ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
12.09.2026 11:30
Hiiu Stadium
Referee: J. Jakobson
Kalju Nomme
Match Timeline
Trans Narva
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
M. Mannilaan · Assist: A. Borolinstsikov
Kalju Nomme
VAR
20'
C. Campagna
Trans Narva
🟨
37'
M. Mannilaan
Kalju Nomme
🔄
66'
E. Zuravljov ↔ N. Baljabkin
Trans Narva
🔄
66'
E. E. Lotar Eyang ↔ I. Jabir
Kalju Nomme
🔄
66'
S. Kondrattsev ↔ E. Petkus
Trans Narva
🟨
72'
N. Ivanov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
75'
W. Awusi
Trans Narva
🔄
80'
N. Ivanov ↔ M. Tambedou
Kalju Nomme
🔄
80'
T. Baptista ↔ F. Jekimov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
82'
M. Velijev ↔ A. Besigirskis
Trans Narva
🟨
84'
R. Siht
Kalju Nomme
🔄
84'
C. Campagna ↔ K. Miranda da Silva
Trans Narva
🔄
84'
W. Awusi ↔ G. Slein
Trans Narva
90+3'
I. Jabir · Assist: M. Mannilaan
Kalju Nomme

Kalju Nomme vs Trans Narva Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.6%
Odds 1.51
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.57
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.6%
1.51
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.57
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.11
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Kalju Nomme Win 81.6%
Draw 4.2%
Trans Narva Win 14.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kalju Nomme1.98
Trans Narva1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WWDLW
74 GF / 45 GA
Trans Narva Trans Narva
WLDWL
33 GF / 76 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
2.17
23
BTTS Yes
18
21
Over 2.5
24
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 40 matches
Trans Narva Trans Narva 35 matches
Kalju Nomme Statistic Trans Narva
19 Wins 6
9 Draws 7
12 Losses 22
74 Goals For 33
45 Goals Against 76
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 2.17
23 BTTS Yes 18
32 Over 1.5 30
21 Over 2.5 24
12 Over 3.5 12
13 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kalju Nomme's more proactive style and Trans Narva's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Trans Narva arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Kalju Nomme arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 44 points compared to Trans Narva in 10 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Trans Narva. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Trans Narva having the stronger overall control.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Kalju Nomme come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 44 points after 25 matches. They have recorded 13 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a 45:22 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Trans Narva Analysis

Trans Narva approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 17 points from 25 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 18:57 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kalju Nomme won 8 times, Trans Narva won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:15 from Kalju Nomme's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Kalju Nomme wins 8, draws 3, Trans Narva wins 4

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 21 5 1 74:20 54 68
W W W W W
2 28 17 1 10 56:37 19 52
W D W W L
3 28 14 5 9 49:26 23 47
W L L L L
4 27 13 6 8 43:35 8 45
L W L W W
5 27 14 2 11 36:38 -2 44
W L W L W
6 28 11 1 16 40:47 -7 34
W L L W W
7 27 10 4 13 37:52 -15 34
L W W D L
8 28 9 1 18 46:65 -19 28
L W L L L
9 28 8 4 16 31:49 -18 28
L L W D L
10 28 5 3 20 21:64 -43 18
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga