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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
03.10.2026 14:00
Aggborough Stadium
Kidderminster Harriers
Match Timeline
Sutton Utd
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
C. Stewart
Kidderminster Harriers
🟨
31'
C. Harries
Kidderminster Harriers
🟨
48'
S. Brits
Sutton Utd
🔄
61'
A. MacDonald ↔ R. Hall
Kidderminster Harriers
🔄
61'
S. Folarin ↔ D. Ogbonna
Sutton Utd
🔄
62'
B. Njoku ↔ T. Babalola
Sutton Utd
🔄
66'
Z. Brown ↔ M. Brogan
Kidderminster Harriers
🔄
74'
N. Nzuzi ↔ C. Bell
Sutton Utd
🔄
74'
K. Donkor ↔ D. Urpens
Sutton Utd
🔄
79'
C. Dolan ↔ C. Mahoney
Kidderminster Harriers
🔄
79'
C. Stewart ↔ L. Amantchi
Kidderminster Harriers
⚽
88'
O. Mussa · Assist: T. Babalola
Sutton Utd

Kidderminster Harriers vs Sutton Utd Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 46.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
46.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Kidderminster Harriers Win 46.1%
Draw 15.3%
Sutton Utd Win 38.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kidderminster Harriers1.55
Sutton Utd1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers
WWDLW
26 GF / 11 GA
Sutton Utd Sutton Utd
WLDWL
26 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.44
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
5
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 15 matches
Sutton Utd Sutton Utd 18 matches
Kidderminster Harriers Statistic Sutton Utd
8 Wins 9
4 Draws 4
3 Losses 5
26 Goals For 26
11 Goals Against 23
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
5 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 16
6 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Kidderminster Harriers's more proactive style and Sutton Utd's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Sutton Utd. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sutton Utd having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sutton Utd arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Kidderminster Harriers Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 18 points from 9 games, Kidderminster Harriers bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 13:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Sutton Utd Analysis

With 16 points from 9 games and a place of 6, Sutton Utd still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 10:10 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Kidderminster Harriers won 1 times, Sutton Utd won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Kidderminster Harriers's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.7%)
H2H summary: Kidderminster Harriers wins 1, draws 0, Sutton Utd wins 1

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 11 2 0 34:13 21 35
W W W W W
2 13 9 1 3 29:17 12 28
W W W W L
3 13 8 3 2 31:19 12 27
W W D L W
4 13 7 4 2 32:15 17 25
W W D W W
5 13 7 3 3 27:18 9 24
W W D W W
6 13 8 0 5 20:19 1 24
W L W W W
7 13 7 2 4 24:18 6 23
W L L W L
8 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
W W W W W
9 13 7 0 6 15:19 -4 21
W L W L W
10 13 6 2 5 22:15 7 20
W W D L D
11 13 5 5 3 15:12 3 20
D D L L D
12 13 5 3 5 18:16 2 18
L L L W L
13 13 5 3 5 14:18 -4 18
L D L D D
14 13 4 5 4 23:20 3 17
D W W L L
15 13 4 3 6 20:20 0 15
L W L W D
16 12 4 3 5 19:22 -3 15
L D D L D
17 13 4 3 6 14:20 -6 15
L L D L W
18 13 4 2 7 21:30 -9 14
L W W L W
19 13 3 3 7 17:24 -7 12
L L D W L
20 13 4 0 9 12:19 -7 12
W L L L L
21 13 3 3 7 15:23 -8 12
L L D L W
22 12 3 1 8 15:21 -6 10
L L W L L
23 13 2 1 10 13:35 -22 7
L L W L L
24 13 1 1 11 8:31 -23 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation