08.08.2026 20:30
Complejo Deportivo Juan Pablo II
Referee: Michael Espinoza, Peru
Juan Pablo II College
Match Timeline
Atletico Grau
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Elsar Rodas
Atletico Grau
VAR
17'
Elsar Rodas
Atletico Grau
🔄
39'
J. Torres ↔ E. Ramirez
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
46'
J. Toledo ↔ C. Villanueva
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
46'
J. Carhualllanqui ↔ C. Flores
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
50'
Mauro Da Luz
Atletico Grau
🔄
56'
N. Leguizamon ↔ J. Posito
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
68'
G. E. Alfaro Martinez ↔ P. de la Cruz
Atletico Grau
🔄
68'
L. E. Benites Vargas ↔ D. Barreto
Atletico Grau
🔄
68'
M. Da Luz ↔ A. Vasquez
Atletico Grau
🟨
71'
Adrián De la Cruz
Atletico Grau
🔄
79'
A. Rojas ↔ A. Henricks
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
85'
A. de la Cruz ↔ I. Tapia
Atletico Grau
🔄
85'
A. Fernandez ↔ Y. Ruidiaz
Atletico Grau

Juan Pablo II College vs Atletico Grau Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 72.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
72.6%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Juan Pablo II College Win 39.5%
Draw 33.1%
Atletico Grau Win 27.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juan Pablo II College1.27
Atletico Grau1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
WWDLW
29 GF / 44 GA
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau
WLDWL
15 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
0.75
2.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
14
BTTS Yes
6
14
Over 2.5
6
3.25
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 21 matches
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 20 matches
Juan Pablo II College Statistic Atletico Grau
6 Wins 5
5 Draws 4
10 Losses 11
29 Goals For 15
44 Goals Against 22
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
2.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
14 BTTS Yes 6
21 Over 1.5 9
14 Over 2.5 6
8 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 11
3.25 Shots On Goal 4
9.1 Total Shots 11.55
3.6 Corners 4.15
42.5% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juan Pablo II College expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Atletico Grau in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Grau having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atletico Grau. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Juan Pablo II College Analysis

Juan Pablo II College sit 18 with 16 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 22:40, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Martín Alaníz (2 goals), Josue Torres (2 goals), Erinson Ramirez (1 goals), with creative support from Martín Alaníz (2 assists), Erinson Ramirez (1 assists), Cristhian Tizón (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Grau Analysis

Atletico Grau approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 16 points from 17 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 12:18, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Raúl Ruidíaz (2 goals), Rafael Guarderas (1 goals), Christian Neira (1 goals), with creative support from Rafael Guarderas (2 assists), Raúl Ruidíaz (1 assists), Elsar Rodas (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Juan Pablo II College won 2 times, Atletico Grau won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Juan Pablo II College's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (72.6%)
Predicted formations: Juan Pablo II College 4-4-2 / Atletico Grau 5-4-1
H2H summary: Juan Pablo II College wins 2, draws 1, Atletico Grau wins 1

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5 26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 26 10 7 9 38:34 4 37
L W W W D
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 25:28 -3 32
W L W W W
12 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
13 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
14 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2