JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
19.09.2026 09:00
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
61.9%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kawasaki Frontale Win 42.8%
Draw 19.1%
Kashima Win 38.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kawasaki Frontale1.86
Kashima1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
WWDLW
13 GF / 9 GA
Kashima Kashima
WLDWL
14 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
2
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
6
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
6.14
Shots on Goal
4.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 7 matches
Kashima Kashima 7 matches
Kawasaki Frontale Statistic Kashima
3 Wins 4
3 Draws 0
1 Losses 3
13 Goals For 14
9 Goals Against 13
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
6 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
6.14 Shots On Goal 4.43
17.43 Total Shots 16.86
5 Corners 4.29
51.9% Ball Possession 60%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kashima. Kashima arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kawasaki Frontale expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Kashima in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kashima having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Kawasaki Frontale Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Kawasaki Frontale have collected 9 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 12:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Marcinho (3 goals), Lazar Romanić (2 goals), Y. Wakizaka (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Wakizaka (1 assists), R. Yamahara (1 assists), T. Ito (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Kashima Analysis

Kashima approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 12 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 14:13 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Léo Ceará (6 goals), A. Čavrić (4 goals), with creative support from Y. Suzuki (2 assists), Yan Matheus (2 assists), R. Ogawa (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kawasaki Frontale won 9 times, Kashima won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:19 from Kawasaki Frontale's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
Predicted formations: Kawasaki Frontale 4-2-3-1 / Kashima 4-4-2
H2H summary: Kawasaki Frontale wins 9, draws 1, Kashima wins 5

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 19:6 13 17
D W W D W
2 7 5 1 1 11:5 6 16
W W W W L
3 7 5 0 2 13:10 3 15
W L L W W
4 7 4 2 1 19:6 13 14
W L W D D
5 7 4 2 1 13:8 5 14
W W D W W
6 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
W W W L D
7 7 3 3 1 13:9 4 12
W W L W D
8 7 4 0 3 14:13 1 12
L L L W W
9 7 3 2 2 11:9 2 11
D W D L W
10 7 3 1 3 6:11 -5 10
L D W L W
11 7 2 3 2 11:9 2 9
L D W D W
12 7 3 0 4 13:17 -4 9
L W W W L
13 7 2 1 4 4:7 -3 7
W L D L L
14 7 2 1 4 9:14 -5 7
W L D L L
15 7 1 3 3 8:13 -5 6
L L D D L
16 7 2 0 5 7:13 -6 6
L L L W W
17 7 1 2 4 9:14 -5 5
L L D W L
18 7 1 1 5 9:11 -2 4
L D L L L
19 7 0 4 3 3:9 -6 4
D D L L D
20 7 1 1 5 6:16 -10 4
D W L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League