ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Keflavik
Match Timeline
KA Akureyri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
E. Ragnarsson
Keflavik
27'
S. Magnusson
Keflavik
32'
D. Valsson · Assist: A. Johannesson
Keflavik
36'
S. Ljubicic
Keflavik
🟨
45'
M. M. Petursson
KA Akureyri
🔄
46'
J. Pedersen ↔ M. Thordarson
KA Akureyri
🟨
50'
M. Brigic
Keflavik
🟨
53'
A. Magnusson
Keflavik
🟨
55'
A. Romer
KA Akureyri
🟨
62'
E. Ragnarsson
Keflavik
🟥
62'
E. Ragnarsson
Keflavik
🟨
64'
B. Baxter
Keflavik
🔄
65'
V. Saevarsson ↔ D. Montiel
KA Akureyri
🔄
66'
A. Palsson ↔ S. Kroon
KA Akureyri
🔄
77'
B. Baxter ↔ E. Bjarnason
Keflavik
🔄
77'
D. Valsson ↔ M. Mudrazija
Keflavik
🔄
81'
A. Romer ↔ S. Kristinsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
81'
J. Robertsson ↔ D. Djuric
KA Akureyri
🔄
84'
A. Conteh ↔ B. Gudlaugsson
Keflavik
🟨
84'
M. Thordarson
KA Akureyri
🔄
89'
S. Ljubicic ↔ A. Adalbjorssnos
Keflavik
🔄
89'
S. Magnusson ↔ V. A. Traustason
Keflavik

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.1%
Odds 1.99
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.34
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.1%
1.99
BTTS Yes
88%
1.33
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.34
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
7.00
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Keflavik Win 80.1%
Draw 6.4%
KA Akureyri Win 13.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Keflavik1.71
KA Akureyri1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Keflavik Keflavik
WWDLW
25 GF / 33 GA
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri
WLDWL
26 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.53
2.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.94
14
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Keflavik Keflavik 16 matches
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 17 matches
Keflavik Statistic KA Akureyri
5 Wins 5
4 Draws 3
7 Losses 9
25 Goals For 26
33 Goals Against 33
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
2.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.94
14 BTTS Yes 12
14 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KA Akureyri. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KA Akureyri having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Keflavik Analysis

Keflavik are currently 6 in the standings with 19 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 25:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

KA Akureyri Analysis

KA Akureyri are currently 9 in the standings with 15 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 24:32 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Keflavik won 4 times, KA Akureyri won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:28 from Keflavik's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Keflavik - / KA Akureyri 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Keflavik wins 4, draws 4, KA Akureyri wins 7
Last matches: Keflavik
24.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
5
L
20.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IA Akranes
5
2
W
13.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Breidablik
1
2
L
06.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
1
D
28.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
3
2
W
21.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Valur Reykjavik
1
1
D
14.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
1
2
L
31.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
6
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Thor Akureyri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Stjarnan
1
1
D
08.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IA Akranes
3
1
W
03.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
L
26.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
2
1
W
22.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Breidablik
0
0
D
17.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
3
L
12.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
2
3
L
Last matches: KA Akureyri
27.07.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Thor Akureyri
0
0
D
19.07.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
2
D
12.07.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
IA Akranes
3
2
W
02.07.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
3
L
28.06.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Stjarnan
1
3
L
21.06.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Breidablik
1
3
L
15.06.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Fram Reykjavik
3
4
L
31.05.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
KR Reykjavik
3
5
L
22.05.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Valur Reykjavik
0
1
L
17.05.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
FH hafnarfjordur
2
1
W
10.05.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
0
W
02.05.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Thor Akureyri
1
0
W
26.04.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Keflavik
1
2
L
22.04.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
IA Akranes
1
1
D
17.04.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
2
L
12.04.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Stjarnan
2
3
L
01.03.26
Fri
KA Akureyri
Strommen
2
1
W
31.07.25
UEF
KA Akureyri
Silkeborg
2
3
L
23.07.25
UEF
KA Akureyri
Silkeborg
1
1
D
H2H: Keflavik vs KA Akureyri
26.04.26
H2H
KA Akureyri
Keflavik
1
2
W
20.09.23
H2H
KA Akureyri
Keflavik
4
2
L
24.07.23
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
3
4
L
23.04.23
H2H
KA Akureyri
Keflavik
0
0
D
04.02.23
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
2
1
W
24.07.22
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
1
3
L
02.05.22
H2H
KA Akureyri
Keflavik
3
2
L
11.08.21
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
3
1
W
03.08.21
H2H
KA Akureyri
Keflavik
2
1
L
17.05.21
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
1
4
L
29.02.20
H2H
KA Akureyri
Keflavik
1
2
W
12.08.18
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
0
3
L
22.05.18
H2H
KA Akureyri
Keflavik
0
0
D
16.08.16
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
0
0
D
04.06.16
H2H
KA Akureyri
Keflavik
1
1
D
Last matches: Keflavik
20.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IA Akranes
5
2
W
06.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
1
D
28.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
3
2
W
14.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
1
2
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Thor Akureyri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Stjarnan
1
1
D
03.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
L
22.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Breidablik
0
0
D
H2H at home: Keflavik
24.07.23
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
3
4
L
04.02.23
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
2
1
W
24.07.22
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
1
3
L
11.08.21
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
3
1
W
17.05.21
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
1
4
L
12.08.18
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
0
3
L
16.08.16
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
0
0
D
Last matches: KA Akureyri
19.07.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
2
D
02.07.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
3
L
28.06.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Stjarnan
1
3
L
21.06.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Breidablik
1
3
L
31.05.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
KR Reykjavik
3
5
L
17.05.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
FH hafnarfjordur
2
1
W
02.05.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Thor Akureyri
1
0
W
22.04.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
IA Akranes
1
1
D
01.03.26
Fri
KA Akureyri
Strommen
2
1
W
23.07.25
UEF
KA Akureyri
Silkeborg
1
1
D
H2H away: KA Akureyri
24.07.23
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
3
4
W
04.02.23
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
2
1
L
24.07.22
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
1
3
W
11.08.21
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
3
1
L
17.05.21
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
1
4
W
12.08.18
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
0
3
W
16.08.16
H2H
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.18
Draw 4.18
Home 1.99
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.75
Home 2.44
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.34
Over 3.0 1.48
Over 3.25 1.67
Over 3.5 1.85
Over 3.75 2.04
Over 4.0 2.35
Over 4.25 2.50
Over 4.5 2.85
Over 5.5 4.89
Under 1.5 5.89
Under 2.5 3.20
Under 3.0 2.63
Under 3.25 2.21
Under 3.5 1.97
Under 3.75 1.78
Under 4.0 1.59
Under 4.25 1.52
Under 4.5 1.41
Under 5.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 3.75
Home 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.62
Home 2.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 3.00
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 2.5 1.33
Over 3.5 1.80
Over 4.5 2.75
Over 5.5 4.50
Over 6.5 7.50
Over 7.5 10.50
Over 8.5 17.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 7.00
Under 2.5 3.25
Under 3.5 1.91
Under 4.5 1.40
Under 5.5 1.17
Under 6.5 1.07
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 4.05
Home 1.98
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.42
Draw 2.55
Home 2.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.99
Home 2.21
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.04
Over 1.75 1.05
Over 2.0 1.06
Over 2.25 1.17
Over 2.5 1.27
Over 2.75 1.34
Over 3.0 1.42
Over 3.25 1.61
Over 3.5 1.82
Over 3.75 2.00
Over 4.0 2.26
Over 4.25 2.53
Over 4.5 2.70
Over 4.75 3.23
Over 5.0 4.10
Over 5.25 4.45
Over 5.5 4.75
Over 6.0 8.10
Over 6.5 7.50
Over 7.5 10.50
Over 8.5 17.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 25.00
Under 1.0 11.50
Under 1.5 7.10
Under 1.75 6.60
Under 2.0 6.10
Under 2.25 4.07
Under 2.5 3.14
Under 2.75 2.88
Under 3.0 2.55
Under 3.25 2.17
Under 3.5 1.94
Under 3.75 1.77
Under 4.0 1.53
Under 4.25 1.45
Under 4.5 1.36
Under 4.75 1.27
Under 5.0 1.16
Under 5.25 1.14
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.0 1.02
Under 6.5 1.07
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 3.65
Home 2.05
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.55
Home 2.45
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.35
Over 3.5 1.90
Over 4.5 3.00
Under 2.5 2.80
Under 3.5 1.74
Under 4.5 1.30

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 14 2 1 56:14 42 44
D W L W W
2 17 11 4 2 43:29 14 37
W D W W D
3 16 11 2 3 58:36 22 35
W W D L W
4 17 8 5 4 35:27 8 29
L W D W W
5 17 6 1 10 28:35 -7 19
L L L L W
6 17 5 4 8 28:36 -8 19
D W L L L
7 16 5 4 7 25:33 -8 19
L W L D W
8 17 5 3 9 32:43 -11 18
W L L D W
9 17 4 4 9 27:36 -9 16
L L D L W
10 16 4 3 9 24:32 -8 15
D D W L L
11 17 4 3 10 18:42 -24 15
W D W L D
12 16 2 7 7 20:31 -11 13
D D W D D