NORWAY ELITESERIEN
26.07.2026 15:00
KFUM Arena
Referee: Sivert Amland, Norway
KFUM Oslo
Match Timeline
Molde
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
R. E. Vinge · Assist: B. Skaret
KFUM Oslo
40'
D. Daga
Molde
🟨
45+5'
Eirik Franke Saunes
KFUM Oslo
🟨
45+5'
Tore Andre Soras
KFUM Oslo
🟨
45+2'
Magnus Grødem
KFUM Oslo
🟨
45+5'
Emil Breivik
Molde
VAR
45'
Jalal Abdullai
Molde
🟨
46'
Mathias Løvik
Molde
🔄
46'
R. Rasch ↔ M. Vinjor
KFUM Oslo
🔄
46'
M. Grodem ↔ B. Kristensen
KFUM Oslo
58'
E. Breivik · Assist: S. Granaas
Molde
60'
B. Njie
KFUM Oslo
🟨
63'
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter
Molde
VAR
63'
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter
Molde
🔄
69'
R. E. Vinge ↔ D. Hickson
KFUM Oslo
🔄
69'
M. Lovik ↔ M. Linnes
Molde
🔄
69'
O. Spiten-Nysaeter ↔ C. Zady
Molde
🔄
69'
D. Daga ↔ M. Enggaard
Molde
🔄
75'
J. Abdullai ↔ T. Kone-Doherty
Molde
🔄
79'
B. Njie ↔ M. Eikrem
KFUM Oslo
🔄
83'
E. Hestad ↔ S. Diop
Molde
85'
M. Linnes · Assist: E. Breivik
Molde
VAR
87'
Martin Linnes
Molde
🔄
88'
J. Hjorth ↔ T. Haltvik
KFUM Oslo
90'
S. Kabini · Assist: T. Kone-Doherty
Molde

KFUM Oslo vs Molde Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.7%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
KFUM Oslo Win 43.8%
Draw 6.3%
Molde Win 49.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
KFUM Oslo1.17
Molde1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo
WWDLW
22 GF / 39 GA
Molde Molde
WLDWL
37 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
11
BTTS Yes
15
10
Over 2.5
13
4.08
Shots on Goal
4.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 21 matches
Molde Molde 22 matches
KFUM Oslo Statistic Molde
4 Wins 9
6 Draws 5
11 Losses 8
22 Goals For 37
39 Goals Against 30
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
11 BTTS Yes 15
18 Over 1.5 17
10 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 4
4.08 Shots On Goal 4.54
10.62 Total Shots 13.23
4.15 Corners 5
46.4% Ball Possession 57.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Molde's more proactive style and KFUM Oslo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Molde. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Molde carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 20 points while KFUM Oslo sit 13 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with KFUM Oslo expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Molde in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Molde having the stronger overall control. KFUM Oslo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

KFUM Oslo Analysis

KFUM Oslo sit 13 with 12 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats with a 13:21 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Magnus Grødem (2 goals), Teodor Haltvik (2 goals), Simen Hestnes (1 goals), with creative support from Jonas Lange Hjorth (2 assists), Simen Hestnes (1 assists), Magnus Wolff Eikrem (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Molde Analysis

Molde arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 20 points after 13 matches. The record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 21:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Emil Breivik (4 goals), Eirik Hestad (4 goals), Fredrik Gulbrandsen (4 goals), with creative support from Emil Breivik (2 assists), Eirik Hestad (2 assists), Sondre Milian Granaas (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, KFUM Oslo won 2 times, Molde won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:14 from KFUM Oslo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: KFUM Oslo 3-4-1-2 / Molde 4-2-3-1
Missing players: KFUM Oslo 4, Molde 3
H2H summary: KFUM Oslo wins 2, draws 2, Molde wins 2

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 2 2 52:17 35 50
W W W W W
2 20 15 2 3 51:20 31 47
W D W L W
3
Molde Away
21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
4 20 10 5 5 37:27 10 35
L L D L W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 20 10 2 8 28:26 2 32
W W L D L
7 20 8 3 9 24:31 -7 27
D L W W W
8 20 8 2 10 37:31 6 26
L L D W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 20 6 5 9 27:41 -14 23
L L D L D
12 20 6 4 10 33:42 -9 22
L D L D L
13 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
14 20 5 5 10 18:27 -9 20
L D D W L
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16 20 4 4 12 22:41 -19 16
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen