ESTONIA › MEISTRILIIGA
22.04.2026 15:45
Hiiu Stadium
Referee: K. Koppel
Kalju Nomme
Match Timeline
Nõmme United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
R. Siht · Assist: D. Tarassenkov
Kalju Nomme
⚽
20'
Z. Beglarishvili
Nõmme United
⚽
22'
N. Ivanov · Assist: R. Siht
Kalju Nomme
🔄
54'
S. Merilai ↔ A. Truuvaart
Nõmme United
🔄
60'
D. Sotsugov ↔ K. Kask
Kalju Nomme
🔄
60'
I. Jabir ↔ M. Mannilaan
Kalju Nomme
⚽
60'
B. Vastsuk · Assist: R. Siht
Kalju Nomme
🟨
61'
Y. Morishige
Nõmme United
⚽
65'
M. Mannilaan · Assist: N. Ivanov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
68'
H. Jarvelaid
Nõmme United
🔄
68'
B. Vastsuk ↔ T. Baptista
Kalju Nomme
🔄
68'
O. Dacosta ↔ M. Palts
Nõmme United
🔄
68'
H. Jarvelaid ↔ B. Vain
Nõmme United
🔄
68'
Y. Morishige ↔ B. Chisala
Nõmme United
🔄
76'
D. Tarassenkov ↔ M. Orlov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
76'
N. Ivanov ↔ A. Nikolajev
Kalju Nomme
⚽
81'
M. Orlov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
85'
G. Kabal ↔ R. Palu
Nõmme United
⚽
88'
T. Baptista · Assist: M. Orlov
Kalju Nomme
⚽
90'
K. Laanelaid
Kalju Nomme

Kalju Nomme vs Nõmme United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
72.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.5%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Kalju Nomme Win 67.4%
Draw 8.8%
Nõmme United Win 23.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kalju Nomme2.11
Nõmme United1.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WWDLW
31 GF / 14 GA
Nõmme United Nõmme United
WLDWL
37 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.94
Average Goals Scored
2.64
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
2.36
7
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 16 matches
Nõmme United Nõmme United 14 matches
Kalju Nomme Statistic Nõmme United
9 Wins 6
4 Draws 2
3 Losses 6
31 Goals For 37
14 Goals Against 33
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 2.64
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 2.36
7 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Nõmme United. Kalju Nomme arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 16 points compared to Nõmme United in 8 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Nõmme United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nõmme United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 16 points from 7 games, Kalju Nomme bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 11:2, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Mannilaan (4 goals), N. Ivanov (2 goals), D. Mashchenko (1 goals), with creative support from M. Orlov (2 assists), B. Vastsuk (1 assists), D. Tarassenkov (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Nõmme United Analysis

Nõmme United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 7 points from 7 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 16:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through O. Dacosta (4 goals), E. Ounapuu (3 goals), H. Jarvelaid (2 goals), with creative support from Z. Beglarishvili (4 assists), H. Jarvelaid (3 assists), K. Matas (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Kalju Nomme won 4 times, Nõmme United won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:3 from Kalju Nomme's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.2%)
H2H summary: Kalju Nomme wins 4, draws 2, Nõmme United wins 0

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 22 6 1 81:21 60 72
D W W W W
2 29 18 1 10 59:39 20 55
W W D W W
3 29 15 6 8 48:36 12 51
W W L W L
4 29 15 5 9 52:27 25 50
W W L L L
5 29 14 2 13 37:47 -10 44
L L W L W
6 29 11 2 16 40:47 -7 35
D W L L W
7 29 10 4 15 39:57 -18 34
L L L W W
8 29 8 5 16 31:49 -18 29
D L L W D
9 29 9 1 19 47:68 -21 28
L L W L L
10 29 5 4 20 22:65 -43 19
D L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga