TURKEY 1. LIG
19.09.2026 14:00
Aktepe Stadium
Referee: Mehmet Turkmen, Türkiye
Keçiörengücü
Match Timeline
Sivasspor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Amilton
Sivasspor
🔄
46'
H. Ayan ↔ A. Edumondo
Keçiörengücü
48'
F. Ezeh · Assist: A. Edumondo
Keçiörengücü
🟨
53'
Y. Kefkir
Sivasspor
🔄
58'
V. Ethemi ↔ B. Kapacak
Sivasspor
🔄
58'
C. Celik ↔ S. Kavrazli
Sivasspor
🔄
61'
O. Roshi ↔ E. Yilmaz
Keçiörengücü
🔄
66'
Amilton ↔ E. Gokay
Sivasspor
73'
E. Gokay · Assist: B. Kapacak
Sivasspor
🟨
75'
E. Ceesay
Sivasspor
🟨
77'
O. Korkmaz
Keçiörengücü
🟨
77'
I. Akdag
Keçiörengücü
🟥
78'
O. Korkmaz
Keçiörengücü
🔄
79'
F. Ezeh ↔ M. Fofana
Keçiörengücü
🔄
87'
I. Karaogul ↔ H. Nabian
Keçiörengücü
🟨
89'
Wellington Nascimento
Keçiörengücü
🔄
90+7'
E. Ceesay ↔ C. Yilmaz
Sivasspor
🔄
90+7'
O. Aksoy ↔ C. Charisis
Sivasspor

Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.7%
Odds 1.85
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.7%
1.85
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.63
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.9%
1.29
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Keçiörengücü Win 79.7%
Draw 4.8%
Sivasspor Win 15.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Keçiörengücü1.95
Sivasspor1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü
WWDLW
16 GF / 9 GA
Sivasspor Sivasspor
WLDWL
8 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.29
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
5
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
4
5.43
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 7 matches
Sivasspor Sivasspor 7 matches
Keçiörengücü Statistic Sivasspor
3 Wins 1
3 Draws 4
1 Losses 2
16 Goals For 8
9 Goals Against 10
2.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
5 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 2
5.43 Shots On Goal 3.86
15.14 Total Shots 12.71
4 Corners 4.29
43.9% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Keçiörengücü's more proactive style and Sivasspor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sivasspor. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Keçiörengücü arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 12 points compared to Sivasspor in 15 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Keçiörengücü Analysis

Placed 4 with 12 points from 7 outings, Keçiörengücü continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 16:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Diouf (3 goals), İ. Akdağ (2 goals), H. Ayan (2 goals), with creative support from M. Diouf (2 assists), İ. Akdağ (1 assists), H. Ayan (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Sivasspor Analysis

With 6 points from 6 games and a place of 15, Sivasspor still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 7:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Manaj (4 goals), K. Fidan (1 goals), with creative support from B. Kapacak (2 assists), R. Manaj (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Keçiörengücü won 1 times, Sivasspor won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Keçiörengücü's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Keçiörengücü 4-2-3-1 / Sivasspor 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Keçiörengücü wins 1, draws 1, Sivasspor wins 2

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 15:3 12 19
W W W D L
2 8 6 1 1 16:7 9 19
W D W W W
3 8 5 1 2 12:7 5 16
D W W W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:13 2 16
L L W W W
5 8 4 2 2 11:9 2 14
W D L W W
6 8 3 4 1 17:10 7 13
D D W W D
7 8 3 3 2 9:5 4 12
L L W D D
8 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
W W L W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D L D D
10 8 2 5 1 8:7 1 11
D D D W W
11 8 2 4 2 12:5 7 10
L D W L D
12 8 2 4 2 10:13 -3 10
D D W L D
13 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
L D L L D
14 8 1 5 2 7:6 1 8
D W L D D
15 8 1 5 2 9:11 -2 8
D D W D L
16 8 1 3 4 6:9 -3 6
W L L L D
17 8 0 5 3 4:10 -6 5
L D L D L
18 8 1 2 5 7:19 -12 5
W L L L D
19 8 1 3 4 8:17 -9 4
L D D L D
20 8 0 1 7 3:20 -17 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation