Kilmarnock
Match Timeline
Celtic
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
1 agree /
0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Kilmarnock Win 57.6%
Draw 3.7%
Celtic Win 38.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kilmarnock2.64
Celtic1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kilmarnock
WWDLW
10 GF / 6 GA
Celtic
WLDWL
6 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
3.33
Average Goals Scored
1.2
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
2
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
2
4
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Kilmarnock
3 matches
Celtic
5 matches
| Kilmarnock | Statistic | Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 3 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 10 | Goals For | 6 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 3.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.6 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 7 | Total Shots | 18 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 45% | Ball Possession | 65% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kilmarnock won 2 times, Celtic won 12 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:43 from Kilmarnock's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Kilmarnock 4-3-1-2 / Celtic 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Kilmarnock wins 2, draws 1, Celtic wins 12
Stats
Kilmarnock
Celtic
Shots on Goal
6
6
Shots on Goal
16
16
Shots off Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
10
10
Blocked Shots
2
2
Blocked Shots
7
7
Lineups
Kilmarnock
Formation
Celtic
M. Stryjek
J. Brandon
G. Stanger
J. Yfeko
M. Schjonning-Larsen
E. Ring
A. Tshibola
T. Lowery
G. Kiltie
J. Hugill
T. John-Jules
V. Sinisalo
A. Johnston
C. Carter-Vickers
A. Trusty
K. Tierney
C. McGregor
A. Engels
C. Duran
B. Nygren
Yang Hyun-Jun
K. Hogh
Kilmarnock
4-3-1-2
Starting XI
1
M. Stryjek
G
2
J. Brandon
D
14
G. Stanger
D
15
J. Yfeko
D
21
M. Schjonning-Larsen
D
⚽ 56'
↓ 74'
8
E. Ring
M
36
A. Tshibola
M
18
T. Lowery
M
🎯 56'
11
G. Kiltie
M
9
J. Hugill
F
🟨 26'
10
T. John-Jules
F
↓ 75'
Substitutes
12
C. Ferrie
G
7
R. McKenzie
M
20
N. Clescenco
F
27
I. Owen
F
5
M. O'Hara
↑ 74'
22
J. Thomson
49
B. Rice
M
↑ 75'
25
E. Schilte-Brown
D
39
E. Bowie
D
Celtic
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
V. Sinisalo
G
2
A. Johnston
D
↓ 46'
20
C. Carter-Vickers
D
6
A. Trusty
D
63
K. Tierney
D
42
C. McGregor
M
27
A. Engels
M
🎯 2'
11
C. Duran
M
🎯 35'
↓ 64'
8
B. Nygren
M
⚽ 47'
🎯 33'
↓ 74'
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
M
↓ 74'
9
K. Hogh
F
⚽ 2'
⚽ 33'
⚽ 35'
↓ 82'
Substitutes
31
R. Doohan
G
49
J. Forrest
M
↑ 74'
17
S. Tounekti
F
↑ 64'
21
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
M
41
R. Hatate
M
14
L. McCowan
M
⚽ 75'
↑ 74'
47
D. Murray
D
19
C. Osmand
F
↑ 82'
51
C. Donovan
D
↑ 46'
Last matches: Kilmarnock
02.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
3
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Linfield
3
2
W
01.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Glentoran
4
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
4
1
W
12.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
3
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
1
5
L
21.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
04.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
1
5
L
31.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0
4
L
10.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
1
1
D
Last matches: Celtic
19.08.26
UEF
Celtic
Lask Linz
3
0
W
03.08.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Celtic
AC Milan
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
Celtic
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Celtic
Sporting CP
1
4
L
07.07.26
Fri
Celtic
Shelbourne
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3
1
W
13.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
3
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Rangers
3
1
W
03.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Celtic
ST Mirren
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee Utd
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
3
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Aberdeen
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Rangers
2
2
D
26.02.26
UEF
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
1
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
1
4
L
H2H: Kilmarnock vs Celtic
09.08.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
5
L
15.02.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
09.11.25
H2H
Celtic
Kilmarnock
4
0
L
14.09.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
2
L
12.04.25
H2H
Celtic
Kilmarnock
5
1
L
18.01.25
H2H
Celtic
Kilmarnock
2
1
L
10.11.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
0
2
L
04.08.24
H2H
Celtic
Kilmarnock
4
0
L
15.05.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
0
5
L
17.02.24
H2H
Celtic
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
10.12.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
1
W
07.10.23
H2H
Celtic
Kilmarnock
3
1
L
20.08.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
0
W
16.04.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
4
L
14.01.23
H2H
Celtic
Kilmarnock
2
0
L
Last matches: Kilmarnock
12.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
31.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
3
L
20.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
0
1
L
06.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
0
3
L
29.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
3
L
29.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
18.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
0
3
L
04.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
W
14.09.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
2
L
23.08.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
0
0
D
02.08.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
2
D
H2H at home: Kilmarnock
09.08.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
5
L
15.02.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
14.09.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
2
L
10.11.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
0
2
L
15.05.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
0
5
L
10.12.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
1
W
20.08.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
0
W
16.04.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
4
L
Last matches: Celtic
14.07.26
Fri
Celtic
Sporting CP
1
4
L
07.07.26
Fri
Celtic
Shelbourne
1
1
D
13.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
3
2
W
03.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
2
1
W
05.04.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee Utd
0
2
L
04.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Aberdeen
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Rangers
2
2
D
26.02.26
UEF
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Kilmarnock
3
2
W
25.01.26
Pre
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
2
2
D
22.01.26
UEF
Celtic
Bologna
2
2
D
14.01.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
1
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
0
2
L
27.12.25
Pre
Celtic
Livingston
4
2
W
17.12.25
Pre
Celtic
Dundee Utd
1
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
2
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Celtic
Feyenoord
3
1
W
22.11.25
Pre
Celtic
ST Mirren
1
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
Celtic
FC Midtjylland
1
3
L
H2H away: Celtic
09.08.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
5
W
15.02.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
W
14.09.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
2
W
10.11.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
0
2
W
15.05.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
0
5
W
10.12.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
1
L
20.08.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
0
L
16.04.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
4
W