AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lecce Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.65
Lecce1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan
WWDLW
11 GF / 9 GA
Lecce
WLDWL
11 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
4
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
3
4.5
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AC Milan
6 matches
Lecce
8 matches
| AC Milan | Statistic | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 3 |
| 11 | Goals For | 11 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 17.5 | Total Shots | 12.33 |
| 3 | Corners | 4.33 |
| 58.5% | Ball Possession | 40% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 11 times, Lecce won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:13 from AC Milan's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-4-2-1 / Lecce 3-5-2
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 11, draws 4, Lecce wins 0
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
AC Milan
Home
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
W
W
|
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 13 |
Lecce
Away
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
L
W
|
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
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Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation