PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II
Referee: M. Espinoza
Juan Pablo II College
Match Timeline
Atletico Grau
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
E. Rodas
Atletico Grau
🔄
39'
J. Torres ↔ E. Ramirez
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
46'
J. Toledo ↔ C. Villanueva
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
46'
J. Carhualllanqui ↔ C. Flores
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
50'
M. Da Luz
Atletico Grau
🔄
56'
N. Leguizamon ↔ J. Posito
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
68'
M. Da Luz ↔ A. Vasquez
Atletico Grau
🔄
68'
L. E. Benites Vargas ↔ D. Barreto
Atletico Grau
🔄
68'
G. E. Alfaro Martinez ↔ P. de la Cruz
Atletico Grau
🟨
71'
A. de la Cruz
Atletico Grau
🔄
79'
A. Rojas ↔ A. Henricks
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
85'
A. de la Cruz ↔ I. Tapia
Atletico Grau
🔄
85'
A. Fernandez ↔ Y. Ruidiaz
Atletico Grau

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 72.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
72.6%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Juan Pablo II College Win 39.5%
Draw 33.1%
Atletico Grau Win 27.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juan Pablo II College1.27
Atletico Grau1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
WWDLW
29 GF / 44 GA
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau
WLDWL
15 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
0.75
2.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
14
BTTS Yes
6
14
Over 2.5
6
3.25
Shots on Goal
4.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 21 matches
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 20 matches
Juan Pablo II College Statistic Atletico Grau
6 Wins 5
5 Draws 4
10 Losses 11
29 Goals For 15
44 Goals Against 22
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
2.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
14 BTTS Yes 6
21 Over 1.5 9
14 Over 2.5 6
8 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 11
3.25 Shots On Goal 4.11
9.1 Total Shots 11.68
3.6 Corners 4.26
42.5% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juan Pablo II College expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Atletico Grau in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Grau having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atletico Grau. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Juan Pablo II College Analysis

Juan Pablo II College sit 18 with 16 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 22:40, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Martín Alaníz (2 goals), Josue Torres (2 goals), Erinson Ramirez (1 goals), with creative support from Martín Alaníz (2 assists), Erinson Ramirez (1 assists), Cristhian Tizón (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Grau Analysis

Atletico Grau approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 16 points from 17 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 12:18, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Raúl Ruidíaz (2 goals), Rafael Guarderas (1 goals), Christian Neira (1 goals), with creative support from Rafael Guarderas (2 assists), Raúl Ruidíaz (1 assists), Elsar Rodas (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Juan Pablo II College won 2 times, Atletico Grau won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Juan Pablo II College's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (72.6%)
Predicted formations: Juan Pablo II College 4-4-2 / Atletico Grau 5-4-1
H2H summary: Juan Pablo II College wins 2, draws 1, Atletico Grau wins 1
Stats
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
9 Corner Kicks 1
2 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 2
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 3
9 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
452 Total passes 338
347 Passes accurate 245
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Juan Pablo II College
Formation
Atletico Grau
Matias Vega
Matias Vega
Fabio Agurto
Fabio Agurto
Pablo Míguez
Pablo Míguez
Matias Almiron
Matias Almiron
Jorge Toledo
Jorge Toledo
Alvaro Rojas
Alvaro Rojas
Jack Carhuallanqui
Jack Carhuallanqui
Paolo Reyna
Paolo Reyna
Martín Alaníz
Martín Alaníz
Nicolás Leguizamón
Nicolás Leguizamón
Josue Torres
Josue Torres
Patricio Álvarez
Patricio Álvarez
Christian Vásquez
Christian Vásquez
Rodrigo Tapia
Rodrigo Tapia
Lucas Acevedo
Lucas Acevedo
Elsar Rodas
Elsar Rodas
Luis Benites
Luis Benites
Adrián De la Cruz
Adrián De la Cruz
Rafael Guarderas
Rafael Guarderas
Gabriel Alfaro
Gabriel Alfaro
Adrián Fernández
Adrián Fernández
Mauro Da Luz
Mauro Da Luz
Juan Pablo II College 3-4-3
Starting XI
23
Matias Vega
G
26
Fabio Agurto
D
60
Pablo Míguez
D
33
Matias Almiron
D
31
Jorge Toledo
↓ 46'
M
37
Alvaro Rojas
↓ 79'
M
14
Jack Carhuallanqui
M
19
Paolo Reyna
M
50
Martín Alaníz
F
25
Nicolás Leguizamón
↓ 56'
F
88
Josue Torres
F
Substitutes
18
Erinson Ramirez
↑ 39'
F
8
Christian Flores
↑ 46'
M
71
Chase Villanueva
M
89
Janio Pósito
↑ 56'
F
7
Adán Henricks
↑ 79'
F
12
Ismael Quispe
G
13
Bairon Puño
M
16
Piero Anton
D
15
Nilton Ramirez
M
Atletico Grau 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
Patricio Álvarez
G
8
Christian Vásquez
D
27
Rodrigo Tapia
D
2
Lucas Acevedo
D
6
Elsar Rodas
🟨 17'
D
96
Luis Benites
↓ 68'
M
66
Adrián De la Cruz
↓ 85' 🟨 71'
M
5
Rafael Guarderas
M
25
Gabriel Alfaro
↓ 68'
M
99
Adrián Fernández
↓ 85'
F
77
Mauro Da Luz
↓ 68' 🟨 50'
F
Substitutes
20
Aldair Vasquez
↑ 68'
M
7
Diego Barreto
↑ 68'
M
10
Paulo de la Cruz
↑ 68'
M
3
Ignacio Tapia
↑ 85'
D
24
Yamir Ruidiaz
↑ 85'
F
12
Aarom Fuentes
G
16
José Ataupillco
D
11
Nicolás Delgadillo
F
21
Eslyn Correa
M
Last matches: Juan Pablo II College
14.08.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cusco
0
2
L
02.08.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
25.07.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
2
0
W
17.07.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FC Cajamarca
2
2
D
30.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
4
L
22.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Huancayo
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Universitario
1
4
L
26.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Boys
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
2
2
D
14.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
UCV Moquegua
0
3
L
05.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Lima
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
ADT
3
2
W
01.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cusco
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
1
6
L
Last matches: Atletico Grau
14.08.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
01.08.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
1
L
25.07.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
0
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
3
1
W
29.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Cusco
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Universitario
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
ADT
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
4
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Alianza Atletico
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
1
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D
H2H: Juan Pablo II College vs Atletico Grau
08.08.26
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
22.02.26
H2H
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
1
2
W
08.11.25
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
3
1
W
06.07.25
H2H
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
2
0
L
Last matches: Juan Pablo II College
25.07.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
2
0
W
22.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Universitario
1
4
L
18.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
01.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cusco
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
31.01.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FC Cajamarca
3
3
D
24.01.26
Fri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
3
0
W
H2H at home: Juan Pablo II College
08.08.26
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
08.11.25
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
3
1
W
Last matches: Atletico Grau
25.07.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
0
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Cusco
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Universitario
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
ADT
0
1
L
17.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Alianza Atletico
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
1
L
30.01.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
0
2
L
H2H away: Atletico Grau
08.08.26
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
08.11.25
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
3
1
L

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
D W W D W
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
D L W D L
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
W D L W W
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
W D L D W
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
W D W D W
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
W W L D D
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
W D W W W
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
L D W L W
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
L D L D L
10 17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
L L W D W
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
W D W D L
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
L W L D D
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
D D L L L
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
L D L D L
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
D D W W W
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
W L W L L
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
L D L W L
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
L D L L L
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