SWEDEN ETTAN - SöDRA
21.09.2026 17:00
Stadsparksvallen

Jonkopings Sodra vs Skövde AIK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.4%
Odds 1.55
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.6%
Odds 1.85
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.4%
1.55
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.6%
1.85
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.34
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.38
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Jonkopings Sodra Win 54.4%
Draw 16.8%
Skövde AIK Win 28.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jonkopings Sodra1.42
Skövde AIK1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jonkopings Sodra Jonkopings Sodra
WWDLW
41 GF / 28 GA
Skövde AIK Skövde AIK
WLDWL
48 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
14
BTTS Yes
21
13
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jonkopings Sodra Jonkopings Sodra 31 matches
Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 30 matches
Jonkopings Sodra Statistic Skövde AIK
12 Wins 11
10 Draws 10
9 Losses 9
41 Goals For 48
28 Goals Against 47
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
14 BTTS Yes 21
20 Over 1.5 25
13 Over 2.5 19
6 Over 3.5 12
12 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Jonkopings Sodra's more proactive style and Skövde AIK's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Skövde AIK. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Skövde AIK having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Jonkopings Sodra Analysis

From their first 21 matches, Jonkopings Sodra have collected 27 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 25:20 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Skövde AIK Analysis

Skövde AIK sit 10 with 27 points after 21 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, while the 23:29 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Jonkopings Sodra won 2 times, Skövde AIK won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from Jonkopings Sodra's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)
H2H summary: Jonkopings Sodra wins 2, draws 3, Skövde AIK wins 3

Standings

South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 14 6 3 49:27 22 48
W W W L W
2 23 13 3 7 43:27 16 42
L W L W W
3 23 12 6 5 46:33 13 42
W L W D L
4 23 11 8 4 46:27 19 41
L W W D W
5 23 9 8 6 42:34 8 35
W L D D D
6 23 9 8 6 39:33 6 35
D L L W W
7 23 9 7 7 37:34 3 34
W W W W L
8 23 9 6 8 30:33 -3 33
L L D W D
9 22 8 6 8 26:20 6 30
W D L W D
10 23 9 3 11 40:44 -4 30
D W L W L
11 22 8 4 10 36:40 -4 28
W L L L D
12 22 6 9 7 24:32 -8 27
L W W D W
13 23 6 6 11 28:36 -8 24
W L D L W
14 23 6 4 13 30:41 -11 22
L D W L D
15 22 3 8 11 25:41 -16 17
L L L L L
16 23 1 6 16 18:57 -39 9
L D L D L