HUNGARY NB I
--.--.---- --:--
Diosgyori Stadion
Referee: A. Molnar
Kazincbarcikai
Match Timeline
MTK Budapest
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
N. Konyves
Kazincbarcikai
🔄
46'
I. Atrok ↔ A. Molnar
MTK Budapest
🟨
49'
L. Racz
Kazincbarcikai
🟨
58'
M. Kata
MTK Budapest
🔄
64'
R. Schuszter ↔ M. Pukhtyeyev
Kazincbarcikai
🔄
64'
B. Trencsenyi ↔ M. Ubochioma
Kazincbarcikai
🔄
64'
H. Nemeth ↔ J. Plsek
MTK Budapest
🔄
69'
Z. Kerezsi ↔ M. Jurina
MTK Budapest
🔄
69'
V. Armalas ↔ B. Varju
MTK Budapest
🔄
74'
N. Konyves ↔ E. Ikoba
Kazincbarcikai
🔄
84'
G. Szoke ↔ J. Ferenczi
Kazincbarcikai
🔄
84'
B. Kartik ↔ M. Major
Kazincbarcikai
🔄
87'
G. Jurek ↔ R. Polievka
MTK Budapest

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 91%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
91%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Kazincbarcikai Win 9%
Draw 0%
MTK Budapest Win 91%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kazincbarcikai1.33
MTK Budapest1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai
WWDLW
27 GF / 67 GA
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
WLDWL
52 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
1.73
2.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.97
15
BTTS Yes
20
22
Over 2.5
22
0
Shots on Goal
4.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai 30 matches
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 30 matches
Kazincbarcikai Statistic MTK Budapest
5 Wins 9
2 Draws 8
23 Losses 13
27 Goals For 52
67 Goals Against 59
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
2.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.97
15 BTTS Yes 20
26 Over 1.5 27
22 Over 2.5 22
13 Over 3.5 17
3 Clean Sheets 6
12 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 4.03
0 Total Shots 10.27
0 Corners 3.37
0% Ball Possession 39.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MTK Budapest having the stronger overall control. Kazincbarcikai have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward MTK Budapest. MTK Budapest carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 35 points while Kazincbarcikai sit 12 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Kazincbarcikai Analysis

Kazincbarcikai sit 12 with 17 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 23 losses, together with goals at 27:63, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through B. Kartik (4 goals), M. Ubochioma (4 goals), B. Sos (2 goals), with creative support from B. Kartik (3 assists), M. Ubochioma (1 assists), B. Sos (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 12 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

MTK Budapest Analysis

From their first 30 matches, MTK Budapest have collected 35 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses, while the 50:58 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Molnar (9 goals), I. Atrok (6 goals), R. Molnar (5 goals), with creative support from I. Bognar (7 assists), Patrik Kovács (4 assists), A. Molnar (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Kazincbarcikai won 3 times, MTK Budapest won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:21 from Kazincbarcikai's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.18 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Kazincbarcikai - / MTK Budapest 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Kazincbarcikai wins 3, draws 2, MTK Budapest wins 6

Lineups

Kazincbarcikai
Formation
MTK Budapest
I. Juhasz
I. Juhasz
V. Nyiri
V. Nyiri
L. Racz
L. Racz
K. Radkowski
K. Radkowski
L. Deutsch
L. Deutsch
R. Schuszter
R. Schuszter
M. Meskhi
M. Meskhi
G. Szoke
G. Szoke
B. Trencsenyi
B. Trencsenyi
N. Konyves
N. Konyves
B. Kartik
B. Kartik
K. Hegyi
K. Hegyi
V. Armalas
V. Armalas
I. Beriashvili
I. Beriashvili
T. Kadar
T. Kadar
P. Kovacs
P. Kovacs
M. Kata
M. Kata
A. Zeljkovic
A. Zeljkovic
G. Jurek
G. Jurek
H. Nemeth
H. Nemeth
I. Atrok
I. Atrok
Z. Kerezsi
Z. Kerezsi
Kazincbarcikai 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
I. Juhasz
17
V. Nyiri
5
L. Racz
🟨 49'
21
K. Radkowski
19
L. Deutsch
18
R. Schuszter
↓ 64'
23
M. Meskhi
6
G. Szoke
↓ 84'
88
B. Trencsenyi
↓ 64'
42
N. Konyves
↓ 74' 🟨 22'
10
B. Kartik
↓ 84'
Substitutes
1
D. Gyollai
91
J. Ferenczi
↑ 84'
13
K. Polgar
12
E. Ikoba
↑ 74'
27
M. Pukhtyeyev
↑ 64'
22
P. Sebok
15
M. Major
↑ 84'
70
M. Ubochioma
↑ 64'
25
N. Baranyai
96
M. Klausz
78
L. Balazsi
MTK Budapest 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
47
K. Hegyi
26
V. Armalas
↓ 69'
4
I. Beriashvili
25
T. Kadar
27
P. Kovacs
6
M. Kata
🟨 58'
80
A. Zeljkovic
39
G. Jurek
↓ 87'
8
H. Nemeth
↓ 64'
21
I. Atrok
↓ 46'
20
Z. Kerezsi
↓ 69'
Substitutes
24
T. Fadgyas
29
J. Balazs
11
M. Jurina
↑ 69'
17
R. Polievka
↑ 87'
15
I. A. Szeles
3
J. Szepe
23
J. Plsek
↑ 64'
2
B. Varju
↑ 69'
14
A. Horvath
7
A. Molnar
↑ 46'
30
V. Vitalyos
Last matches: Kazincbarcikai
15.05.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Nyiregyhaza
2
2
D
02.05.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Kisvarda FC
2
1
W
18.04.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Zalaegerszegi TE
0
4
L
11.04.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Ujpest
0
3
L
04.04.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Paks
1
5
L
27.03.26
Fri
Kazincbarcikai
Gesztely
3
0
W
22.03.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Gyori ETO FC
1
3
L
13.03.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Diosgyori VTK
4
0
W
08.03.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Debreceni VSC
0
3
L
01.03.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Ferencvarosi TC
1
2
L
21.02.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Puskas Academy
0
2
L
15.02.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Nyiregyhaza
0
4
L
06.02.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Kisvarda FC
0
1
L
31.01.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
3
1
W
25.01.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Zalaegerszegi TE
0
1
L
17.01.26
Fri
Kazincbarcikai
FK Košice
3
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Kazincbarcikai
Karcag SE
1
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Kazincbarcikai
Zemplín Michalovce
2
2
D
21.12.25
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Ujpest
1
2
L
14.12.25
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Paks
0
2
L
Last matches: MTK Budapest
15.05.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Puskas Academy
2
2
D
02.05.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Nyiregyhaza
1
1
D
18.04.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
2
1
W
11.04.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Zalaegerszegi TE
3
0
W
04.04.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Ujpest
2
2
D
20.03.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Paks
0
2
L
13.03.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Gyori ETO FC
0
0
D
08.03.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Diosgyori VTK
1
1
D
27.02.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Debreceni VSC
2
2
D
23.02.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Ferencvarosi TC
1
3
L
14.02.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Puskas Academy
2
2
D
08.02.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Nyiregyhaza
2
4
L
31.01.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Kazincbarcikai
1
3
L
24.01.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
3
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Ajka
1
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Fehérvár FC
2
2
D
10.01.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Kozarmisleny FC
5
2
W
20.12.25
NB
MTK Budapest
Zalaegerszegi TE
1
1
D
13.12.25
NB
MTK Budapest
Ujpest
3
4
L
06.12.25
NB
MTK Budapest
Paks
1
3
L
H2H: Kazincbarcikai vs MTK Budapest
24.04.26
H2H
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
0
0
D
31.01.26
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kazincbarcikai
1
3
W
03.10.25
H2H
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
3
1
W
22.07.23
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kazincbarcikai
4
0
L
14.05.23
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kazincbarcikai
1
0
L
27.11.22
H2H
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
3
3
D
10.02.21
H2H
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
1
4
L
08.03.20
H2H
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
3
1
W
15.09.19
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kazincbarcikai
1
0
L
15.04.18
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kazincbarcikai
4
1
L
01.10.17
H2H
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
0
1
L
Last matches: Kazincbarcikai
02.05.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Kisvarda FC
2
1
W
11.04.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Ujpest
0
3
L
22.03.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Gyori ETO FC
1
3
L
08.03.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Debreceni VSC
0
3
L
21.02.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Puskas Academy
0
2
L
15.02.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Nyiregyhaza
0
4
L
25.01.26
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Zalaegerszegi TE
0
1
L
17.01.26
Fri
Kazincbarcikai
FK Košice
3
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Kazincbarcikai
Karcag SE
1
0
W
14.12.25
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Paks
0
2
L
03.12.25
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Gyori ETO FC
1
3
L
29.11.25
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Diosgyori VTK
1
1
D
09.11.25
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Ferencvarosi TC
1
3
L
01.11.25
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Puskas Academy
1
3
L
19.10.25
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Kisvarda FC
0
1
L
03.10.25
NB
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
3
1
W
20.09.25
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Ujpest
2
0
W
08.08.25
NB
Kazincbarcikai
Debreceni VSC
1
2
L
H2H at home: Kazincbarcikai
24.04.26
H2H
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
0
0
D
03.10.25
H2H
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
3
1
W
27.11.22
H2H
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
3
3
D
10.02.21
H2H
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
1
4
L
08.03.20
H2H
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
3
1
W
01.10.17
H2H
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
0
1
L
Last matches: MTK Budapest
15.05.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Puskas Academy
2
2
D
04.04.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Ujpest
2
2
D
13.03.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Gyori ETO FC
0
0
D
27.02.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Debreceni VSC
2
2
D
08.02.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Nyiregyhaza
2
4
L
24.01.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
3
2
W
20.12.25
NB
MTK Budapest
Zalaegerszegi TE
1
1
D
06.12.25
NB
MTK Budapest
Paks
1
3
L
29.11.25
NB
MTK Budapest
Gyori ETO FC
0
3
L
23.11.25
NB
MTK Budapest
Diosgyori VTK
0
4
L
01.11.25
NB
MTK Budapest
Ferencvarosi TC
1
4
L
25.10.25
NB
MTK Budapest
Puskas Academy
1
1
D
03.10.25
NB
MTK Budapest
Kazincbarcikai
1
3
L
30.08.25
NB
MTK Budapest
Ujpest
2
1
W
01.08.25
NB
MTK Budapest
Debreceni VSC
0
1
L
H2H away: MTK Budapest
24.04.26
H2H
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
0
0
D
03.10.25
H2H
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
3
1
L
27.11.22
H2H
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
3
3
D
10.02.21
H2H
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
1
4
W
08.03.20
H2H
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
3
1
L
01.10.17
H2H
Kazincbarcikai
MTK Budapest
0
1
W

Standings

NB I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 20 9 4 65:30 35 69
W W D W W
2 33 21 5 7 67:31 36 68
W W W L W
3 33 15 8 10 63:46 17 53
W W L W L
4 33 14 11 8 51:41 10 53
W L D W D
5 33 13 9 11 49:43 6 48
L L L W L
6 33 13 7 13 43:43 0 46
D W W L L
7 33 11 7 15 48:57 -9 40
L L L W W
8 33 11 7 15 36:49 -13 40
L L L L D
9 33 10 10 13 47:57 -10 40
D D W L W
10 33 9 11 13 55:62 -7 38
D D D W W
11 33 6 10 17 39:65 -26 28
L L W L L
12 33 6 4 23 31:70 -39 22
D W D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - NB II.