NETHERLANDS EERSTE DIVISIE
18.09.2026 18:00
Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch

Jong Utrecht vs VVV Venlo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 74.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
74.6%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Jong Utrecht Win 25.4%
Draw 19.8%
VVV Venlo Win 54.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jong Utrecht1.7
VVV Venlo2.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht
WWDLW
14 GF / 28 GA
VVV Venlo VVV Venlo
WLDWL
32 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
2.29
2.8
Average Goals Conceded
2.14
9
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
12
4
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht 10 matches
VVV Venlo VVV Venlo 14 matches
Jong Utrecht Statistic VVV Venlo
1 Wins 7
2 Draws 1
7 Losses 6
14 Goals For 32
28 Goals Against 30
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 2.29
2.8 Avg Goals Conceded 2.14
9 BTTS Yes 11
9 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 9
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 4.83
14 Total Shots 12.5
4.29 Corners 4.67
44.9% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by VVV Venlo's more proactive style and Jong Utrecht's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Jong Utrecht expected to line up in 5-3-2 and VVV Venlo in 4-2-2-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VVV Venlo having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring VVV Venlo. VVV Venlo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 9 points while Jong Utrecht sit 20 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Jong Utrecht have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Jong Utrecht Analysis

With 1 points from 6 games and a place of 20, Jong Utrecht still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 5:15, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through E. C. Owen (2 goals), Bjorn Menzo (1 goals), J. Hunte (1 goals), with creative support from Bjorn Menzo (1 assists), Tijn den Boggende (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

VVV Venlo Analysis

From their first 5 matches, VVV Venlo have collected 9 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 13:9 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Dean Zandbergen (4 goals), E. Zuliani (3 goals), Lars de Blok (1 goals), with creative support from Lars de Blok (3 assists), A. Schalk (2 assists), E. Zuliani (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Jong Utrecht won 2 times, VVV Venlo won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:18 from Jong Utrecht's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.2%)
Predicted formations: Jong Utrecht 5-3-2 / VVV Venlo 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: Jong Utrecht wins 2, draws 5, VVV Venlo wins 5

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Period 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 24:9 15 18
W W W W W
2 6 4 1 1 15:4 11 13
W L W W W
3 6 4 1 1 9:9 0 13
L D W W W
4 6 4 0 2 16:10 6 12
W L W W W
5 6 4 0 2 16:14 2 12
L W L W W
6 6 3 2 1 7:5 2 11
W D D W W
7 7 3 2 2 12:12 0 11
L W D D W
8 6 2 4 0 12:8 4 10
W W D D D
9 6 3 1 2 10:8 2 10
L W W L W
10 6 3 0 3 16:10 6 9
W L W L W
11 7 3 0 4 17:15 2 9
L W W L L
12 6 2 2 2 12:10 2 8
W W L D L
13 6 2 1 3 11:14 -3 7
L L D W L
14 6 2 1 3 8:12 -4 7
W D L L L
15 7 2 1 4 12:16 -4 7
L W D W L
16 6 1 1 4 10:15 -5 4
L L L W L
17 6 1 1 4 9:18 -9 4
L L L L D
18 6 1 1 4 7:18 -11 4
W L L L L
19 7 1 1 5 8:17 -9 4
W D L L L
20 6 1 0 5 5:12 -7 3
L L W L L
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)