NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
KFUM Arena
Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad, Norway
KFUM Oslo
Match Timeline
Tromso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
44'
Magnus Grødem
KFUM Oslo
🔄
46'
R. Rasch ↔ T. Soras
KFUM Oslo
🔄
64'
H. Hoseth ↔ S. Sjokvist
KFUM Oslo
🔄
65'
T. Haltvik ↔ S. Hestnes
KFUM Oslo
🔄
68'
D. Braut ↔ L. O. Larsen
Tromso
🔄
74'
V. Skjaervik ↔ I. Vadebu
Tromso
🔄
77'
M. Grodem ↔ M. Eikrem
KFUM Oslo
🟨
84'
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal
Tromso
🔄
84'
M. Vinjor ↔ B. Kristensen
KFUM Oslo
🔄
84'
J. Hjerto-Dahl ↔ S. Prestmo
Tromso

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.5%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
KFUM Oslo Win 34.3%
Draw 12.5%
Tromso Win 53.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
KFUM Oslo1.1
Tromso1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo
WWDLW
20 GF / 28 GA
Tromso Tromso
WLDWL
23 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
9
BTTS Yes
5
8
Over 2.5
5
4.7
Shots on Goal
5.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 16 matches
Tromso Tromso 17 matches
KFUM Oslo Statistic Tromso
4 Wins 10
5 Draws 5
7 Losses 2
20 Goals For 23
28 Goals Against 15
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
9 BTTS Yes 5
14 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 10
3 Failed To Score 4
4.7 Shots On Goal 5.25
11.4 Total Shots 13.42
4.1 Corners 5.83
46.9% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Tromso's more proactive style and KFUM Oslo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tromso. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with KFUM Oslo expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Tromso in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tromso having the stronger overall control. KFUM Oslo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Tromso carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 23 points while KFUM Oslo sit 14 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

KFUM Oslo Analysis

KFUM Oslo sit 14 with 8 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 10:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on T. Haltvik (3 goals), Hakon Helland Hoseth (2 goals), M. Grodem (2 goals), with creative support from J. Hjorth (2 assists), M. Vinjor (2 assists), T. Haltvik (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tromso Analysis

Tromso come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 23 points from 11 matches. The record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 17:13 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Hjerto-Dahl (5 goals), H. Larsen (3 goals), A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd (2 goals), with creative support from R. Jenssen (5 assists), J. Hjerto-Dahl (1 assists), H. Larsen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, KFUM Oslo won 3 times, Tromso won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:16 from KFUM Oslo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: KFUM Oslo 3-4-3 / Tromso 5-3-2
Missing players: KFUM Oslo 5, Tromso 3
H2H summary: KFUM Oslo wins 3, draws 5, Tromso wins 4

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 14 2 2 47:14 33 44
W W W W W
2 18 14 1 3 42:18 24 43
W L W W D
3 18 10 5 3 34:20 14 35
D L W W W
4 18 9 3 6 36:29 7 30
W W L D W
5 18 8 2 8 36:27 9 26
D W W L W
6 18 8 2 8 24:25 -1 26
L D L L L
7 18 8 2 8 22:28 -6 26
W W W W L
8 18 7 3 8 27:26 1 24
L W W L W
9 18 6 5 7 20:23 -3 23
D L L D W
10 18 6 5 7 26:32 -6 23
D L D W L
11 18 6 3 9 31:38 -7 21
L D L L W
12 18 5 4 9 15:23 -8 19
D W L L L
13 18 5 4 9 20:31 -11 19
L D W W L
14 18 4 4 10 17:29 -12 16
D L W L L
15 18 2 9 7 28:43 -15 15
L D D L D
16 18 3 4 11 20:39 -19 13
W L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen