PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
18.04.2026 20:15
Estadio Municipal de la Juventud
Referee: Luis Ciriaco, Peru
Juan Pablo II College
Match Timeline
Comerciantes Unidos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
I. Iriarte · Assist: M. Alaniz
Juan Pablo II College
21'
E. M. Perez Azambuya · Assist: A. Cossio
Comerciantes Unidos
31'
C. Tizon · Assist: E. Ramirez
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
32'
Juan Rodríguez
Comerciantes Unidos
🟨
38'
Jorge Toledo
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
61'
F. Agurto ↔ M. Peralta
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
62'
F. Alcedo ↔ W. Ayovi
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
68'
F. Rojas ↔ J. Parodi
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
74'
E. M. Perez Azambuya ↔ J. Olivares
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
74'
A. Rodriguez ↔ T. Salinas
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
80'
M. Juambeltz ↔ H. Bazan
Juan Pablo II College
84'
T. Salinas · Assist: J. Rodriguez
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
86'
J. Duran ↔ C. Flores
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
90+8'
Christian Flores
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
90+6'
M. Alaniz ↔ P. Anton
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
90+7'
C. Cueva ↔ A. Henricks
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
90+7'
J. Toledo ↔ R. Aliaga
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
90+7'
R. Vilca ↔ J. Herrera
Comerciantes Unidos

Juan Pablo II College vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Juan Pablo II College Win 35.9%
Draw 21.8%
Comerciantes Unidos Win 42.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juan Pablo II College1.53
Comerciantes Unidos1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
WWDLW
18 GF / 24 GA
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
WLDWL
14 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.27
2.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
7
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
5
2.8
Shots on Goal
3.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 11 matches
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 11 matches
Juan Pablo II College Statistic Comerciantes Unidos
5 Wins 3
1 Draws 4
5 Losses 4
18 Goals For 14
24 Goals Against 15
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
2.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
7 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 8
9 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
2.8 Shots On Goal 3.89
8.4 Total Shots 10.33
3.1 Corners 3.56
38.5% Ball Possession 41.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Juan Pablo II College have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Comerciantes Unidos. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juan Pablo II College expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Comerciantes Unidos in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Comerciantes Unidos having the stronger overall control.

Juan Pablo II College Analysis

Juan Pablo II College approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 13 points from 10 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 15:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Juambeltz (3 goals), P. Fuentes (3 goals), M. Alaniz (2 goals), with creative support from M. Alaniz (5 assists), C. Cueva (3 assists), M. Juambeltz (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Comerciantes Unidos Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Comerciantes Unidos have collected 12 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 13:13 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Matias Sen (4 goals), R. Vilca (2 goals), W. Ayovi (2 goals), with creative support from R. Vilca (3 assists), Matias Sen (1 assists), J. Herrera (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Juan Pablo II College won 0 times, Comerciantes Unidos won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from Juan Pablo II College's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.2%)
Predicted formations: Juan Pablo II College 5-3-2 / Comerciantes Unidos 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Juan Pablo II College wins 0, draws 2, Comerciantes Unidos wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 15 7 2 40:15 25 52
L D W D W
2 24 13 6 5 39:24 15 45
W W W D L
3 24 12 6 6 31:21 10 42
W W D W W
4 24 12 5 7 34:37 -3 41
L L L D W
5 24 11 6 7 40:28 12 39
L D W L D
6 24 12 3 9 36:36 0 39
W L W L W
7 24 11 4 9 39:35 4 37
L L D L W
8 24 9 7 8 34:29 5 34
W W D W L
9 24 9 7 8 26:23 3 34
W W D D W
10 24 8 5 11 38:38 0 29
L L W D W
11 24 7 8 9 32:33 -1 29
L W L W L
12 24 8 5 11 20:23 -3 29
W W W D L
13 24 7 6 11 35:50 -15 27
W W L D L
14 24 7 5 12 31:41 -10 26
W L L D W
15 24 6 7 11 23:33 -10 25
L W D L D
16 24 6 6 12 36:44 -8 24
W L L W L
17 24 5 7 12 27:36 -9 22
L L D D L
18 24 4 8 12 27:42 -15 15
L L L D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2