NETHERLANDS EERSTE DIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
AFAS Trainingscomplex
Referee: M. Perez
Jong AZ
Match Timeline
Roda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
H. de Wit
Jong AZ
🟨
43'
Mathijs Menu
Jong AZ
🔄
46'
J. Cooper-Love ↔ R. Wiedesheim-Paul
Roda
49'
B. Kovacs
Jong AZ
🔄
62'
B. Kovacs ↔ Y. van den Ban
Jong AZ
🔄
62'
K. Inge ↔ J. Esajas
Jong AZ
🔄
62'
A. Smits ↔ D. van der Klaauw
Jong AZ
🔄
62'
C. Seedorf ↔ L. Maiorano
Roda
🔄
62'
J. Deom ↔ N. Crabu
Roda
🟨
66'
Yaya Stevelmans
Roda
🔄
67'
T. Kalinauskas ↔ I. Takidine
Roda
🔄
76'
R. Leijten ↔ F. Janssen
Roda
🔄
82'
H. de Wit ↔ B. Budko
Jong AZ
🔄
87'
N. Twisk ↔ J. Sijbrands
Jong AZ

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 79.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
79.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Jong AZ Win 31%
Draw 4.6%
Roda Win 64.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jong AZ1.52
Roda1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jong AZ Jong AZ
WWDLW
59 GF / 76 GA
Roda Roda
WLDWL
59 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.59
2.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
22
BTTS Yes
24
26
Over 2.5
23
5.22
Shots on Goal
5.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jong AZ Jong AZ 37 matches
Roda Roda 37 matches
Jong AZ Statistic Roda
11 Wins 14
4 Draws 13
22 Losses 10
59 Goals For 59
76 Goals Against 52
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
2.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
22 BTTS Yes 24
33 Over 1.5 31
26 Over 2.5 23
21 Over 3.5 15
5 Clean Sheets 8
11 Failed To Score 7
5.22 Shots On Goal 5.16
13.68 Total Shots 14.14
4.73 Corners 5.38
53.4% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Roda's more proactive style and Jong AZ's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Jong AZ expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Roda in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Roda having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Roda. Roda carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 55 points while Jong AZ sit 19 on 37, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Jong AZ have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Jong AZ Analysis

With 37 points from 37 games and a place of 19, Jong AZ still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 4 draws, and 22 defeats, and the 59:71 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. van Duijn (9 goals), B. Kovacs (7 goals), J. Hartog (7 goals), with creative support from K. Boogaard (8 assists), A. Smits (4 assists), J. Oerip (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Roda Analysis

So far, Roda have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 55 points from 37 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 13 draws, and 10 losses, while the 57:50 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. van den Hurk (16 goals), Michael Breij (10 goals), J. Cooper-Love (7 goals), with creative support from I. Griffith (4 assists), Michael Breij (3 assists), J. Nisbet (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 10 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Jong AZ won 6 times, Roda won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:23 from Jong AZ's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Jong AZ 4-2-3-1 / Roda 4-3-3
H2H summary: Jong AZ wins 6, draws 3, Roda wins 5
Stats
Jong AZ Jong AZ
Roda Roda
Shots on Goal
18
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
1
12 Corner Kicks 4
12 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 0
60% Ball Possession 40%
29 Total Shots 10
18 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 1
21 Shots insidebox 5
8 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 16
459 Total passes 304
400 Passes accurate 236
3.90 expected_goals 1.13
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Jong AZ
Formation
Roda
K. Schilder
K. Schilder
J. Zwart
J. Zwart
M. Menu
M. Menu
F. E. Andersen
F. E. Andersen
K. Inge
K. Inge
N. Twisk
N. Twisk
H. de Wit
H. de Wit
A. Smits
A. Smits
J. Oerip
J. Oerip
W. Bouziane
W. Bouziane
B. Kovacs
B. Kovacs
B. Zich
B. Zich
Y. Stevelmans
Y. Stevelmans
J. Timmermans
J. Timmermans
K. Van Mieghem
K. Van Mieghem
R. El Meliani
R. El Meliani
J. Deom
J. Deom
R. Leijten
R. Leijten
C. Seedorf
C. Seedorf
D. Lajud Martinez
D. Lajud Martinez
T. Kalinauskas
T. Kalinauskas
J. Cooper-Love
J. Cooper-Love
Jong AZ 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
K. Schilder
G
2
J. Zwart
D
3
M. Menu
🟨 43'
D
4
F. E. Andersen
D
5
K. Inge
↓ 62'
D
6
N. Twisk
↓ 87'
M
8
H. de Wit
⚽ 25' ↓ 82'
M
7
A. Smits
↓ 62'
M
10
J. Oerip
M
11
W. Bouziane
M
9
B. Kovacs
⚽ 49' ↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
23
J. Schipper
G
16
K. Zeggen
G
24
Y. van den Ban
↑ 62'
F
20
K. Toppenberg
F
18
B. Budko
↑ 82'
M
21
B. van Driel
14
K. van Ouytsel
D
22
J. Sijbrands
↑ 87'
M
15
J. Esajas
↑ 62'
D
17
D. van der Klaauw
↑ 62'
F
19
S. Osazuwa
F
Roda 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
21
B. Zich
G
4
Y. Stevelmans
🟨 66'
D
2
J. Timmermans
D
3
K. Van Mieghem
26
R. El Meliani
D
24
J. Deom
↓ 62'
M
20
R. Leijten
↓ 76'
M
7
C. Seedorf
↓ 62'
M
17
D. Lajud Martinez
M
27
T. Kalinauskas
↓ 67'
M
16
J. Cooper-Love
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
23
J. Steins
G
30
M. Stojcevic
G
29
I. Takidine
↑ 67'
F
34
L. Maiorano
↑ 62'
M
19
R. Wiedesheim-Paul
↑ 46'
F
35
F. Janssen
↑ 76'
F
5
D. Aslachanov
D
6
N. Crabu
↑ 62'
M
Last matches: Jong AZ
17.04.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Willem II
0
3
L
13.04.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Jong PSV U21
0
2
L
06.04.26
Eer
Jong AZ
De Graafschap
0
5
L
03.04.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Helmond Sport
2
0
W
20.03.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Cambuur
4
3
W
16.03.26
Eer
Jong AZ
MVV
1
1
D
13.03.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Waalwijk
1
2
L
09.03.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Emmen
2
3
L
27.02.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Vitesse
0
2
L
23.02.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Den Bosch
2
2
D
13.02.26
Eer
Jong AZ
FC OSS
3
0
W
09.02.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Dordrecht
1
2
L
30.01.26
Eer
Jong AZ
ADO Den Haag
4
1
W
26.01.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Almere City FC
3
4
L
16.01.26
Eer
Jong AZ
VVV Venlo
3
1
W
12.01.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Jong Ajax
1
2
L
19.12.25
Eer
Jong AZ
FC Eindhoven
2
3
L
12.12.25
Eer
Jong AZ
Jong Utrecht
1
4
L
05.12.25
Eer
Jong AZ
Roda
3
2
W
28.11.25
Eer
Jong AZ
Emmen
2
4
L
Last matches: Roda
01.05.26
Eer
Roda
Waalwijk
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ere
Roda
Waalwijk
1
1
D
28.04.26
Eer
Roda
Waalwijk
1
1
D
28.04.26
Ere
Roda
Waalwijk
1
1
D
17.04.26
Eer
Roda
Emmen
2
2
D
10.04.26
Eer
Roda
FC Eindhoven
3
1
W
06.04.26
Eer
Roda
Willem II
0
1
L
03.04.26
Eer
Roda
Dordrecht
3
0
W
20.03.26
Eer
Roda
Helmond Sport
1
1
D
16.03.26
Eer
Roda
Vitesse
0
1
L
13.03.26
Eer
Roda
Cambuur
1
1
D
06.03.26
Eer
Roda
Jong PSV U21
0
2
L
27.02.26
Eer
Roda
Den Bosch
2
2
D
22.02.26
Eer
Roda
MVV
2
0
W
13.02.26
Eer
Roda
Waalwijk
2
1
W
06.02.26
Eer
Roda
ADO Den Haag
0
3
L
30.01.26
Eer
Roda
Almere City FC
2
1
W
26.01.26
Eer
Roda
VVV Venlo
2
2
D
23.01.26
Eer
Roda
FC OSS
1
2
L
19.01.26
Eer
Roda
Jong Ajax
2
2
D
H2H: Jong AZ vs Roda
24.04.26
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
2
0
W
05.12.25
H2H
Roda
Jong AZ
2
3
W
07.02.25
H2H
Roda
Jong AZ
3
3
D
12.08.24
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
6
1
W
05.02.24
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
1
0
W
06.10.23
H2H
Roda
Jong AZ
3
1
L
13.03.23
H2H
Roda
Jong AZ
2
0
L
07.11.22
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
2
0
W
04.04.22
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
0
1
L
19.11.21
H2H
Roda
Jong AZ
2
2
D
30.04.21
H2H
Roda
Jong AZ
0
1
W
04.01.21
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
0
1
L
01.05.20
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
0
0
D
13.12.19
H2H
Roda
Jong AZ
2
2
D
25.01.19
H2H
Roda
Jong AZ
6
2
L
Last matches: Jong AZ
13.04.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Jong PSV U21
0
2
L
03.04.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Helmond Sport
2
0
W
16.03.26
Eer
Jong AZ
MVV
1
1
D
09.03.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Emmen
2
3
L
23.02.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Den Bosch
2
2
D
09.02.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Dordrecht
1
2
L
26.01.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Almere City FC
3
4
L
12.01.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Jong Ajax
1
2
L
12.12.25
Eer
Jong AZ
Jong Utrecht
1
4
L
24.11.25
Eer
Jong AZ
FC OSS
0
1
L
07.11.25
Eer
Jong AZ
VVV Venlo
0
2
L
03.11.25
Eer
Jong AZ
FC Eindhoven
0
2
L
20.10.25
Eer
Jong AZ
Willem II
4
0
W
03.10.25
Eer
Jong AZ
ADO Den Haag
0
4
L
22.09.25
Eer
Jong AZ
De Graafschap
1
3
L
12.09.25
Eer
Jong AZ
Vitesse
4
0
W
25.08.25
Eer
Jong AZ
Cambuur
0
1
L
11.08.25
Eer
Jong AZ
Waalwijk
2
3
L
H2H at home: Jong AZ
24.04.26
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
2
0
W
12.08.24
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
6
1
W
05.02.24
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
1
0
W
07.11.22
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
2
0
W
04.04.22
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
0
1
L
04.01.21
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
0
1
L
01.05.20
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
0
0
D
Last matches: Roda
01.05.26
Eer
Roda
Waalwijk
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ere
Roda
Waalwijk
1
1
D
10.04.26
Eer
Roda
FC Eindhoven
3
1
W
03.04.26
Eer
Roda
Dordrecht
3
0
W
13.03.26
Eer
Roda
Cambuur
1
1
D
27.02.26
Eer
Roda
Den Bosch
2
2
D
13.02.26
Eer
Roda
Waalwijk
2
1
W
30.01.26
Eer
Roda
Almere City FC
2
1
W
19.01.26
Eer
Roda
Jong Ajax
2
2
D
14.01.26
Fri
Roda
Schalke 04 II
3
7
L
22.12.25
Eer
Roda
Jong Utrecht
3
1
W
12.12.25
Eer
Roda
De Graafschap
3
2
W
30.11.25
Eer
Roda
MVV
0
0
D
22.11.25
Eer
Roda
Emmen
1
1
D
07.11.25
Eer
Roda
ADO Den Haag
0
4
L
24.10.25
Eer
Roda
Vitesse
2
2
D
03.10.25
Eer
Roda
Willem II
2
1
W
26.09.25
Eer
Roda
FC OSS
2
1
W
15.09.25
Eer
Roda
Jong PSV U21
1
0
W
24.08.25
Eer
Roda
VVV Venlo
1
3
L
H2H away: Roda
24.04.26
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
2
0
L
12.08.24
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
6
1
L
05.02.24
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
1
0
L
07.11.22
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
2
0
L
04.04.22
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
0
1
W
04.01.21
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
0
1
W
01.05.20
H2H
Jong AZ
Roda
0
0
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 29 2 7 90:37 53 89
W W L W W
2 38 23 9 6 75:48 27 78
W L D D L
3 38 20 8 10 59:42 17 68
W L W W D
4 38 18 9 11 74:58 16 63
D L L W D
5 38 18 4 16 78:63 15 58
L L D W W
6 38 16 10 12 71:59 12 58
D L W D W
7 38 17 5 16 66:64 2 56
L L W W L
8
Roda Away
38 14 13 11 59:54 5 55
L D L D W
9 38 14 9 15 65:69 -4 51
L L L D L
10 38 12 11 15 48:56 -8 47
L L W D L
11 38 14 5 19 51:69 -18 47
W L L L D
12 38 12 10 16 58:62 -4 46
W D W L L
13 38 13 6 19 50:58 -8 45
W L D L W
14 38 12 9 17 58:72 -14 45
W D L W D
15 38 15 11 12 64:55 9 44
L D W W D
16 38 11 11 16 54:64 -10 44
W W W W L
17 38 12 4 22 61:76 -15 40
W L L L W
18 38 10 9 19 42:62 -20 39
L W D D L
19 38 9 11 18 41:73 -32 38
L D D L L
20 38 9 8 21 50:73 -23 35
L W L L L