Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
82.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
71.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
59.2%
|
- |
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Juventud
18 matches
Liverpool Montevideo
14 matches
| Juventud | Statistic | Liverpool Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 10 | Losses | 5 |
| 20 | Goals For | 17 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 13.5 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 4.33 | Corners | 4 |
| 51% | Ball Possession | 56% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Liverpool Montevideo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 16 points while Juventud sit 16 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Liverpool Montevideo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Juventud have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventud expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Liverpool Montevideo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Liverpool Montevideo having the stronger overall control.
Juventud approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 8 points from 12 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 10:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Mimbacas (6 goals), G. Gomez (2 goals), Alejo Cruz (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Liverpool Montevideo have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 16 points from 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 13:13 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Martinez (5 goals), Rubén Bentancourt (3 goals), D. Romero (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Juventud won 7 times, Liverpool Montevideo won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:13 from Juventud's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.
Lineups
Juventud
Danubio
Juventud
Club Nacional
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Progreso
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Penarol
Juventud
Progreso
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Boston River
Juventud
Cerro
Juventud
Albion FC
Juventud
Danubio
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Club Nacional
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Club Guarani
Juventud
Central Espanol
Juventud
Club Guarani
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Progreso
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Progreso
Juventud
Boston River
Juventud
Albion FC
Juventud
Club Nacional
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Central Espanol
Juventud
Club Guarani
Juventud
Cerro Largo
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
Progreso
Juventud
Plaza Colonia
Juventud
CA River Plate
Juventud
Club Nacional
Juventud
Atletico Torque
Juventud
Cerro
Juventud
Miramar
Juventud
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
Liverpool Montevideo
CA River Plate
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Miramar
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 39 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 37 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 26 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Liverpool Montevideo
Away
|
19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Juventud
Home
|
18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 18 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 15 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 13 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10:31 | -21 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|