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UKRAINE › PREMIER LEAGUE
18.10.2026 15:00
Ukraina Stadium
Referee: Volodymyr Novokhatny
Karpaty
Match Timeline
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
Artem Kozak · Assist: Mykola Myronyuk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
⚽
35'
Rostyslav Lyakh · Assist: Joseph Séry
Karpaty
🟨
37'
Rostyslav Lyakh
Karpaty
⚽
39'
Carlos Humberto Rojas Mosquera · Assist: Mykola Myronyuk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
45'
M. Fedotov ↔ Oleg Bilyk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
45'
Rostyslav Lyakh ↔ Bruno Iglesias
Karpaty
🔄
54'
Vadym Sydun ↔ Ivan Bendera
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
69'
Joseph Séry ↔ Oleksandr Diedov
Karpaty
🔄
69'
Artem Kozak ↔ Daniel Rueda Bodega
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
69'
Mohamed Aiman Moukhliss ↔ Eriki Daniel Rodrigues Bento
Karpaty
🔄
69'
Ivan Calero ↔ Denys Miroshnichenko
Karpaty
🔄
70'
Vladyslav Moroz ↔ Stepan Grygorashchuk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
78'
Fellipe Vieira ↔ Yaroslav Karabin
Karpaty
🔄
83'
Yevgen Zaporozhets ↔ Andriy Lipovuz
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🟨
84'
Serjan·Repaj
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🟨
84'
Daniil Vashchenko
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🟨
89'
Serhii Nagornyak
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
⚽
90+4'
Xeber Alkain Mitxelena · Assist: Denys Miroshnichenko
Karpaty

Karpaty vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64%
Odds 1.66
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.89
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64%
1.66 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.89 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.78 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Karpaty Win 64%
Draw 4.2%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Win 31.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Karpaty1.41
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Karpaty Karpaty
L W D W L
7 GF / 6 GA
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
L D L L D
1 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
1.44
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
12
BTTS Yes
7
12
Over 2.5
13
2.88
Shots on Goal
1.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Karpaty Karpaty 23 matches
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 25 matches
Karpaty Statistic Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
11 Wins 12
5 Draws 5
7 Losses 8
40 Goals For 36
21 Goals Against 23
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
12 BTTS Yes 7
17 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 12
4 Failed To Score 11
2.88 Shots On Goal 1.38
6.5 Total Shots 4.25
4.88 Corners 4.75
51.6% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Karpaty's more proactive style and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Karpaty expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi in 4-2-2-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Epitsentr Dunayivtsi having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. Epitsentr Dunayivtsi arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Karpaty arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 14 points compared to Epitsentr Dunayivtsi in 10 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Karpaty Analysis

Placed 4 with 14 points from 7 outings, Karpaty continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 15:5 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Analysis

With 8 points from 8 games and a place of 10, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 7:10 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Karpaty won 2 times, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:18 from Karpaty's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Karpaty 4-4-2 / Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: Karpaty wins 2, draws 1, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi wins 7

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 23:8 15 25
W W D W W
2 10 8 1 1 20:5 15 25
D W W W W
3 9 7 0 2 18:7 11 21
W W W W W
4 9 6 1 2 14:9 5 19
W L W W W
5 10 4 4 2 17:8 9 16
D D L D W
6 10 4 3 3 10:9 1 15
D W W L W
7 10 4 3 3 12:13 -1 15
D W W L D
8 9 3 2 4 12:13 -1 11
W L W W L
9 10 2 3 5 10:14 -4 9
L D L L L
10 10 2 3 5 6:13 -7 9
L L L W D
11 9 1 5 3 6:8 -2 8
D L L W L
12 9 1 5 3 7:12 -5 8
L D L D D
13 9 1 4 4 4:15 -11 7
L W D L
14 9 1 3 5 5:11 -6 6
D L L D L
15 7 1 2 4 7:13 -6 5
L L D L
16 10 1 2 7 11:24 -13 5
L W L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga