ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: S. Arnarsson
Keflavik
Match Timeline
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
S. Ljubicic · Assist: E. Ragnarsson
Keflavik
🟨
27'
M. Al Ghoul
Keflavik
🔄
62'
S. Hardarson ↔ V. Valgeirsson
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🔄
65'
B. Baxter ↔ M. Simicic
Keflavik
🔄
65'
D. Valsson ↔ A. Conteh
Keflavik
🔄
72'
M. Tomic ↔ R. Hlynsson
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🟨
81'
F. Fridriksson
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🔄
82'
S. Ljubicic ↔ M. Mudrazija
Keflavik
🔄
86'
A. Kristinsson ↔ A. Vokes
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🔄
89'
E. Ragnarsson ↔ B. Gudlaugsson
Keflavik

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.8%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Keflavik Win 65.8%
Draw 4.7%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Win 29.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Keflavik1.79
IBV Vestmannaeyjar1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Keflavik Keflavik
WWDLW
30 GF / 34 GA
IBV Vestmannaeyjar IBV Vestmannaeyjar
WLDWL
32 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
2.1
14
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Keflavik Keflavik 19 matches
IBV Vestmannaeyjar IBV Vestmannaeyjar 20 matches
Keflavik Statistic IBV Vestmannaeyjar
7 Wins 5
4 Draws 5
8 Losses 10
30 Goals For 32
34 Goals Against 42
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 2.1
14 BTTS Yes 16
16 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward IBV Vestmannaeyjar. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. IBV Vestmannaeyjar arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward IBV Vestmannaeyjar having the stronger overall control.

Keflavik Analysis

Keflavik approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 25 points after 19 outings. They have recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a 30:34 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Analysis

IBV Vestmannaeyjar approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 17 points from 18 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 29:38 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Keflavik won 5 times, IBV Vestmannaeyjar won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:31 from Keflavik's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Keflavik - / IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Keflavik wins 5, draws 4, IBV Vestmannaeyjar wins 6

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 3 1 64:18 46 51
W W D D W
2 21 13 5 3 54:40 14 44
D W W L W
3 20 13 4 3 72:45 27 43
W D W D W
4 21 8 6 7 42:39 3 30
L L D L L
5 21 8 4 9 32:36 -4 28
L W W L W
6 21 7 6 8 36:40 -4 27
D D W W D
7 21 8 3 10 40:48 -8 27
W W L W W
8 21 7 3 11 37:44 -7 24
D L D W L
9 21 4 9 8 27:38 -11 21
W D L W D
10 21 5 3 13 21:50 -29 18
W L L L W
11 21 4 5 12 30:43 -13 17
L L L D L
12 21 4 5 12 33:47 -14 17
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs