LITHUANIA A LYGA
18.07.2026 16:00
Referee: R. Smitas
Kauno Žalgiris
Match Timeline
Šiauliai
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
R. Lekiatas · Assist: I. Fiolic
Kauno Žalgiris
42'
H. Kadric · Assist: N. Iyobosa Edokpolor
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
46'
R. Lekiatas ↔ A. Tolordava
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
54'
I. Fiolic ↔ V. Slivka
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
54'
N. Iyobosa Edokpolor ↔ J. Moutachy
Kauno Žalgiris
🟨
60'
T. Svedkauskas
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
62'
L. Krekovic ↔ F. Ourega
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
65'
D. Naah ↔ Benny Silva
Šiauliai
68'
F. Ourega · Assist: H. Kadric
Kauno Žalgiris
72'
G. Sirgedas · Assist: V. Slivka
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
73'
A. Novikovas ↔ P. Pranckus
Šiauliai
🔄
73'
A. Baftalovskyi ↔ D. Dovydaitis
Šiauliai
🔄
73'
H. Beganovic ↔ G. Micevicius
Šiauliai
🟨
75'
E. Bierontas
Šiauliai
🔄
75'
M. Burba ↔ F. Cernych
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
84'
D. Romanovskij ↔ G. Micevicius
Šiauliai

Kauno Žalgiris vs Šiauliai Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.2%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kauno Žalgiris Win 72.2%
Draw 6.6%
Šiauliai Win 21.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kauno Žalgiris1.86
Šiauliai0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris
WWDLW
55 GF / 23 GA
Šiauliai Šiauliai
WLDWL
28 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.04
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.81
15
BTTS Yes
16
18
Over 2.5
14
4.5
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 29 matches
Šiauliai Šiauliai 27 matches
Kauno Žalgiris Statistic Šiauliai
16 Wins 5
8 Draws 9
5 Losses 13
55 Goals For 28
23 Goals Against 49
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.81
15 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 21
18 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 10
12 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 8
4.5 Shots On Goal 0
13.5 Total Shots 0
3.5 Corners 0
31.5% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Kauno Žalgiris's more proactive style and Šiauliai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Šiauliai arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Šiauliai having the stronger overall control. Kauno Žalgiris arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 31 points compared to Šiauliai in 9 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Šiauliai.

Kauno Žalgiris Analysis

Placed 1 with 31 points from 19 outings, Kauno Žalgiris continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 34:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Šiauliai Analysis

Šiauliai sit 9 with 13 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 18:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kauno Žalgiris won 9 times, Šiauliai won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:17 from Kauno Žalgiris's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Kauno Žalgiris 4-1-4-1 / Šiauliai -
H2H summary: Kauno Žalgiris wins 9, draws 3, Šiauliai wins 3

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 13 10 4 38:24 14 49
D L W W W
2 26 13 9 4 52:17 35 48
W W W D D
3 27 12 6 9 40:35 5 42
W L W D L
4 26 12 5 9 38:29 9 41
D W L W L
5 27 10 8 9 30:28 2 38
L L D D W
6 27 10 8 9 36:38 -2 38
L D L L W
7 28 9 5 14 29:43 -14 32
L W W W L
8 28 4 13 11 30:47 -17 25
D L D D L
9 28 3 8 17 24:56 -32 17
D L L L W
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L