NIGERIA NPFL
--.--.---- --:--
Muhammadu Dikko Stadium
Katsina United
Match Timeline
Ikorodu City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
J. Yusuf
Katsina United
25'
A. Falolu
Katsina United
31'
J. Yusuf
Katsina United
84'
D. Agara
Katsina United
90'
Ikorodu City
Ikorodu City

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Katsina United Win 76.6%
Draw 0%
Ikorodu City Win 23.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Katsina United0.9
Ikorodu City1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Katsina United Katsina United
WWDLW
32 GF / 35 GA
Ikorodu City Ikorodu City
WLDWL
41 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1.14
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
11
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Katsina United Katsina United 36 matches
Ikorodu City Ikorodu City 36 matches
Katsina United Statistic Ikorodu City
13 Wins 16
10 Draws 10
13 Losses 10
32 Goals For 41
35 Goals Against 33
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
11 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 20
7 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 6
13 Clean Sheets 18
16 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Ikorodu City's more proactive style and Katsina United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ikorodu City. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ikorodu City having the stronger overall control.

Katsina United Analysis

Katsina United sit 9 with 49 points after 36 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, while the 32:35 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on U. Collins (10 goals), A. Falolu (3 goals), E. Akanni (3 goals), with creative support from S. Mubarak (2 assists), A. Falolu (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 11 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ikorodu City Analysis

Ikorodu City come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 58 points after 36 matches. They have recorded 16 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses, with a 41:33 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on J. Arumala (13 goals), T. Oyedokun (4 goals), A. Ayodeji (3 goals), with creative support from M. Malik (1 assists), O. Dada (1 assists), W. Ojetoye (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, which underlines a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Katsina United won 1 times, Ikorodu City won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:9 from Katsina United's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Katsina United wins 1, draws 1, Ikorodu City wins 2

Lineups

Katsina United
Formation
Ikorodu City
Z. Abdullahi
Z. Abdullahi
I. Arigu
I. Arigu
K. Jinadu
K. Jinadu
Y. Mannase
Y. Mannase
I. Muhd
I. Muhd
U. Barau
U. Barau
A. Falolu
A. Falolu
N. Ibrahim
N. Ibrahim
S. Mubarak
S. Mubarak
S. Auwal
S. Auwal
J. Yusuf
⚽ 2
J. Yusuf
M. Atata
M. Atata
K. Light
K. Light
G. Udoh
G. Udoh
A. Salawudeen
A. Salawudeen
E. Mathias
E. Mathias
D. Mse
D. Mse
A. Adeoye
A. Adeoye
T. Oyedokun
T. Oyedokun
K. Briggs
K. Briggs
F. Salami
F. Salami
A. Ayodeji
A. Ayodeji
Katsina United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Z. Abdullahi
12
I. Arigu
2
K. Jinadu
5
Y. Mannase
33
I. Muhd
4
U. Barau
8
A. Falolu
⚽ 25'
24
N. Ibrahim
18
S. Mubarak
27
S. Auwal
29
J. Yusuf
⚽ 6' ⚽ 31'
Substitutes
S. Hamisu
P. Clement
E. Uzoenyi
14
E. Akanni
A. Dali
A. Garba
D. Agara
⚽ 84'
19
B. Massally
16
I. Muhd
Ikorodu City 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
34
M. Atata
3
K. Light
37
G. Udoh
13
A. Salawudeen
6
E. Mathias
15
D. Mse
4
A. Adeoye
10
T. Oyedokun
9
K. Briggs
26
F. Salami
11
A. Ayodeji
Substitutes
1
D. Julu
32
M. Olanrewaju
27
E. Ujunwa
25
F. Temitope
24
A. Tomiwa
14
A. Moses
Last matches: Katsina United
24.05.26
NPF
Katsina United
Rivers United
0
3
L
04.05.26
NPF
Katsina United
Bendel Insurance
0
1
L
19.04.26
NPF
Katsina United
Bayelsa United
3
2
W
12.04.26
NPF
Katsina United
Enyimba
0
3
L
05.04.26
NPF
Katsina United
Niger Tornadoes
1
0
W
29.03.26
NPF
Katsina United
Barau FC
0
0
D
22.03.26
NPF
Katsina United
Shooting Stars
1
0
W
15.03.26
NPF
Katsina United
El Kanemi Warriors
1
1
D
08.03.26
NPF
Katsina United
Kwara United
1
2
L
01.03.26
NPF
Katsina United
Remo Stars
0
2
L
22.02.26
NPF
Katsina United
Enugu Rangers
0
0
D
15.02.26
NPF
Katsina United
Nasarawa United
1
0
W
09.02.26
NPF
Katsina United
Wikki Tourist
4
4
D
01.02.26
NPF
Katsina United
Abia Warriors
2
0
W
28.01.26
NPF
Katsina United
Kano Pillars
0
1
L
24.01.26
NPF
Katsina United
Plateau United
0
0
D
19.01.26
NPF
Katsina United
Warri Wolves
0
2
L
15.01.26
NPF
Katsina United
Kun Khalifat FC
2
0
W
28.12.25
NPF
Katsina United
Kun Khalifat FC
1
0
W
22.12.25
NPF
Katsina United
Rivers United
1
1
D
Last matches: Ikorodu City
24.05.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Enugu Rangers
1
2
L
05.05.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Wikki Tourist
3
1
W
19.04.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Abia Warriors
1
2
L
12.04.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Kano Pillars
3
0
W
06.04.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Plateau United
1
4
L
29.03.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Warri Wolves
4
3
W
22.03.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Kun Khalifat FC
2
2
D
16.03.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Rivers United
1
0
W
08.03.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Nasarawa United
0
1
L
01.03.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Bendel Insurance
0
4
L
22.02.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Bayelsa United
1
1
D
15.02.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Enyimba
1
0
W
08.02.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Niger Tornadoes
2
0
W
02.02.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Barau FC
0
1
L
29.01.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Shooting Stars
1
0
W
25.01.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
El Kanemi Warriors
0
1
L
18.01.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Kwara United
1
0
W
14.01.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Remo Stars
0
1
L
28.12.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Remo Stars
1
0
W
21.12.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Enugu Rangers
1
2
L
H2H: Katsina United vs Ikorodu City
10.05.26
H2H
Katsina United
Ikorodu City
4
1
W
15.12.25
H2H
Ikorodu City
Katsina United
0
0
D
10.04.25
H2H
Ikorodu City
Katsina United
6
0
L
10.11.24
H2H
Katsina United
Ikorodu City
1
2
L
Last matches: Katsina United
19.04.26
NPF
Katsina United
Bayelsa United
3
2
W
05.04.26
NPF
Katsina United
Niger Tornadoes
1
0
W
22.03.26
NPF
Katsina United
Shooting Stars
1
0
W
08.03.26
NPF
Katsina United
Kwara United
1
2
L
22.02.26
NPF
Katsina United
Enugu Rangers
0
0
D
15.02.26
NPF
Katsina United
Nasarawa United
1
0
W
01.02.26
NPF
Katsina United
Abia Warriors
2
0
W
24.01.26
NPF
Katsina United
Plateau United
0
0
D
15.01.26
NPF
Katsina United
Kun Khalifat FC
2
0
W
22.12.25
NPF
Katsina United
Rivers United
1
1
D
08.12.25
NPF
Katsina United
Bendel Insurance
0
1
L
24.11.25
NPF
Katsina United
Enyimba
3
2
W
08.11.25
NPF
Katsina United
Barau FC
1
1
D
24.10.25
NPF
Katsina United
El Kanemi Warriors
1
0
W
12.10.25
NPF
Katsina United
Remo Stars
3
1
W
22.09.25
NPF
Katsina United
Wikki Tourist
1
0
W
07.09.25
NPF
Katsina United
Kano Pillars
1
0
W
24.08.25
NPF
Katsina United
Warri Wolves
0
1
L
H2H at home: Katsina United
10.05.26
H2H
Katsina United
Ikorodu City
4
1
W
10.11.24
H2H
Katsina United
Ikorodu City
1
2
L
Last matches: Ikorodu City
19.04.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Abia Warriors
1
2
L
06.04.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Plateau United
1
4
L
22.03.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Kun Khalifat FC
2
2
D
08.03.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Nasarawa United
0
1
L
01.03.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Bendel Insurance
0
4
L
15.02.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Enyimba
1
0
W
02.02.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Barau FC
0
1
L
25.01.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
El Kanemi Warriors
0
1
L
14.01.26
NPF
Ikorodu City
Remo Stars
0
1
L
21.12.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Enugu Rangers
1
2
L
07.12.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Wikki Tourist
0
0
D
24.11.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Kano Pillars
1
2
L
09.11.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Warri Wolves
2
0
W
29.10.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Rivers United
0
0
D
05.10.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Bayelsa United
1
1
D
21.09.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Niger Tornadoes
2
4
L
07.09.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Shooting Stars
1
1
D
24.08.25
NPF
Ikorodu City
Kwara United
0
0
D
H2H away: Ikorodu City
10.05.26
H2H
Katsina United
Ikorodu City
4
1
L
10.11.24
H2H
Katsina United
Ikorodu City
1
2
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 19 11 8 47:27 20 68
W W W W D
2 38 19 10 9 44:31 13 67
W W W L W
3 38 18 6 14 41:40 1 60
L W W W D
4 38 16 10 12 43:39 4 58
L L W L W
5 38 16 8 14 37:34 3 56
L W L W L
6 38 16 7 15 31:34 -3 55
L L L W L
7 37 13 14 10 43:38 5 53
D L W W W
8 38 13 13 12 34:30 4 52
W L W L W
9 37 14 10 13 36:38 -2 52
L W L W L
10 38 15 6 17 37:39 -2 51
L W L W L
11 38 15 5 18 39:40 -1 50
W L L D L
12 38 13 11 14 35:36 -1 50
L W D W D
13 38 13 10 15 44:42 2 49
W L W L W
14 38 13 10 15 42:43 -1 49
W W W D W
15 38 13 10 15 36:41 -5 49
W L W L L
16 38 13 9 16 37:36 1 48
W D D L D
17 38 14 5 19 42:47 -5 47
D W L W L
18 38 13 8 17 30:46 -16 47
L D L L W
19 38 11 10 17 37:42 -5 43
W L L L L
20 38 9 13 16 36:48 -12 40
L L L L W
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation