Karviná vs Sigma Olomouc Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
74.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
94.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
98.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Karviná
Sigma Olomouc
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Karviná
32 matches
Sigma Olomouc
44 matches
| Karviná | Statistic | Sigma Olomouc |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 16 |
| 3 | Draws | 10 |
| 16 | Losses | 18 |
| 47 | Goals For | 48 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 15 |
| 4.94 | Shots On Goal | 3.55 |
| 14.38 | Total Shots | 12.55 |
| 4.94 | Corners | 4.68 |
| 54.1% | Ball Possession | 49.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The first leg ended level at 2-2, so the tie remains finely balanced going into this match. In the previous meeting, Sigma Olomouc controlled more possession in the first leg (63% against 37%). Sigma Olomouc carried the greater threat on target, finishing with 7 shots on goal compared to 4. Sigma Olomouc circulated the ball more often, making 474 passes to 276 and completing 389. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sigma Olomouc. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Karviná expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sigma Olomouc in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sigma Olomouc having the stronger overall control. Sigma Olomouc arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
Karviná come into this tie placed 9 in their league with 39 points from 30 matches. Their record of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 15 defeats with goals at 43:51 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on D. Krcik (11 goals), A. Gning (9 goals), E. Ayaosi (6 goals), with creative support from E. Ayaosi (7 assists), Denny Samko (4 assists), A. Labik (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.
Sigma Olomouc come into this tie placed 7 in their league with 43 points from 30 matches. Their record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats with goals at 34:34 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on D. Vasulin (9 goals), Antonín Růsek (4 goals), Danijel Šturm (4 goals), with creative support from Antonín Růsek (3 assists), Matěj Hadaš (3 assists), Danijel Šturm (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Karviná won 2 times, Sigma Olomouc won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:30 from Karviná's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 63:23 | 40 | 71 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 60:33 | 27 | 63 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 50:34 | 16 | 53 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 43:30 | 13 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 |
Sigma Olomouc
Away
|
30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 34:34 | 0 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 41 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Karviná
Home
|
30 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 43:51 | -8 | 39 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 10 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 26:35 | -9 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 37:48 | -11 | 34 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 29:38 | -9 | 29 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 20:42 | -22 | 23 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 23 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 25:45 | -20 | 22 |
W
W
W
W
L
|