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WORLD › WORLD CUP - QUALIFICATION EUROPE
--.--.---- --:--
Kazakhstan
FT
0 - 1
Wales
Astana Arena
Referee: A. Hernandez
Kazakhstan
Match Timeline
Wales
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
K. Moore
Wales
🔄
65'
G. Kenzhebek ↔ I. Chesnokov
Kazakhstan
🔄
65'
K. Moore ↔ M. Harris
Wales
🔄
65'
B. Johnson ↔ D. James
Wales
🔄
77'
S. Thomas ↔ D. Brooks
Wales
🔄
77'
L. Cullen ↔ J. James
Wales
🟨
80'
Sergey Maliy
Kazakhstan
🔄
81'
N. Alip ↔ U. Zhaksybaev
Kazakhstan
🔄
86'
R. Orazov ↔ S. Muzhikov
Kazakhstan
🔄
86'
M. Samorodov ↔ D. Zhumat
Kazakhstan
🔄
86'
C. Mepham ↔ B. Cabango
Wales
🔄
87'
D. Satpaev ↔ O. Omirtaev
Kazakhstan
🟨
90+1'
Neco Williams
Wales

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Kazakhstan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Wales Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kazakhstan0.6
Wales1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kazakhstan Kazakhstan
WWDLW
3 GF / 19 GA
Wales Wales
WLDWL
19 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.33
Average Goals Scored
1.9
2.11
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
6
3
Shots on Goal
8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan 9 matches
Wales Wales 10 matches
Kazakhstan Statistic Wales
1 Wins 5
1 Draws 4
7 Losses 1
3 Goals For 19
19 Goals Against 10
0.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
2.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 2
3 Shots On Goal 8
13 Total Shots 15.25
5.33 Corners 6.5
50.3% Ball Possession 68.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Kazakhstan won 0 times, Wales won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Kazakhstan's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Kazakhstan 3-4-2-1 / Wales 4-3-3
H2H summary: Kazakhstan wins 0, draws 0, Wales wins 2
Stats
Kazakhstan Kazakhstan
Wales Wales
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
6
6 Corner Kicks 6
12 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 0
32% Ball Possession 68%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 6
8 Shots insidebox 9
6 Shots outsidebox 7
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
262 Total passes 575
201 Passes accurate 516
0.89 expected_goals 2.35
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Kazakhstan
Formation
Wales
T. Anarbekov
T. Anarbekov
A. Kasym
A. Kasym
S. Maliy
S. Maliy
N. Alip
↓
N. Alip
B. Kairov
B. Kairov
R. Orazov
↓
R. Orazov
D. Kasabulat
D. Kasabulat
Y. Vorogovskiy
Y. Vorogovskiy
D. Satpaev
↓
D. Satpaev
G. Kenzhebek
↓
G. Kenzhebek
M. Samorodov
↓
M. Samorodov
K. Darlow
K. Darlow
N. Williams
N. Williams
D. Lawlor
D. Lawlor
C. Mepham
↓
C. Mepham
B. Davies
B. Davies
H. Wilson
H. Wilson
J. Sheehan
J. Sheehan
L. Cullen
↓
L. Cullen
B. Johnson
↓
B. Johnson
K. Moore
⚽ ↓
K. Moore
S. Thomas
↓
S. Thomas
Kazakhstan 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
15
T. Anarbekov
G
6
A. Kasym
D
2
S. Maliy
🟨 80'
D
3
N. Alip
↓ 81'
D
5
B. Kairov
M
8
R. Orazov
↓ 86'
M
21
D. Kasabulat
M
11
Y. Vorogovskiy
M
19
D. Satpaev
↓ 87'
F
17
G. Kenzhebek
↓ 65'
F
10
M. Samorodov
↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
1
B. Shayzada
G
12
M. Seysen
G
4
U. Zhaksybaev
↑ 81'
D
7
S. Muzhikov
↑ 86'
M
9
I. Chesnokov
↑ 65'
M
13
D. Karaman
M
14
N. Zhagorov
M
16
M. Khalmatov
M
18
I. Sviridov
F
20
D. Zhumat
↑ 86'
M
22
S. Astanov
D
23
O. Omirtaev
↑ 87'
F
Wales 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
K. Darlow
G
3
N. Williams
🟨 90+1'
D
6
D. Lawlor
D
2
C. Mepham
↓ 86'
D
4
B. Davies
D
8
H. Wilson
M
22
J. Sheehan
M
10
L. Cullen
↓ 77'
M
11
B. Johnson
↓ 65'
F
13
K. Moore
⚽ 24' ↓ 65'
F
19
S. Thomas
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
12
T. King
G
21
A. Davies
G
5
B. Cabango
↑ 86'
D
7
D. Brooks
↑ 77'
M
9
L. Koumas
F
14
R. Norrington-Davies
D
15
R. Kpakio
D
16
C. Crew
M
17
J. James
↑ 77'
M
18
M. Harris
↑ 65'
F
20
D. James
↑ 65'
M
23
J. Colwill
M
Last matches: Kazakhstan
09.06.26
Fri
Kazakhstan
Hungary
1
3
L
06.06.26
Fri
Kazakhstan
Armenia
1
1
D
15.11.25
Wor
Kazakhstan
Belgium
1
1
D
13.10.25
Wor
Kazakhstan
FYR Macedonia
1
1
D
10.10.25
Wor
Kazakhstan
Liechtenstein
4
0
W
07.09.25
Wor
Kazakhstan
Belgium
0
6
L
09.06.25
Wor
Kazakhstan
FYR Macedonia
0
1
L
25.03.25
Wor
Kazakhstan
Liechtenstein
2
0
W
22.03.25
Wor
Kazakhstan
Wales
1
3
L
17.11.24
UEF
Kazakhstan
Norway
0
5
L
14.11.24
UEF
Kazakhstan
Austria
0
2
L
13.10.24
UEF
Kazakhstan
Slovenia
0
1
L
10.10.24
UEF
Kazakhstan
Austria
0
4
L
09.09.24
UEF
Kazakhstan
Slovenia
0
3
L
06.09.24
UEF
Kazakhstan
Norway
0
0
D
Last matches: Wales
06.06.26
Fri
Wales
Romania
1
2
L
02.06.26
Fri
Wales
Ghana
1
1
D
31.03.26
Fri
Wales
Northern Ireland
1
1
D
26.03.26
Wor
Wales
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
18.11.25
Wor
Wales
FYR Macedonia
7
1
W
15.11.25
Wor
Wales
Liechtenstein
1
0
W
13.10.25
Wor
Wales
Belgium
2
4
L
09.06.25
Wor
Wales
Belgium
3
4
L
06.06.25
Wor
Wales
Liechtenstein
3
0
W
25.03.25
Wor
Wales
FYR Macedonia
1
1
D
22.03.25
Wor
Wales
Kazakhstan
3
1
W
19.11.24
UEF
Wales
Iceland
4
1
W
16.11.24
UEF
Wales
Türkiye
0
0
D
14.10.24
UEF
Wales
Montenegro
1
0
W
11.10.24
UEF
Wales
Iceland
2
2
D
09.09.24
UEF
Wales
Montenegro
2
1
W
06.09.24
UEF
Wales
Türkiye
0
0
D
H2H: Kazakhstan vs Wales
04.09.25
H2H
Kazakhstan
Wales
0
1
L
22.03.25
H2H
Wales
Kazakhstan
3
1
L
Last matches: Kazakhstan
15.11.25
Wor
Kazakhstan
Belgium
1
1
D
10.10.25
Wor
Kazakhstan
Liechtenstein
4
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Kazakhstan
FYR Macedonia
0
1
L
14.11.24
UEF
Kazakhstan
Austria
0
2
L
13.10.24
UEF
Kazakhstan
Slovenia
0
1
L
06.09.24
UEF
Kazakhstan
Norway
0
0
D
H2H at home: Kazakhstan
04.09.25
H2H
Kazakhstan
Wales
0
1
L
Last matches: Wales
06.06.26
Fri
Wales
Romania
1
2
L
15.11.25
Wor
Wales
Liechtenstein
1
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Wales
Belgium
3
4
L
25.03.25
Wor
Wales
FYR Macedonia
1
1
D
16.11.24
UEF
Wales
Türkiye
0
0
D
11.10.24
UEF
Wales
Iceland
2
2
D
09.09.24
UEF
Wales
Montenegro
2
1
W
H2H away: Wales
04.09.25
H2H
Kazakhstan
Wales
0
1
W

Standings

Group J
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Belgium
8 5 3 0 29:7 22 18
W D W D W
2
Wales Away
8 5 1 2 21:11 10 16
W W L W L
3
FYR Macedonia
8 3 4 1 13:10 3 13
L D D W W
4
Kazakhstan Home
8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
D D W L L
5
Liechtenstein
8 0 0 8 0:31 -31 0
L L L L L
Promotion - World Cup
Promotion - World Cup (Promotion)