Juventud vs Liverpool Montevideo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
82.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
71.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
59.2%
|
- |
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Juventud
18 matches
Liverpool Montevideo
14 matches
| Juventud | Statistic | Liverpool Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 10 | Losses | 5 |
| 20 | Goals For | 17 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 13.5 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 4.33 | Corners | 4 |
| 51% | Ball Possession | 56% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Liverpool Montevideo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 16 points while Juventud sit 16 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Liverpool Montevideo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Juventud have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventud expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Liverpool Montevideo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Liverpool Montevideo having the stronger overall control.
Juventud approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 8 points from 12 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 10:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Mimbacas (6 goals), G. Gomez (2 goals), Alejo Cruz (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Liverpool Montevideo have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 16 points from 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 13:13 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Martinez (5 goals), Rubén Bentancourt (3 goals), D. Romero (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Juventud won 7 times, Liverpool Montevideo won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:13 from Juventud's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 15 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 9 | 16 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 12 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 10 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 |
Liverpool Montevideo
Away
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
| 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 9 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Juventud
Home
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
D
L
D
D
D
|