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25.10.2026 14:30
Tony Bezzina Stadium
Referee: G. Tonna
Valletta FC
Match Timeline
Hamrun Spartans
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
L. Villela
Hamrun Spartans
⚽
22'
L. Villela
Hamrun Spartans
⚽
39'
L. Villela
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
46'
J. Azzopardi ↔ R. Prsa
Valletta FC
🔄
46'
E. Bicakcic ↔ Thaylor
Valletta FC
⚽
53'
E. Mbende
Valletta FC
🔄
65'
L. Villela ↔ D. Ceter
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
69'
A. Zammit ↔ K. Ewurum
Valletta FC
🔄
72'
A. Coric ↔ M. Caua de Aguiar Alves
Hamrun Spartans
🟨
80'
J. Grech
Hamrun Spartans
🟨
80'
R. Camenzuli
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
82'
P. Sekulovic ↔ Alex Tanque
Valletta FC
🔄
87'
R. Camenzuli ↔ S. Attard
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
88'
M. Ellul ↔ Y. Yankam
Valletta FC

Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Valletta FC Win 45.6%
Draw 4.6%
Hamrun Spartans Win 49.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valletta FC1.71
Hamrun Spartans1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valletta FC Valletta FC
W W W W D
11 GF / 3 GA
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans
D D D W W
11 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
6
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valletta FC Valletta FC 12 matches
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 11 matches
Valletta FC Statistic Hamrun Spartans
8 Wins 3
1 Draws 5
3 Losses 3
24 Goals For 16
15 Goals Against 14
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
6 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Valletta FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Valletta FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 19 points compared to Hamrun Spartans in 5 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Hamrun Spartans. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hamrun Spartans having the stronger overall control.

Valletta FC Analysis

Valletta FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 19 points after 8 matches. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 19:7, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Hamrun Spartans Analysis

Hamrun Spartans approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 11 points after 7 outings. They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a 11:8 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Valletta FC won 3 times, Hamrun Spartans won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:18 from Valletta FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
H2H summary: Valletta FC wins 3, draws 3, Hamrun Spartans wins 8

Standings

Premier Division: First stage - Main
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 1 2 23:9 14 25
W L W W W
2 11 6 2 3 21:14 7 20
W L L W W
3 11 5 3 3 15:14 1 18
D W W L D
4 11 4 5 2 17:13 4 17
D W D D D
5 11 4 4 3 22:15 7 16
L L D D D
6 11 4 4 3 13:15 -2 16
W D W W D
7 11 4 3 4 14:11 3 15
D W D L L
8 11 4 2 5 17:16 1 14
W W L W L
9 11 3 5 3 15:20 -5 14
L D L D D
10 11 2 5 4 13:14 -1 11
L L D L D
11 11 1 3 7 9:21 -12 6
D D W L D
12 11 0 5 6 9:26 -17 5
L D L D D
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Premier League (First stage - Play Out)