ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: J. I. Jonsson
Keflavik
Match Timeline
IA Akranes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
28'
R. Sigurjonsson ↔ B. Berndsen
IA Akranes
34'
B. Baxter
Keflavik
36'
E. Ragnarsson · Assist: A. Conteh
Keflavik
52'
S. Ljubicic
Keflavik
54'
E. Ragnarsson
Keflavik
🟨
56'
M. Al Ghoul
Keflavik
🟨
56'
A. Magnusson
Keflavik
57'
V. Jonsson
IA Akranes
🔄
61'
S. Thorsteinsson ↔ J. Vall
IA Akranes
🔄
61'
G. Thorarinsson ↔ G. Unnarsson
IA Akranes
🔄
61'
O. Stefansson ↔ M. P. Ellertsson
IA Akranes
🟨
68'
V. Jonsson
IA Akranes
🔄
76'
A. Conteh ↔ M. Mudrazija
Keflavik
🔄
76'
S. Ljubicic ↔ D. Valsson
Keflavik
🔄
77'
V. Jonsson ↔ R. Thrastarson
IA Akranes
🔄
83'
A. Kralj ↔ E. Bjarnason
Keflavik
🔄
83'
S. Magnusson ↔ A. Johannesson
Keflavik
🟨
86'
B. Berndsen
IA Akranes
🟨
86'
G. Eyjolfsson
IA Akranes
86'
M. Al Ghoul
Keflavik
🔄
87'
A. Magnusson ↔ E. Karlsson
Keflavik
90+2'
R. Thrastarson
IA Akranes

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.1%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Keflavik Win 36.9%
Draw 19.6%
IA Akranes Win 43.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Keflavik1.62
IA Akranes1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Keflavik Keflavik
WWDLW
19 GF / 26 GA
IA Akranes IA Akranes
WLDWL
19 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
2
12
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Keflavik Keflavik 14 matches
IA Akranes IA Akranes 14 matches
Keflavik Statistic IA Akranes
4 Wins 4
4 Draws 3
6 Losses 7
19 Goals For 19
26 Goals Against 28
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 2
12 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors IA Akranes. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward IA Akranes having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Keflavik Analysis

Keflavik are currently 7 in the standings with 11 points from 9 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 12:18 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

IA Akranes Analysis

So far, IA Akranes have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 12 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 12:16 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Keflavik won 7 times, IA Akranes won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:15 from Keflavik's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.64 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.4%)
Predicted formations: Keflavik 4-2-3-1 / IA Akranes -
H2H summary: Keflavik wins 7, draws 1, IA Akranes wins 3
Last matches: Keflavik
15.08.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Thor Akureyri
2
0
W
09.08.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Stjarnan
0
1
L
05.08.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
3
0
W
24.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
5
L
13.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Breidablik
1
2
L
06.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
1
D
28.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
3
2
W
21.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Valur Reykjavik
1
1
D
14.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
1
2
L
31.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
6
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Thor Akureyri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Stjarnan
1
1
D
08.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IA Akranes
3
1
W
03.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
L
26.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
2
1
W
22.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Breidablik
0
0
D
17.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
3
L
12.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
2
3
L
Last matches: IA Akranes
16.08.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
3
1
W
09.08.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
2
0
W
02.08.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
2
D
26.07.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Stjarnan
5
1
W
12.07.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
KA Akureyri
2
3
L
04.07.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Breidablik
1
2
L
29.06.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Fram Reykjavik
0
2
L
22.06.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
KR Reykjavik
3
5
L
16.06.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
1
0
W
29.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
FH hafnarfjordur
1
0
W
21.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
2
D
17.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
2
1
W
08.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Keflavik
1
3
L
03.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Stjarnan
2
1
W
27.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
4
L
22.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
KA Akureyri
1
1
D
17.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Breidablik
0
1
L
12.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Fram Reykjavik
3
3
D
H2H: Keflavik vs IA Akranes
20.07.26
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
5
2
W
08.05.26
H2H
IA Akranes
Keflavik
1
3
W
16.05.24
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
3
1
W
19.04.23
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
1
0
W
02.10.22
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
3
2
W
28.08.22
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
0
1
L
29.05.22
H2H
IA Akranes
Keflavik
0
2
W
02.10.21
H2H
IA Akranes
Keflavik
2
0
L
25.09.21
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
2
3
L
28.06.21
H2H
IA Akranes
Keflavik
2
2
D
13.03.21
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
4
1
W
Last matches: Keflavik
05.08.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
3
0
W
06.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
1
D
28.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
3
2
W
14.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
1
2
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Thor Akureyri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Stjarnan
1
1
D
03.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
L
22.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Breidablik
0
0
D
H2H at home: Keflavik
20.07.26
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
5
2
W
16.05.24
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
3
1
W
19.04.23
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
1
0
W
02.10.22
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
3
2
W
28.08.22
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
0
1
L
25.09.21
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
2
3
L
13.03.21
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
4
1
W
Last matches: IA Akranes
16.08.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
3
1
W
12.07.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
KA Akureyri
2
3
L
22.06.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
KR Reykjavik
3
5
L
29.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
FH hafnarfjordur
1
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
2
1
W
03.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Stjarnan
2
1
W
27.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
4
L
17.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Breidablik
0
1
L
12.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Fram Reykjavik
3
3
D
H2H away: IA Akranes
20.07.26
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
5
2
L
16.05.24
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
3
1
L
19.04.23
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
1
0
L
02.10.22
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
3
2
L
28.08.22
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
0
1
W
25.09.21
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
2
3
W
13.03.21
H2H
Keflavik
IA Akranes
4
1
L

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 15 3 1 62:18 44 48
W D D W L
2 19 12 4 3 67:42 25 40
D W D W W
3 18 11 4 3 45:34 11 37
L W D W W
4 19 8 6 5 39:33 6 30
D L L W D
5 19 7 4 8 33:37 -4 25
W W D W L
6 19 7 4 8 30:34 -4 25
W L W L W
7 18 7 1 10 31:36 -5 22
W L L L L
8 18 6 3 9 33:43 -10 21
W W L L D
9 19 4 5 10 30:41 -11 17
L D L L D
10 19 3 8 8 24:36 -12 17
L W D D D
11 18 4 3 11 24:36 -12 15
L L D D W
12 19 4 3 12 18:46 -28 15
L L W D W
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs