NORWAY ELITESERIEN
13.09.2026 15:00
KFUM Arena

KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 64.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
64.8%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
KFUM Oslo Win 36%
Draw 28.8%
Aalesund Win 35.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
KFUM Oslo1.47
Aalesund1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo
WWDLW
29 GF / 51 GA
Aalesund Aalesund
WLDWL
47 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
2.07
15
BTTS Yes
20
13
Over 2.5
17
3.89
Shots on Goal
5.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 27 matches
Aalesund Aalesund 27 matches
KFUM Oslo Statistic Aalesund
6 Wins 7
7 Draws 9
14 Losses 11
29 Goals For 47
51 Goals Against 56
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 2.07
15 BTTS Yes 20
23 Over 1.5 25
13 Over 2.5 17
8 Over 3.5 13
6 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 3
3.89 Shots On Goal 5.16
10.42 Total Shots 15.58
4.11 Corners 5.05
44.6% Ball Possession 43.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with KFUM Oslo expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Aalesund in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aalesund having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Aalesund.

KFUM Oslo Analysis

KFUM Oslo sit 13 with 19 points after 18 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, while the 20:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Bilal Njie (4 goals), Magnus Wolff Eikrem (2 goals), Rasmus Eggen Vinge (2 goals), with creative support from Magnus Wolff Eikrem (2 assists), Robin Rasch (2 assists), Jonas Lange Hjorth (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aalesund Analysis

Aalesund sit 14 with 18 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 30:43, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Christensen (7 goals), E. Osenbroch (5 goals), Kristian Lonebu (3 goals), with creative support from E. Osenbroch (4 assists), U. Charles (3 assists), M. Christensen (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, KFUM Oslo won 0 times, Aalesund won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:13 from KFUM Oslo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.3%)
Predicted formations: KFUM Oslo 3-4-3 / Aalesund 5-3-2
Missing players: KFUM Oslo 7, Aalesund 5
H2H summary: KFUM Oslo wins 0, draws 1, Aalesund wins 4

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 15 2 2 49:15 34 47
W W W W W
2 19 14 2 3 43:19 24 44
D W L W W
3 19 10 5 4 34:22 12 35
L D L W W
4 19 10 3 6 38:29 9 33
W W W L D
5 19 9 2 8 26:26 0 29
W L D L L
6 19 8 3 8 31:26 5 27
W L W W L
7 19 8 2 9 37:29 8 26
L D W W L
8 19 8 2 9 23:30 -7 26
L W W W W
9 19 6 6 7 22:25 -3 24
D D L L D
10 19 6 5 8 26:36 -10 23
L D L D W
11 19 6 4 9 33:40 -7 22
D L D L L
12 19 5 5 9 16:24 -8 20
D D W L L
13 19 5 4 10 19:29 -10 19
W D L W L
14 19 5 4 10 20:33 -13 19
L L D W W
15 19 3 9 7 30:43 -13 18
W L D D L
16 19 3 4 12 20:41 -21 13
L W L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen