BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Alfredo Jaconi
Referee: Lucas Paulo Torezin, Brazil
Juventude
Match Timeline
Sport Recife
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
55'
Biel Fonseca
Sport Recife
🔄
66'
Marcos Paulo ↔ Allanzinho
Juventude
🔄
71'
Clayson ↔ Iury Castilho
Sport Recife
🔄
71'
Madson ↔ Augusto Pucci
Sport Recife
🔄
71'
Biel Fonseca ↔ Pedro Victor Martins
Sport Recife
🔄
75'
Alan Kardec ↔ Alisson Safira
Juventude
🔄
76'
Fábio Lima ↔ Manuel Castro
Juventude
🟨
79'
Messias
Juventude
82'
Iury Castilho · Assist: Chrystian Barletta
Sport Recife
🔄
83'
Diogo Barbosa ↔ Wadson
Juventude
🔄
83'
Nathan ↔ Aderlan
Juventude
🟨
87'
Perotti
Sport Recife
🟨
90+6'
Zé Lucas
Sport Recife
🟨
90+1'
Felipinho
Sport Recife
🔄
90'
Chrystian Barletta ↔ Edson Lucas
Sport Recife
🔄
90'
Yago Felipe ↔ Zé Gabriel
Sport Recife

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70.1%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Juventude Win 37.3%
Draw 11.8%
Sport Recife Win 50.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventude0.71
Sport Recife1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventude Juventude
WWDLW
6 GF / 5 GA
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WLDWL
12 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.56
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
2
BTTS Yes
5
1
Over 2.5
4
3.89
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventude Juventude 9 matches
Sport Recife Sport Recife 9 matches
Juventude Statistic Sport Recife
3 Wins 4
4 Draws 4
2 Losses 1
6 Goals For 12
5 Goals Against 7
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.56 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
2 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 6
1 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 2
3.89 Shots On Goal 4.33
10.56 Total Shots 12.78
3.44 Corners 4.56
52.1% Ball Possession 52.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventude expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Sport Recife in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Recife having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sport Recife.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude are currently 10 in the standings with 13 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 6:5 reflects mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by Alan Kardec (2 goals), Allanzinho (1 goals), Luan Martins Gonçalves (1 goals), with creative support from Alan Kardec (1 assists), Luan Martins Gonçalves (1 assists), Alisson Safira (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Sport Recife Analysis

Sport Recife come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 16 points after 9 matches. The return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 12:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Pedro Perotti (5 goals), Chrystian Barletta (4 goals), Felipinho (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (2 assists), Marlon Douglas (2 assists), Felipinho (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Juventude won 3 times, Sport Recife won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:9 from Juventude's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Juventude 3-4-2-1 / Sport Recife 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Juventude wins 3, draws 1, Sport Recife wins 3
Stats
Juventude Juventude
Sport Recife Sport Recife
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
9 Corner Kicks 2
19 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 0
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Goal 2
9 Shots off Goal 5
5 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
360 Total passes 346
292 Passes accurate 281
0.95 expected_goals 0.52
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Juventude
Formation
Sport Recife
Jandrei
Jandrei
Rodrigo Sam
Rodrigo Sam
Messias
Messias
Marcos Paulo
Marcos Paulo
Nathan
Nathan
Raí
Raí
Lucas Mineiro
Lucas Mineiro
Diogo Barbosa
Diogo Barbosa
Fábio Lima
Fábio Lima
Alan Kardec
Alan Kardec
Marcos Paulo
Marcos Paulo
Thiago Couto
Thiago Couto
Madson
Madson
Marcelo Benevenuto
Marcelo Benevenuto
Zé Marcos
Zé Marcos
Felipinho
Felipinho
Biel Fonseca
Biel Fonseca
Zé Lucas
Zé Lucas
Chrystian Barletta
🎯
Chrystian Barletta
Yago Felipe
Yago Felipe
Clayson
Clayson
Perotti
Perotti
Juventude 3-4-3
Starting XI
93
Jandrei
G
34
Rodrigo Sam
D
4
Messias
🟨 79'
D
47
Marcos Paulo
D
22
Nathan
↓ 83'
M
75
Raí
M
8
Lucas Mineiro
M
16
Diogo Barbosa
↓ 83'
M
11
Fábio Lima
↓ 76'
F
9
Alan Kardec
↓ 75'
F
10
Marcos Paulo
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
20
Allanzinho
↑ 66'
F
25
Alisson Safira
↑ 75'
F
17
Manuel Castro
↑ 76'
F
6
Wadson
↑ 83'
D
13
Aderlan
↑ 83'
D
12
Pedro Rocha
G
36
Kaua Oliveira Costa
D
3
Titi
D
26
Iba Ly
D
15
Léo Índio
M
27
Ray Breno
F
29
Carlinhos
F
Sport Recife 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
26
Thiago Couto
G
13
Madson
↓ 71'
D
5
Marcelo Benevenuto
D
4
Zé Marcos
D
60
Felipinho
🟨 90+1'
D
6
Biel Fonseca
↓ 71' 🟨 55'
M
58
Zé Lucas
🟨 90+6'
M
30
Chrystian Barletta
🎯 82' ↓ 90'
M
7
Yago Felipe
↓ 90'
M
25
Clayson
↓ 71'
M
9
Perotti
🟨 87'
F
Substitutes
68
Augusto Pucci
↑ 71'
D
48
Pedro Victor Martins
↑ 71'
M
95
Iury Castilho
⚽ 82' ↑ 71'
F
96
Edson Lucas
↑ 90'
D
23
Zé Gabriel
↑ 90'
M
1
Halls
G
3
Marcelo Ajul
D
28
Habraão
D
8
Max
M
10
Carlos De Pena
M
47
Fabio Matheus
M
77
Micael de Barros Viturino
F
Last matches: Juventude
09.08.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
1
0
W
28.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
1
0
W
24.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Botafogo SP
2
4
L
17.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Cuiaba
2
0
W
10.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
05.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Juventude
São Bernardo
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
05.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Operario-PR
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Criciuma
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Juventude
CRB
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
31.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
0
2
L
Last matches: Sport Recife
08.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
1
0
W
27.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
1
1
D
22.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Goias
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
2
2
D
10.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
3
3
D
04.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
19.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
0
0
D
11.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
CRB
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
3
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ceara
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Avai
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
0
0
D
H2H: Juventude vs Sport Recife
23.05.26
H2H
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
L
05.11.25
H2H
Sport Recife
Juventude
0
2
W
14.07.25
H2H
Juventude
Sport Recife
2
0
W
16.10.23
H2H
Juventude
Sport Recife
2
2
D
23.06.23
H2H
Sport Recife
Juventude
3
0
L
06.10.21
H2H
Sport Recife
Juventude
3
1
L
20.06.21
H2H
Juventude
Sport Recife
1
0
W
Last matches: Juventude
28.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
1
0
W
17.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Cuiaba
2
0
W
10.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Criciuma
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
2
0
W
31.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
0
0
D
H2H at home: Juventude
23.05.26
H2H
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
L
14.07.25
H2H
Juventude
Sport Recife
2
0
W
16.10.23
H2H
Juventude
Sport Recife
2
2
D
20.06.21
H2H
Juventude
Sport Recife
1
0
W
Last matches: Sport Recife
08.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
1
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Goias
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
3
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
0
0
D
H2H away: Sport Recife
23.05.26
H2H
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
W
14.07.25
H2H
Juventude
Sport Recife
2
0
L
16.10.23
H2H
Juventude
Sport Recife
2
2
D
20.06.21
H2H
Juventude
Sport Recife
1
0
L