CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Town Stadium Karvina
Referee: J. Benes
Karviná
Match Timeline
Mlada Boleslav
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Jan Fiala
Karviná
🟨
19'
Denny Samko
Karviná
20'
M. Sevcik
Mlada Boleslav
🟨
28'
Michal Ševčík
Mlada Boleslav
VAR
44'
Roman Macek
Mlada Boleslav
🟨
45+1'
Roman Macek
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
46'
E. Ayaosi ↔ L. Ezeh
Karviná
🔄
46'
J. Chytry ↔ S. Bohac
Karviná
🔄
46'
S. Camara ↔ A. Traore
Karviná
🔄
63'
S. John ↔ J. Kolarik
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
63'
M. Subert ↔ D. Kostka
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
64'
Kahuan Vinicius ↔ F. Konate
Karviná
75'
C. Kabongo
Mlada Boleslav
77'
R. Macek · Assist: C. Kabongo
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
78'
F. Prebsl ↔ J. Fleisman
Karviná
🔄
82'
M. Sevcik ↔ D. Donat
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
82'
C. Kabongo ↔ J. Zika
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
83'
O. Karafiat ↔ M. Krulich
Mlada Boleslav
🟨
90+1'
Matouš Krulich
Mlada Boleslav

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 89.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
89.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Karviná Win 50.8%
Draw 8.1%
Mlada Boleslav Win 41.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Karviná1.6
Mlada Boleslav1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Karviná Karviná
WWDLW
43 GF / 48 GA
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
WLDWL
41 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.66
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
19
BTTS Yes
19
20
Over 2.5
18
5.1
Shots on Goal
4.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Karviná Karviná 29 matches
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 29 matches
Karviná Statistic Mlada Boleslav
12 Wins 7
3 Draws 11
14 Losses 11
43 Goals For 41
48 Goals Against 52
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.66 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
19 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 24
20 Over 2.5 18
9 Over 3.5 14
3 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 7
5.1 Shots On Goal 4.45
14.52 Total Shots 12.03
4.79 Corners 4.62
53.3% Ball Possession 54.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mlada Boleslav. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Karviná expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mlada Boleslav in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mlada Boleslav having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Karviná Analysis

Karviná are currently 8 in the standings with 39 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 41:47 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Krcik (11 goals), A. Gning (9 goals), E. Ayaosi (6 goals), with creative support from E. Ayaosi (7 assists), Denny Samko (4 assists), A. Labik (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mlada Boleslav Analysis

So far, Mlada Boleslav have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 32 points from 29 matches. The record of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 41:52 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Sevcik (8 goals), M. Vojta (7 goals), S. John (5 goals), with creative support from M. Vojta (4 assists), D. Marecek (3 assists), R. Macek (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Karviná won 2 times, Mlada Boleslav won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:23 from Karviná's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
Predicted formations: Karviná 4-2-3-1 / Mlada Boleslav 3-4-3
H2H summary: Karviná wins 2, draws 5, Mlada Boleslav wins 7
Stats
Karviná Karviná
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
4
6 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 2
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 5
5 Blocked Shots 4
5 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
380 Total passes 295
321 Passes accurate 211
0.61 expected_goals 1.09
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Karviná
Formation
Mlada Boleslav
V. Neuman
V. Neuman
J. Chytry
J. Chytry
Y. Skyba
Y. Skyba
S. Camara
S. Camara
N. Milic
N. Milic
F. Prebsl
F. Prebsl
J. Kristan
J. Kristan
J. Fiala
J. Fiala
D. Samko
D. Samko
E. Ayaosi
E. Ayaosi
Kahuan Vinicius
Kahuan Vinicius
J. Floder
J. Floder
F. Matousek
F. Matousek
M. Kralik
M. Kralik
O. Karafiat
O. Karafiat
M. Hybs
M. Hybs
R. Macek
R. Macek
D. Kozel
D. Kozel
M. Subert
M. Subert
M. Sevcik
M. Sevcik
S. John
S. John
C. Kabongo
🎯
C. Kabongo
Karviná 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
V. Neuman
G
24
J. Chytry
↓ 46'
D
44
Y. Skyba
49
S. Camara
↓ 46'
D
19
N. Milic
D
99
F. Prebsl
↓ 78'
M
8
J. Kristan
M
29
J. Fiala
🟨 12'
M
10
D. Samko
🟨 19'
M
14
E. Ayaosi
↓ 46'
M
20
Kahuan Vinicius
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
30
J. Lapes
G
34
O. Mrozek
G
25
J. Fleisman
↑ 78'
D
26
L. Ezeh
↑ 46'
F
93
F. Konate
↑ 64'
F
31
O. Conde
M
6
S. Bohac
↑ 46'
M
4
A. Traore
↑ 46'
M
28
V. Valosek
M
Mlada Boleslav 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
59
J. Floder
G
32
F. Matousek
D
3
M. Kralik
D
44
O. Karafiat
↓ 83'
D
11
M. Hybs
D
7
R. Macek
⚽ 77' 🟨 45+1'
M
19
D. Kozel
M
21
M. Subert
↓ 63'
22
M. Sevcik
⚽ 20' ↓ 82' 🟨 28'
M
20
S. John
↓ 63'
M
25
C. Kabongo
⚽ 75' 🎯 77' ↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
42
V. Vorel
G
13
D. Donat
↑ 82'
D
77
D. Pech
M
28
D. Langhamer
M
10
F. Lehky
F
24
D. Mares
D
49
J. Kolarik
↑ 63'
M
23
J. Klima
F
31
D. Kostka
↑ 63'
D
37
M. Krulich
↑ 83' 🟨 90+1'
F
76
J. Zika
↑ 82'
Last matches: Karviná
18.07.26
Fri
Karviná
Ruch Chorzów
2
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
Karviná
Považská Bystrica
2
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Karviná
Zemplín Michalovce
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Karviná
Wisla Krakow
0
2
L
23.05.26
Cze
Karviná
Sigma Olomouc
0
4
L
16.05.26
Cze
Karviná
Sigma Olomouc
1
3
L
10.05.26
Cze
Karviná
Pardubice
3
1
W
02.05.26
Cze
Karviná
Pardubice
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cze
Karviná
Dukla Praha
2
1
W
12.04.26
Cze
Karviná
Slovan Liberec
3
1
W
05.04.26
Cze
Karviná
Sparta Praha
0
2
L
15.03.26
Cze
Karviná
Sigma Olomouc
2
2
D
08.03.26
Cze
Karviná
Pardubice
1
2
L
01.03.26
Cze
Karviná
Slovácko
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cze
Karviná
FK Jablonec
0
1
L
14.02.26
Cze
Karviná
Slavia Praha
1
3
L
07.02.26
Cze
Karviná
Teplice
0
2
L
01.02.26
Cze
Karviná
Plzen
0
2
L
25.01.26
Fri
Karviná
Opava
3
1
W
16.01.26
Fri
Karviná
Novi Pazar
1
2
L
Last matches: Mlada Boleslav
18.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Ried
4
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Energie Cottbus
4
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Táborsko
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Viktoria Žižkov
3
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
0
5
L
26.06.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
2
0
W
23.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
2
L
16.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
3
0
W
12.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
1
D
02.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
0
0
D
18.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovan Liberec
0
0
D
12.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
1
D
04.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
4
2
W
26.03.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Dynamo Dresden
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Pardubice
2
0
W
07.03.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
2
2
D
28.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
3
0
W
22.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
0
0
D
15.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
0
D
H2H: Karviná vs Mlada Boleslav
25.04.26
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
0
3
L
25.10.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Karviná
2
4
W
30.03.25
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
3
1
W
27.10.24
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Karviná
1
1
D
13.12.23
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Karviná
2
2
D
05.08.23
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
1
2
L
06.03.22
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Karviná
1
0
L
03.10.21
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
0
1
L
28.02.21
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Karviná
2
0
L
26.09.20
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
14.06.20
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
2
2
D
14.07.19
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Karviná
1
0
L
01.12.18
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Karviná
1
1
D
05.08.18
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
3
4
L
Last matches: Karviná
18.07.26
Fri
Karviná
Ruch Chorzów
2
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
Karviná
Považská Bystrica
2
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Karviná
Zemplín Michalovce
2
1
W
16.05.26
Cze
Karviná
Sigma Olomouc
1
3
L
02.05.26
Cze
Karviná
Pardubice
1
2
L
12.04.26
Cze
Karviná
Slovan Liberec
3
1
W
08.03.26
Cze
Karviná
Pardubice
1
2
L
01.03.26
Cze
Karviná
Slovácko
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cze
Karviná
Slavia Praha
1
3
L
01.02.26
Cze
Karviná
Plzen
0
2
L
25.01.26
Fri
Karviná
Opava
3
1
W
07.12.25
Cze
Karviná
Baník Ostrava
0
0
D
23.11.25
Cze
Karviná
Hradec Králové
4
3
W
02.11.25
Cze
Karviná
Sparta Praha
2
1
W
18.10.25
Cze
Karviná
Sigma Olomouc
1
1
D
20.09.25
Cze
Karviná
FK Jablonec
1
2
L
30.08.25
Cze
Karviná
Teplice
4
1
W
17.08.25
Cze
Karviná
Bohemians 1905
1
2
L
02.08.25
Cze
Karviná
Zlin
0
1
L
19.07.25
Cze
Karviná
Dukla Praha
2
0
W
H2H at home: Karviná
25.04.26
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
0
3
L
30.03.25
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
3
1
W
05.08.23
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
1
2
L
03.10.21
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
0
1
L
26.09.20
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
14.06.20
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
2
2
D
05.08.18
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
3
4
L
Last matches: Mlada Boleslav
15.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Energie Cottbus
4
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
0
5
L
16.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
0
0
D
18.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovan Liberec
0
0
D
04.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
4
2
W
26.03.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Dynamo Dresden
1
2
L
07.03.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
2
2
D
22.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
0
0
D
07.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slavia Praha
0
4
L
24.01.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Wisla Krakow
4
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Aarhus Fremad
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
CSKA Sofia
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Hradec Králové
1
1
D
30.11.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Plzen
1
2
L
08.11.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
0
W
22.10.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Bohemians 1905
1
1
D
18.10.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Pardubice
1
2
L
28.09.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
0
2
L
13.09.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
3
2
W
H2H away: Mlada Boleslav
25.04.26
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
0
3
W
30.03.25
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
3
1
L
05.08.23
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
1
2
W
03.10.21
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
0
1
W
26.09.20
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
14.06.20
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
2
2
D
05.08.18
H2H
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
3
4
W

Standings

1. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 21 8 1 63:23 40 71
W L W W W
2 30 19 6 5 60:33 27 63
W W D W L
3 30 15 8 7 50:34 16 53
L W D W W
4 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L L D L
5 30 14 7 9 43:34 9 49
L W W D L
6 30 12 10 8 43:30 13 46
L L L L L
7 30 12 7 11 34:34 0 43
W W L W L
8 30 11 8 11 39:46 -7 41
L W W W W
9 30 12 3 15 43:51 -8 39
L L W L L
10 30 10 6 14 26:35 -9 36
W L W W W
11 30 8 11 11 44:52 -8 35
L W L D D
12 30 9 7 14 37:48 -11 34
W L L D W
13 30 6 11 13 29:38 -9 29
W W W W D
14 30 4 11 15 20:42 -22 23
L L W L L
15 30 5 8 17 26:45 -19 23
W W L L W
16 30 5 7 18 25:45 -20 22
W W W W L
Championship round
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation Round