PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.73
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.87
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
62.8%
1.73
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
1.87
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.80
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-1
-
6.50
Probability Distribution
Juan Pablo II College Win 37.2%
Draw 24.5%
ADT Win 38.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juan Pablo II College1.28
ADT1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
WWDLW
29 GF / 46 GA
ADT ADT
WLDWL
26 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.13
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
14
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
10
3.23
Shots on Goal
4.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 23 matches
ADT ADT 23 matches
Juan Pablo II College Statistic ADT
6 Wins 5
6 Draws 7
11 Losses 11
29 Goals For 26
46 Goals Against 30
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
14 BTTS Yes 12
22 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 6
3.23 Shots On Goal 4.82
9.41 Total Shots 13
3.91 Corners 4.32
43% Ball Possession 54.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward ADT. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juan Pablo II College expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and ADT in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward ADT having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. ADT arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Juan Pablo II College Analysis

Juan Pablo II College sit 16 with 21 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 26:44, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Martín Alaníz (2 goals), Josue Torres (2 goals), Erinson Ramirez (1 goals), with creative support from Martín Alaníz (2 assists), Erinson Ramirez (1 assists), Cristhian Tizón (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

ADT Analysis

With 21 points from 21 games and a place of 13, ADT still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 24:27, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Jonathan Bauman (3 goals), Jordan Guivin (3 goals), Joao Rojas (2 goals), with creative support from Carlos Cabello (3 assists), Joao Rojas (2 assists), John Narváez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Juan Pablo II College won 1 times, ADT won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Juan Pablo II College's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.5%)
Predicted formations: Juan Pablo II College 4-2-3-1 / ADT 4-4-2
H2H summary: Juan Pablo II College wins 1, draws 2, ADT wins 0
Last matches: Juan Pablo II College
14.08.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cusco
0
2
L
08.08.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
02.08.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
25.07.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
2
0
W
17.07.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FC Cajamarca
2
2
D
30.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
4
L
22.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Huancayo
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Universitario
1
4
L
26.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Boys
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
2
2
D
14.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
UCV Moquegua
0
3
L
05.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Lima
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
ADT
3
2
W
01.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cusco
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
Last matches: ADT
15.08.26
Pri
ADT
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
08.08.26
Pri
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pri
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
L
25.07.26
Pri
ADT
Sport Boys
0
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
ADT
Universitario
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
ADT
Cusco
1
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
ADT
Sporting Cristal
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
ADT
UCV Moquegua
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pri
ADT
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
ADT
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
4
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
ADT
FC Cajamarca
2
2
D
14.04.26
Pri
ADT
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
ADT
Cienciano
2
3
L
20.03.26
Pri
ADT
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
ADT
Sport Huancayo
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
ADT
Juan Pablo II College
2
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
ADT
Alianza Atletico
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
L
H2H: Juan Pablo II College vs ADT
08.03.26
H2H
ADT
Juan Pablo II College
2
3
W
30.09.25
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
ADT
1
1
D
11.05.25
H2H
ADT
Juan Pablo II College
2
2
D
Last matches: Juan Pablo II College
08.08.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
2
0
W
22.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Universitario
1
4
L
18.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
01.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cusco
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
31.01.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FC Cajamarca
3
3
D
24.01.26
Fri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
3
0
W
H2H at home: Juan Pablo II College
30.09.25
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
ADT
1
1
D
Last matches: ADT
08.08.26
Pri
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
ADT
Sport Boys
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
ADT
Sporting Cristal
1
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
ADT
UCV Moquegua
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pri
ADT
FC Cajamarca
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
ADT
Cienciano
2
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
ADT
Sport Huancayo
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
ADT
Alianza Atletico
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pri
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
L
01.02.26
Pri
ADT
Universitario
0
2
L
18.01.26
Fri
ADT
FC Cajamarca
1
2
L
H2H away: ADT
30.09.25
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
ADT
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 3.23
Home 2.14
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.69
Draw 2.16
Home 2.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.75 1.34
Over 2.0 1.44
Over 2.25 1.68
Over 2.5 1.93
Over 2.75 2.18
Over 3.0 2.60
Over 3.25 2.92
Under 1.75 3.06
Under 2.0 2.66
Under 2.25 2.14
Under 2.5 1.87
Under 2.75 1.66
Under 3.0 1.46
Under 3.25 1.37
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 3.40
Home 2.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.20
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.40
Home 2.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 3.5 3.40
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.36
Draw 3.36
Home 2.09
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 2.06
Home 2.70
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.47
Home 2.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.13
Over 1.5 1.23
Over 1.75 1.31
Over 2.0 1.39
Over 2.25 1.64
Over 2.5 1.87
Over 2.75 2.06
Over 3.0 2.43
Over 3.25 2.75
Over 3.5 3.05
Over 3.75 3.80
Over 4.0 5.15
Over 4.25 5.55
Over 4.5 5.95
Over 4.75 7.40
Over 5.0 8.90
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 9.90
Under 0.75 8.65
Under 1.0 8.60
Under 1.25 4.78
Under 1.5 3.42
Under 1.75 3.10
Under 2.0 2.66
Under 2.25 2.18
Under 2.5 1.88
Under 2.75 1.67
Under 3.0 1.46
Under 3.25 1.37
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 3.75 1.20
Under 4.0 1.10
Under 4.25 1.08
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 4.75 1.03
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.65
Draw 3.55
Home 1.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.28
Home 2.43
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.60
Home 2.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.0 1.30
Over 2.25 1.49
Over 2.5 1.75
Over 2.75 1.95
Over 3.0 2.28
Over 3.25 2.60
Over 3.5 2.85
Over 3.75 3.20
Over 4.0 4.10
Over 4.25 4.40
Over 4.5 5.00
Under 1.5 3.60
Under 2.0 3.10
Under 2.25 2.38
Under 2.5 1.93
Under 2.75 1.73
Under 3.0 1.53
Under 3.25 1.42
Under 3.5 1.35
Under 3.75 1.29
Under 4.0 1.18
Under 4.25 1.16
Under 4.5 1.12

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
D W W D W
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
D L W D L
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
W D L W W
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
W D L D W
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
W D W D W
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
W W L D D
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
W D W W W
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
L D W L W
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
L D L D L
10
ADT Away
17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
L L W D W
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
W D W D L
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
L W L D D
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
D D L L L
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
L D L D L
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
D D W W W
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
W L W L L
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
L D L W L
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
L D L L L
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)