
C. Duran ↔ S. Tounekti
Celtic
🔄
74'
M. Schjonning-Larsen ↔ M. O'Hara
Kilmarnock
🔄
74'
B. Nygren ↔ J. Forrest
Celtic
🔄
74'
Yang Hyun-Jun ↔ L. McCowan
Celtic
🔄
75'
T. John-Jules ↔ B. Rice
Kilmarnock
75'
L. McCowan
Celtic
🔄
82'
K. Hogh ↔ C. Osmand
Celtic

Kilmarnock vs Celtic Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.6%
-
BTTS Yes
78.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kilmarnock Win 57.6%
Draw 3.7%
Celtic Win 38.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kilmarnock2.64
Celtic1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
WWDLW
10 GF / 6 GA
Celtic Celtic
WLDWL
6 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
3.33
Average Goals Scored
1.2
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
2
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
2
4
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3 matches
Celtic Celtic 5 matches
Kilmarnock Statistic Celtic
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 3
1 Losses 1
10 Goals For 6
6 Goals Against 8
3.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
2 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 4
7 Total Shots 18
3 Corners 9
45% Ball Possession 65%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kilmarnock won 2 times, Celtic won 12 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:43 from Kilmarnock's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Kilmarnock 4-3-1-2 / Celtic 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Kilmarnock wins 2, draws 1, Celtic wins 12

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 14:3 11 18
W W W W W
2 6 4 1 1 7:4 3 13
W W W W L
3 5 4 0 1 12:5 7 12
W W W W L
4 6 3 1 2 8:6 2 10
L L W D W
5 5 2 2 1 8:5 3 8
L W D D W
6 6 2 1 3 7:6 1 7
L D L W W
7 6 2 1 3 8:9 -1 7
L W D L L
8 5 2 0 3 7:9 -2 6
L L W W L
9 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
D L W L L
10 5 1 1 3 2:7 -5 4
D L L L W
11 5 0 2 3 3:7 -4 2
D L L D L
12 5 0 1 4 4:14 -10 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)