URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Parque Artigas
Referee: H. Heras
Juventud
Match Timeline
Liverpool Montevideo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
L. Roldan
Juventud
🟨
21'
F. Martinez
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
40'
N. Garayalde
Liverpool Montevideo
44'
R. Peralta
Juventud
🔄
46'
F. Perdomo ↔ R. M. Degregorio
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
59'
L. Roldan ↔ E. Cecchini
Juventud
🔄
59'
N. Garayalde ↔ G. de Mello
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
62'
P. Lago
Juventud
🟨
62'
E. Olivera
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
68'
R. Rabino ↔ E. Mas
Juventud
🔄
68'
P. Lago ↔ G. Pereiro
Juventud
🔄
68'
A. Cruz ↔ J. Boselli
Juventud
71'
D. Romero
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
72'
D. Zabala ↔ L. Acosta
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
72'
F. Martinez ↔ R. Machado
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
73'
P. Pernicone
Juventud
🔄
78'
F. Mimbacas ↔ S. Guerrero
Juventud
🔄
83'
E. Olivera ↔ A. Cayetano
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
90+1'
F. Perez
Juventud

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 71.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
71.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Juventud Win 39.9%
Draw 17.7%
Liverpool Montevideo Win 42.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventud1.18
Liverpool Montevideo1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventud Juventud
WWDLW
20 GF / 27 GA
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
WLDWL
17 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
11
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
6
4.33
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventud Juventud 18 matches
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 14 matches
Juventud Statistic Liverpool Montevideo
4 Wins 4
4 Draws 5
10 Losses 5
20 Goals For 17
27 Goals Against 18
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
11 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 4
4.33 Shots On Goal 3.5
13.5 Total Shots 11.5
4.33 Corners 4
51% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Liverpool Montevideo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 16 points while Juventud sit 16 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Liverpool Montevideo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Juventud have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventud expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Liverpool Montevideo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Liverpool Montevideo having the stronger overall control.

Juventud Analysis

Juventud approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 8 points from 12 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 10:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Mimbacas (6 goals), G. Gomez (2 goals), Alejo Cruz (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Liverpool Montevideo Analysis

So far, Liverpool Montevideo have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 16 points from 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 13:13 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Martinez (5 goals), Rubén Bentancourt (3 goals), D. Romero (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Juventud won 7 times, Liverpool Montevideo won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:13 from Juventud's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.3%)
Predicted formations: Juventud 4-3-3 / Liverpool Montevideo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Juventud wins 7, draws 5, Liverpool Montevideo wins 2

Lineups

Juventud
Formation
Liverpool Montevideo
S. Sosa
S. Sosa
D. Morosini
D. Morosini
P. Pernicone
P. Pernicone
F. Risso
F. Risso
R. Rabino
R. Rabino
L. Roldan
L. Roldan
F. Perez
F. Perez
R. Peralta
R. Peralta
P. Lago
P. Lago
F. Mimbacas
F. Mimbacas
A. Cruz
A. Cruz
M. Campana
M. Campana
F. Perdomo
F. Perdomo
S. Laquidain
S. Laquidain
E. Castillo
E. Castillo
D. Romero
D. Romero
N. Garayalde
N. Garayalde
E. Olivera
E. Olivera
K. Amaro
K. Amaro
D. Zabala
D. Zabala
F. Martinez
F. Martinez
R. Bentancourt
R. Bentancourt
Juventud 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
S. Sosa
G
5
D. Morosini
D
2
P. Pernicone
🟨 73'
D
28
F. Risso
D
16
R. Rabino
↓ 68'
D
14
L. Roldan
↓ 59' 🟨 12'
M
21
F. Perez
🟨 90+1'
M
37
R. Peralta
⚽ 44'
M
11
P. Lago
↓ 68' 🟨 62'
M
80
F. Mimbacas
↓ 78'
F
15
A. Cruz
↓ 68'
M
Substitutes
12
N. Rossi
G
23
E. Mas
↑ 68'
D
8
M. Izaguirre
M
19
E. Cecchini
↑ 59'
M
22
R. Chagas
M
30
G. Gomez
M
26
G. Pereiro
↑ 68'
F
27
J. Boselli
↑ 68'
M
9
M. Perez
F
90
S. Guerrero
↑ 78'
F
Liverpool Montevideo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
M. Campana
G
4
F. Perdomo
↓ 46'
D
15
S. Laquidain
D
23
E. Castillo
D
27
D. Romero
⚽ 71'
D
5
N. Garayalde
↓ 59' 🟨 40'
M
29
E. Olivera
↓ 83' 🟨 62'
M
24
K. Amaro
M
22
D. Zabala
↓ 72'
M
7
F. Martinez
↓ 72' 🟨 21'
F
11
R. Bentancourt
F
Substitutes
1
M. Bernatene
G
18
A. Cayetano
↑ 83'
D
34
K. Lewis
D
16
L. Acosta
↑ 72'
M
8
M. Mir
M
26
T. Brizuela
M
17
G. de Mello
↑ 59'
M
9
R. Machado
↑ 72'
F
10
R. M. Degregorio
↑ 46'
F
31
F. Barcelo
F
Last matches: Juventud
05.07.26
Pri
Juventud
Danubio
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Juventud
Club Nacional
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Wanderers
2
5
L
16.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
2
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Wanderers
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Penarol
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
30.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Boston River
1
2
L
25.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Cerro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Albion FC
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Danubio
1
4
L
13.03.26
CON
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Club Nacional
3
1
W
06.03.26
CON
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
02.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
1
2
L
26.02.26
CON
Juventud
Club Guarani
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Juventud
Central Espanol
0
1
L
19.02.26
CON
Juventud
Club Guarani
0
0
D
Last matches: Liverpool Montevideo
08.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
0
D
01.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
22.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
3
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
3
D
24.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
2
0
W
25.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
1
D
18.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
06.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
2
1
W
H2H: Juventud vs Liverpool Montevideo
25.04.26
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
01.11.25
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
0
1
W
04.05.25
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
20.10.19
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
30.03.19
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
2
1
L
22.11.17
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
29.04.17
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
2
2
D
22.10.16
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
1
0
L
21.02.16
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
1
3
W
09.09.15
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
20.04.14
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
2
0
W
16.11.13
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
2
2
D
04.05.13
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
2
2
D
10.11.12
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
Last matches: Juventud
31.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Wanderers
2
5
L
16.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
1
0
W
30.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Boston River
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Albion FC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Club Nacional
3
1
W
06.03.26
CON
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pri
Juventud
Central Espanol
0
1
L
19.02.26
CON
Juventud
Club Guarani
0
0
D
08.02.26
Pri
Juventud
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
06.02.26
CON
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Juventud
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
12.10.25
Pri
Juventud
CA River Plate
1
2
L
28.09.25
Pri
Juventud
Club Nacional
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
Juventud
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
31.08.25
Pri
Juventud
Cerro
1
0
W
16.08.25
Pri
Juventud
Miramar
2
1
W
02.08.25
Pri
Juventud
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
H2H at home: Juventud
25.04.26
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
04.05.25
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
20.10.19
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
22.11.17
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
09.09.15
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
20.04.14
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
2
0
W
10.11.12
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
Last matches: Liverpool Montevideo
01.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
0
1
L
13.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
25.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
1
D
06.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
2
1
W
07.11.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
20.10.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
03.10.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
CA River Plate
1
0
W
20.09.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
3
L
07.09.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
24.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
2
L
10.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Miramar
1
0
W
H2H away: Liverpool Montevideo
25.04.26
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
04.05.25
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
L
20.10.19
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
22.11.17
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
L
09.09.15
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
L
20.04.14
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
2
0
L
10.11.12
H2H
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
L

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 12 3 4 35:20 15 39
W W D W W
2 19 10 7 2 25:15 10 37
D D D W L
3 19 11 3 5 28:18 10 36
W L W W W
4 19 9 5 5 29:20 9 32
W L L D W
5 19 10 1 8 31:26 5 31
W L W W W
6 19 9 4 6 27:25 2 31
D W L W W
7 19 8 5 6 29:24 5 29
L W W L W
8 19 7 5 7 22:24 -2 26
D W D D W
9 19 6 7 6 22:20 2 25
D W D L L
10 19 7 3 9 21:20 1 24
D W W L L
11 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
D D L L L
12 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
D L L W L
13 18 4 7 7 19:26 -7 19
D L L L L
14 18 5 3 10 22:29 -7 18
L L W W W
15 19 3 4 12 16:30 -14 13
L W L L L
16 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13
L L W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)