CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
25.04.2026 14:00
Town Stadium Karvina
Referee: J. Benes
Karviná
Match Timeline
Mlada Boleslav
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Jan Fiala
Karviná
🟨
19'
Denny Samko
Karviná
20'
M. Sevcik
Mlada Boleslav
🟨
28'
Michal Ševčík
Mlada Boleslav
VAR
44'
Roman Macek
Mlada Boleslav
🟨
45+1'
Roman Macek
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
46'
E. Ayaosi ↔ L. Ezeh
Karviná
🔄
46'
J. Chytry ↔ S. Bohac
Karviná
🔄
46'
S. Camara ↔ A. Traore
Karviná
🔄
63'
S. John ↔ J. Kolarik
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
63'
M. Subert ↔ D. Kostka
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
64'
Kahuan Vinicius ↔ F. Konate
Karviná
75'
C. Kabongo
Mlada Boleslav
77'
R. Macek · Assist: C. Kabongo
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
78'
F. Prebsl ↔ J. Fleisman
Karviná
🔄
82'
M. Sevcik ↔ D. Donat
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
82'
C. Kabongo ↔ J. Zika
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
83'
O. Karafiat ↔ M. Krulich
Mlada Boleslav
🟨
90+1'
Matouš Krulich
Mlada Boleslav

Karviná vs Mlada Boleslav Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 89.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
89.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Karviná Win 50.8%
Draw 8.1%
Mlada Boleslav Win 41.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Karviná1.6
Mlada Boleslav1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Karviná Karviná
WWDLW
43 GF / 48 GA
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
WLDWL
41 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.66
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
19
BTTS Yes
19
20
Over 2.5
18
5.1
Shots on Goal
4.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Karviná Karviná 29 matches
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 29 matches
Karviná Statistic Mlada Boleslav
12 Wins 7
3 Draws 11
14 Losses 11
43 Goals For 41
48 Goals Against 52
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.66 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
19 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 24
20 Over 2.5 18
9 Over 3.5 14
3 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 7
5.1 Shots On Goal 4.45
14.52 Total Shots 12.03
4.79 Corners 4.62
53.3% Ball Possession 54.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mlada Boleslav. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Karviná expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mlada Boleslav in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mlada Boleslav having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Karviná Analysis

Karviná are currently 8 in the standings with 39 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 41:47 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Krcik (11 goals), A. Gning (9 goals), E. Ayaosi (6 goals), with creative support from E. Ayaosi (7 assists), Denny Samko (4 assists), A. Labik (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mlada Boleslav Analysis

So far, Mlada Boleslav have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 32 points from 29 matches. The record of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 41:52 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Sevcik (8 goals), M. Vojta (7 goals), S. John (5 goals), with creative support from M. Vojta (4 assists), D. Marecek (3 assists), R. Macek (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Karviná won 2 times, Mlada Boleslav won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:23 from Karviná's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
Predicted formations: Karviná 4-2-3-1 / Mlada Boleslav 3-4-3
H2H summary: Karviná wins 2, draws 5, Mlada Boleslav wins 7

Standings

1. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 21 8 1 63:23 40 71
W L W W W
2 30 19 6 5 60:33 27 63
W W D W L
3 30 15 8 7 50:34 16 53
L W D W W
4 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L L D L
5 30 14 7 9 43:34 9 49
L W W D L
6 30 12 10 8 43:30 13 46
L L L L L
7 30 12 7 11 34:34 0 43
W W L W L
8 30 11 8 11 39:46 -7 41
L W W W W
9 30 12 3 15 43:51 -8 39
L L W L L
10 30 10 6 14 26:35 -9 36
W L W W W
11 30 8 11 11 44:52 -8 35
L W L D D
12 30 9 7 14 37:48 -11 34
W L L D W
13 30 6 11 13 29:38 -9 29
W W W W D
14 30 4 11 15 20:42 -22 23
L L W L L
15 30 5 8 17 26:45 -19 23
W W L L W
16 30 5 7 18 25:45 -20 22
W W W W L
Championship round
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation Round