ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
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Hiiu Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.10
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.57
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.9%
1.10
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.57
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.84
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.05
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Kalju Nomme Win 49.6%
Draw 19.3%
Tammeka Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kalju Nomme1.68
Tammeka1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WWDLW
60 GF / 35 GA
Tammeka Tammeka
WLDWL
34 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
18
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 33 matches
Tammeka Tammeka 24 matches
Kalju Nomme Statistic Tammeka
16 Wins 11
9 Draws 3
8 Losses 10
60 Goals For 34
35 Goals Against 35
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
18 BTTS Yes 12
26 Over 1.5 16
16 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 8
12 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Kalju Nomme's more proactive style and Tammeka's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tammeka having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tammeka. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Placed 3 with 35 points from 20 outings, Kalju Nomme continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 33:16 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Tammeka Analysis

Tammeka are currently 6 in the standings with 26 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 21:26 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kalju Nomme won 9 times, Tammeka won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:16 from Kalju Nomme's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.7%)
Predicted formations: Kalju Nomme 4-4-2 / Tammeka -
H2H summary: Kalju Nomme wins 9, draws 3, Tammeka wins 3
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
30.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Shelbourne
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Shelbourne
2
5
L
19.07.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Linfield
2
2
D
09.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Linfield
1
0
W
03.07.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
3
1
W
28.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
20.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
14.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
30.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
3
L
20.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
2
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
01.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
3
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
7
1
W
19.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
0
1
L
12.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
2
0
W
Last matches: Tammeka
11.07.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
1
5
L
05.07.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
2
1
W
21.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
1
0
W
17.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
30.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
15.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
1
W
08.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
01.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
0
W
25.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
0
1
L
22.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
18.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
12.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
07.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
3
L
03.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
2
W
14.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
27.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Riga Mariners
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Viimsi
2
0
W
H2H: Kalju Nomme vs Tammeka
17.06.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
08.03.26
H2H
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
W
02.11.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
2
1
W
03.08.25
H2H
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
1
3
W
10.05.25
H2H
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
W
16.03.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
2
2
D
29.09.24
H2H
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
2
3
W
27.07.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
3
0
W
28.06.24
H2H
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
03.05.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
4
2
W
23.09.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
4
1
W
13.08.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
24.05.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
16.04.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
2
W
10.02.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
1
0
L
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
30.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Shelbourne
2
1
W
09.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Linfield
1
0
W
28.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
14.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
20.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
26.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
7
1
W
12.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
03.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
4
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
10.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Partizani
1
1
D
H2H at home: Kalju Nomme
17.06.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
02.11.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
2
1
W
16.03.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
2
2
D
27.07.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
3
0
W
03.05.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
4
2
W
23.09.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
4
1
W
24.05.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
Last matches: Tammeka
11.07.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
1
5
L
17.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
01.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
0
W
25.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
0
1
L
18.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
07.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
3
L
21.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
2
W
14.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
3
L
27.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Riga Mariners
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Nõmme United
6
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Trans Narva
2
1
W
H2H away: Tammeka
17.06.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
W
02.11.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
2
1
L
16.03.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
2
2
D
27.07.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
3
0
L
03.05.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
4
2
L
23.09.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
4
1
L
24.05.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.25
Draw 4.10
Home 1.48
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.60
Home 1.83
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 3.00
Home 1.73
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.57
Over 3.5 2.38
Over 4.5 4.00
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 10.50
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 0.5 10.50
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.5 2.35
Under 3.5 1.53
Under 4.5 1.22
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.43
Draw 4.10
Home 1.49
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.35
Draw 2.36
Home 2.02
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.86
Home 1.80
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.06
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 1.75 1.17
Over 2.0 1.21
Over 2.25 1.40
Over 2.5 1.55
Over 2.75 1.65
Over 3.0 1.83
Over 3.25 2.11
Over 3.5 2.30
Over 3.75 2.66
Over 4.0 3.28
Over 4.25 3.58
Over 4.5 3.92
Over 4.75 4.80
Over 5.0 6.40
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 10.50
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 0.5 13.30
Under 1.0 9.80
Under 1.25 6.00
Under 1.5 4.40
Under 1.75 4.00
Under 2.0 3.58
Under 2.25 2.72
Under 2.5 2.29
Under 2.75 2.00
Under 3.0 1.79
Under 3.25 1.64
Under 3.5 1.49
Under 3.75 1.37
Under 4.0 1.25
Under 4.25 1.21
Under 4.5 1.18
Under 4.75 1.11
Under 5.0 1.05
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 3.90
Home 1.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 2.50
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 2.85
Home 1.96
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.53
Over 3.0 1.88
Over 3.25 2.12
Over 3.5 2.35
Over 3.75 2.75
Over 4.0 3.40
Over 4.5 4.00
Under 1.5 4.40
Under 2.5 2.25
Under 3.0 1.79
Under 3.25 1.62
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 3.75 1.38
Under 4.0 1.25
Under 4.5 1.17

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 14 4 1 49:16 33 46
W L D W W
2 19 12 0 7 39:21 18 36
L W W L W
3 20 10 5 5 33:16 17 35
D W D D L
4 20 9 5 6 32:28 4 32
L W D W W
5 20 8 2 10 28:38 -10 26
L W L W L
6 18 8 2 8 21:26 -5 26
L W W W D
7 20 8 1 11 39:46 -7 25
W W L W L
8 20 8 1 11 30:34 -4 25
W W L L L
9 20 5 3 12 19:33 -14 18
D L L L D
10 20 4 1 15 15:47 -32 13
W L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga