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NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
12.10.2026 17:00
KFUM Arena
Referee: Marius Lien
KFUM Oslo
Match Timeline
Valerenga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
26'
Aaron Kiil Olsen · Assist: Ghayas Zahid
Valerenga
⚽
31'
Bilal Njie · Assist: Jonas Lange Hjorth
KFUM Oslo
🟨
53'
Magnus Westergaard
Valerenga
⚽
55'
Bjorn Martin Kristensen
KFUM Oslo
🟨
59'
Ghayas Zahid
Valerenga
🔄
61'
Magnus Westergaard ↔ Fidel Brice Ambina
Valerenga
🔄
61'
Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren ↔ Mathias Grundetjern
Valerenga
🔄
72'
Ghayas Zahid ↔ Odin Thiago Holm
Valerenga
🔄
73'
Bilal Njie ↔ Rasmus Eggen Vinge
KFUM Oslo
🔄
74'
Bjorn Martin Kristensen ↔ Magnus Grødem
KFUM Oslo
🔄
83'
Ola Visted ↔ David Hickson Gyedu
KFUM Oslo
🔄
83'
Aaron Kiil Olsen ↔ Ivan Nasberg
Valerenga
🔄
83'
Jonas Lange Hjorth ↔ Amin Nouri
KFUM Oslo
🔄
83'
Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter ↔ Gabriel Rajkovic
Valerenga
🔄
89'
Amin Nouri ↔ Robin Rasch
KFUM Oslo

KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.62
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.59
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.5%
1.62 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.59 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
KFUM Oslo Win 43.8%
Draw 24.8%
Valerenga Win 31.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
KFUM Oslo1.44
Valerenga1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo
WWDLW
34 GF / 53 GA
Valerenga Valerenga
WLDWL
58 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.87
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.84
17
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
19
3.95
Shots on Goal
5.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 29 matches
Valerenga Valerenga 31 matches
KFUM Oslo Statistic Valerenga
8 Wins 12
7 Draws 7
14 Losses 12
34 Goals For 58
53 Goals Against 57
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.87
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.84
17 BTTS Yes 19
25 Over 1.5 26
15 Over 2.5 19
9 Over 3.5 15
6 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 7
3.95 Shots On Goal 5.33
10.33 Total Shots 16.1
4.05 Corners 6.86
44.6% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Valerenga. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with KFUM Oslo expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Valerenga in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Valerenga having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

KFUM Oslo Analysis

From their first 21 matches, KFUM Oslo have collected 25 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, while the 25:35 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Njie (5 goals), H. Hoseth (3 goals), M. Eikrem (2 goals), with creative support from J. Hjorth (3 assists), M. Eikrem (2 assists), M. Vinjor (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Valerenga Analysis

From their first 21 matches, Valerenga have collected 23 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 34:43 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Haren (8 goals), M. Grundetjern (5 goals), M. Ofkir (4 goals), with creative support from H. Bjørdal (7 assists), M. Grundetjern (4 assists), K. Finnsson (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, KFUM Oslo won 0 times, Valerenga won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from KFUM Oslo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.2%)
Predicted formations: KFUM Oslo 3-4-3 / Valerenga 4-4-2
Missing players: KFUM Oslo 6, Valerenga 1
H2H summary: KFUM Oslo wins 0, draws 2, Valerenga wins 2

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W W W D W
2 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W L W W W
3 22 11 6 5 41:30 11 39
D W L L D
4 22 11 4 7 46:34 12 37
D L W W W
5 22 10 4 8 40:31 9 34
D W W W L
6 22 10 3 9 30:31 -1 33
D L W W L
7 22 9 2 11 39:34 5 29
L W L L D
8 22 8 5 9 26:33 -7 29
D D D L W
9 22 7 7 8 28:31 -3 28
W L D D D
10 22 8 4 10 27:36 -9 28
W W W L L
11 22 7 5 10 33:46 -13 26
W L L L D
12 22 6 6 10 22:28 -6 24
D W L D D
13 22 6 5 11 35:45 -10 23
L D L D L
14 22 4 9 9 35:50 -15 21
L W L W L
15 22 5 4 13 22:43 -21 19
L L L W D
16 22 4 4 14 24:48 -24 16
L L W L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen