URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN
25.04.2026 15:00
Parque Artigas
Referee: H. Heras
Juventud
Match Timeline
Liverpool Montevideo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
L. Roldan
Juventud
🟨
21'
F. Martinez
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
40'
N. Garayalde
Liverpool Montevideo
44'
R. Peralta
Juventud
🔄
46'
F. Perdomo ↔ R. M. Degregorio
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
59'
L. Roldan ↔ E. Cecchini
Juventud
🔄
59'
N. Garayalde ↔ G. de Mello
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
62'
P. Lago
Juventud
🟨
62'
E. Olivera
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
68'
R. Rabino ↔ E. Mas
Juventud
🔄
68'
P. Lago ↔ G. Pereiro
Juventud
🔄
68'
A. Cruz ↔ J. Boselli
Juventud
71'
D. Romero
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
72'
D. Zabala ↔ L. Acosta
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
72'
F. Martinez ↔ R. Machado
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
73'
P. Pernicone
Juventud
🔄
78'
F. Mimbacas ↔ S. Guerrero
Juventud
🔄
83'
E. Olivera ↔ A. Cayetano
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
90+1'
F. Perez
Juventud

Juventud vs Liverpool Montevideo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 71.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
71.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Juventud Win 39.9%
Draw 17.7%
Liverpool Montevideo Win 42.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventud1.18
Liverpool Montevideo1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventud Juventud
WWDLW
20 GF / 27 GA
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
WLDWL
17 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
11
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
6
4.33
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventud Juventud 18 matches
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 14 matches
Juventud Statistic Liverpool Montevideo
4 Wins 4
4 Draws 5
10 Losses 5
20 Goals For 17
27 Goals Against 18
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
11 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 4
4.33 Shots On Goal 3.5
13.5 Total Shots 11.5
4.33 Corners 4
51% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Liverpool Montevideo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 16 points while Juventud sit 16 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Liverpool Montevideo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Juventud have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventud expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Liverpool Montevideo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Liverpool Montevideo having the stronger overall control.

Juventud Analysis

Juventud approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 8 points from 12 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 10:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Mimbacas (6 goals), G. Gomez (2 goals), Alejo Cruz (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Liverpool Montevideo Analysis

So far, Liverpool Montevideo have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 16 points from 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 13:13 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Martinez (5 goals), Rubén Bentancourt (3 goals), D. Romero (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Juventud won 7 times, Liverpool Montevideo won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:13 from Juventud's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.3%)
Predicted formations: Juventud 4-3-3 / Liverpool Montevideo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Juventud wins 7, draws 5, Liverpool Montevideo wins 2

Standings

Primera: Torneo Intermedio
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 4 3 0 12:4 8 15
W W W D W
1 7 5 1 1 12:3 9 16
W W D W L
2 7 4 1 2 8:8 0 13
W L D W L
2 7 3 2 2 7:5 2 11
L W D D W
3 7 3 3 1 12:6 6 12
D L D W W
3 7 2 4 1 4:3 1 10
W L D D D
4 7 4 0 3 11:11 0 12
L W W L W
4 7 2 3 2 5:5 0 9
D W L D W
5 7 2 3 2 4:4 0 9
D L D D W
5 7 2 2 3 8:11 -3 8
D W L D L
6 7 3 0 4 6:10 -4 9
L W W L L
6 7 1 3 3 6:8 -2 6
D L D W L
7 7 1 3 3 6:9 -3 6
W L D D D
7 7 2 0 5 6:11 -5 6
L W L L W
8 7 1 2 4 5:10 -5 5
L L D D L
8 7 0 4 3 5:9 -4 4
D L D D D
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs: Final)