TURKEY SüPER LIG
--.--.---- --:--
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Referee: O. Aksu
Kasımpaşa
Match Timeline
Alanyaspor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Ui-Jo Hwang
Alanyaspor
🟨
22'
Adem Arous
Kasımpaşa
🟨
45+1'
Ümit Akdağ
Alanyaspor
🟨
60'
Paulo Victor
Alanyaspor
60'
I. C. Kahveci
Kasımpaşa
🔄
61'
G. Yalcin ↔ I. Hagi
Alanyaspor
🔄
61'
G. Makouta ↔ Maestro
Alanyaspor
🔄
67'
U. Akdag ↔ Bruno Viana
Alanyaspor
🔄
76'
M. Ben Ouanes ↔ E. Aydin
Kasımpaşa
🟨
78'
Bruno Viana
Alanyaspor
🔄
81'
Ruan ↔ E. Keskin
Alanyaspor
🔄
82'
I. Kaya ↔ S. Mounie
Alanyaspor
🔄
88'
F. Diabate ↔ A. Kol
Kasımpaşa
🔄
88'
A. Benedyczak ↔ K. Kanatsizkus
Kasımpaşa
🟨
90+6'
Andri Baldursson
Kasımpaşa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Kasımpaşa Win 68.3%
Draw 4.2%
Alanyaspor Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kasımpaşa1.05
Alanyaspor1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa
WWDLW
28 GF / 41 GA
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor
WLDWL
35 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
16
BTTS Yes
18
13
Over 2.5
13
2.69
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 29 matches
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 29 matches
Kasımpaşa Statistic Alanyaspor
6 Wins 6
10 Draws 15
13 Losses 8
28 Goals For 35
41 Goals Against 34
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
16 BTTS Yes 18
21 Over 1.5 22
13 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 7
2.69 Shots On Goal 4
9.83 Total Shots 12.59
4.24 Corners 4.59
45% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Alanyaspor's more proactive style and Kasımpaşa's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Alanyaspor. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kasımpaşa expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Alanyaspor in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Alanyaspor having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Kasımpaşa Analysis

From their first 29 matches, Kasımpaşa have collected 28 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 28:41 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Benedyczak (6 goals), P. Gueye (5 goals), Cláudio Winck (3 goals), with creative support from M. Ben Ouanes (5 assists), İrfan Can Kahveci (3 assists), F. Diabate (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with H. Hajradinovic, E. Tasdemir, K. Demirbay, Rodrigo Becao unavailable.

Alanyaspor Analysis

So far, Alanyaspor have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 33 points from 29 matches. The record of 6 wins, 15 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 35:34 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Güven Yalçın (7 goals), F. Hadergjonaj (5 goals), I. Kaya (5 goals), with creative support from F. Hadergjonaj (7 assists), Hwang Ui-Jo (6 assists), Ianis Hagi (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 10 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with Y. Ozdemir, I. Hagi, M. Elia unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kasımpaşa won 10 times, Alanyaspor won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:21 from Kasımpaşa's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Kasımpaşa 4-2-3-1 / Alanyaspor 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Kasımpaşa 8, Alanyaspor 3
H2H summary: Kasımpaşa wins 10, draws 2, Alanyaspor wins 3
Stats
Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 1
11 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 1
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 3
0 Blocked Shots 1
3 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
402 Total passes 499
326 Passes accurate 423
0.61 expected_goals 0.22
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Kasımpaşa
Formation
Alanyaspor
A. Gianniotis
A. Gianniotis
C. Winck
C. Winck
N. Opoku
N. Opoku
A. Arous
A. Arous
G. Frimpong
G. Frimpong
Cafu
Cafu
A. F. Baldursson
A. F. Baldursson
I. C. Kahveci
I. C. Kahveci
F. Diabate
F. Diabate
M. Ben Ouanes
M. Ben Ouanes
A. Benedyczak
A. Benedyczak
Paulo Victor
Paulo Victor
F. Aksoy
F. Aksoy
N. Lima
N. Lima
U. Akdag
U. Akdag
F. Hadergjonaj
F. Hadergjonaj
G. Makouta
G. Makouta
N. Janvier
N. Janvier
Ruan
Ruan
I. Kaya
I. Kaya
G. Yalcin
G. Yalcin
Hwang Ui-Jo
Hwang Ui-Jo
Kasımpaşa 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Gianniotis
G
2
C. Winck
D
20
N. Opoku
D
4
A. Arous
🟨 22'
D
21
G. Frimpong
D
8
Cafu
M
16
A. F. Baldursson
🟨 90+6'
M
71
I. C. Kahveci
⚽ 60'
M
34
F. Diabate
↓ 88'
M
12
M. Ben Ouanes
↓ 76'
M
19
A. Benedyczak
↓ 88'
F
Substitutes
25
A. Yanar
G
23
C. Tosun
F
11
A. Kol
↑ 88'
F
5
E. Aydin
↑ 76'
M
6
B. Gultekin
M
33
E. Tasdemir
D
17
K. Kanatsizkus
↑ 88'
F
77
P. Gueye
F
29
T. Aydin
D
30
A. T. Dagbasi
D
Alanyaspor 3-4-3
Starting XI
48
Paulo Victor
🟨 60'
G
20
F. Aksoy
D
3
N. Lima
D
50
U. Akdag
↓ 67' 🟨 45+1'
D
94
F. Hadergjonaj
M
42
G. Makouta
↓ 61'
M
17
N. Janvier
M
11
Ruan
↓ 81'
M
27
I. Kaya
↓ 82'
F
10
G. Yalcin
↓ 61'
F
16
Hwang Ui-Jo
🟨 12'
F
Substitutes
1
E. Taskiran
G
14
I. Hagi
↑ 61'
M
30
Bruno Viana
↑ 67' 🟨 78'
D
58
Maestro
↑ 61'
M
8
E. Keskin
↑ 81'
M
18
B. Mogultay
D
6
I. Celik
M
7
E. Karaca
M
9
S. Mounie
↑ 82'
F
12
M. Elia
F
Last matches: Kasımpaşa
17.05.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Galatasaray
1
0
W
09.05.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2
3
L
03.05.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Kocaelispor
1
1
D
24.04.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
0
4
L
12.04.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Göztepe
3
3
D
04.04.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Kayserispor
2
0
W
19.03.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Beşiktaş
1
2
L
15.03.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Eyüpspor
1
0
W
08.03.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Konyaspor
1
1
D
28.02.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Rizespor
0
3
L
23.02.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Fenerbahçe
1
1
D
16.02.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Fatih Karagümrük
3
2
W
09.02.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Gaziantep FK
1
2
L
30.01.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Samsunspor
0
1
L
23.01.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Trabzonspor
1
2
L
18.01.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Antalyaspor
0
0
D
09.01.26
Fri
Kasımpaşa
KVC Westerlo
2
0
W
07.01.26
Fri
Kasımpaşa
Kocaelispor
2
0
W
21.12.25
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Galatasaray
0
3
L
12.12.25
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0
0
D
Last matches: Alanyaspor
16.05.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
1
2
L
09.05.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Kayserispor
3
1
W
03.05.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Antalyaspor
0
0
D
27.04.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Samsunspor
2
3
L
11.04.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Trabzonspor
1
1
D
04.04.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK
1
1
D
18.03.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Kocaelispor
5
0
W
14.03.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Göztepe
2
2
D
09.03.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0
0
D
28.02.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Galatasaray
1
3
L
21.02.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Başakşehir
1
2
L
14.02.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Konyaspor
2
1
W
08.02.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Beşiktaş
2
2
D
31.01.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Eyüpspor
1
3
L
25.01.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Rizespor
1
1
D
18.01.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Fenerbahçe
2
3
L
07.01.26
Fri
Alanyaspor
Metaloglobus
2
0
W
21.12.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
2
0
W
13.12.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Kayserispor
0
0
D
08.12.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Antalyaspor
0
0
D
H2H: Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor
19.04.26
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
1
0
W
23.11.25
H2H
Alanyaspor
Kasımpaşa
1
2
W
15.03.25
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
2
1
W
20.10.24
H2H
Alanyaspor
Kasımpaşa
1
2
W
04.02.24
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
2
1
W
17.09.23
H2H
Alanyaspor
Kasımpaşa
3
3
D
30.05.23
H2H
Alanyaspor
Kasımpaşa
1
3
W
04.01.23
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
4
1
W
13.02.22
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
2
2
D
23.09.21
H2H
Alanyaspor
Kasımpaşa
2
0
L
03.05.21
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
3
0
W
11.01.21
H2H
Alanyaspor
Kasımpaşa
1
2
W
25.01.20
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
1
2
L
22.01.20
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
3
2
W
15.01.20
H2H
Alanyaspor
Kasımpaşa
3
1
L
Last matches: Kasımpaşa
17.05.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Galatasaray
1
0
W
03.05.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Kocaelispor
1
1
D
04.04.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Kayserispor
2
0
W
15.03.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Eyüpspor
1
0
W
28.02.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Rizespor
0
3
L
16.02.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Fatih Karagümrük
3
2
W
30.01.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Samsunspor
0
1
L
18.01.26
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Antalyaspor
0
0
D
09.01.26
Fri
Kasımpaşa
KVC Westerlo
2
0
W
07.01.26
Fri
Kasımpaşa
Kocaelispor
2
0
W
12.12.25
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0
0
D
29.11.25
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
1
3
L
08.11.25
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Göztepe
0
2
L
26.10.25
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Beşiktaş
1
1
D
05.10.25
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Konyaspor
1
1
D
21.09.25
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Fenerbahçe
1
1
D
30.08.25
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Gaziantep FK
2
3
L
18.08.25
Süp
Kasımpaşa
Trabzonspor
0
1
L
H2H at home: Kasımpaşa
19.04.26
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
1
0
W
15.03.25
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
2
1
W
04.02.24
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
2
1
W
04.01.23
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
4
1
W
13.02.22
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
2
2
D
03.05.21
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
3
0
W
25.01.20
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
1
2
L
22.01.20
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
3
2
W
Last matches: Alanyaspor
16.05.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
1
2
L
03.05.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Antalyaspor
0
0
D
04.04.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK
1
1
D
14.03.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Göztepe
2
2
D
28.02.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Galatasaray
1
3
L
08.02.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Beşiktaş
2
2
D
25.01.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Rizespor
1
1
D
13.12.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Kayserispor
0
0
D
01.12.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Samsunspor
1
1
D
08.11.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Trabzonspor
1
1
D
25.10.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Kocaelispor
0
2
L
04.10.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2
2
D
21.09.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Başakşehir
1
1
D
17.09.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Fenerbahçe
2
2
D
13.09.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Konyaspor
2
1
W
25.08.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Eyüpspor
1
2
L
H2H away: Alanyaspor
19.04.26
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
1
0
L
15.03.25
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
2
1
L
04.02.24
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
2
1
L
04.01.23
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
4
1
L
13.02.22
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
2
2
D
03.05.21
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
3
0
L
25.01.20
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
1
2
W
22.01.20
H2H
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor
3
2
L

Standings

Super Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 5 5 77:30 47 77
L W L W W
2 34 21 11 2 77:37 40 74
D W W L D
3 34 20 9 5 61:39 22 69
L W D L D
4 34 17 9 8 59:40 19 60
D L W D L
5 34 16 9 9 58:35 23 57
W W L W D
6 34 14 13 7 42:32 10 55
L W D W D
7 34 13 12 9 46:45 1 51
W L W W W
8 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
D L W L D
9 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
L L L W W
10 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
L L D L D
11 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
L W D L L
12 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
W L D L W
14 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
W W L W L
15 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
D W D W W
16 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
W L D L L
17 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30
W L D W L
18 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
W W W D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation

Missing Players

Kasımpaşa 8 missing
-
G. Frimpong
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
H. Hajradinovic
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
E. Tasdemir
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Cafu
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
K. Demirbay
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
Rodrigo Becao
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
J. Allevinah
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
K. Corekci
Questionable Inactive
OUT
Alanyaspor 3 missing
-
Y. Ozdemir
Missing Fixture Suspended
OUT
-
I. Hagi
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
M. Elia
Questionable Inactive
OUT