Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
64.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
79.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
79.3%
|
- |
Jong AZ
Roda
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Jong AZ
37 matches
Roda
37 matches
| Jong AZ | Statistic | Roda |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 14 |
| 4 | Draws | 13 |
| 22 | Losses | 10 |
| 59 | Goals For | 59 |
| 76 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.59 |
| 2.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 26 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 21 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 5.22 | Shots On Goal | 5.16 |
| 13.68 | Total Shots | 14.14 |
| 4.73 | Corners | 5.38 |
| 53.4% | Ball Possession | 52.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Roda's more proactive style and Jong AZ's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Jong AZ expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Roda in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Roda having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Roda. Roda carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 55 points while Jong AZ sit 19 on 37, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Jong AZ have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 37 points from 37 games and a place of 19, Jong AZ still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 4 draws, and 22 defeats, and the 59:71 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. van Duijn (9 goals), B. Kovacs (7 goals), J. Hartog (7 goals), with creative support from K. Boogaard (8 assists), A. Smits (4 assists), J. Oerip (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Roda have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 55 points from 37 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 13 draws, and 10 losses, while the 57:50 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. van den Hurk (16 goals), Michael Breij (10 goals), J. Cooper-Love (7 goals), with creative support from I. Griffith (4 assists), Michael Breij (3 assists), J. Nisbet (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 10 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Jong AZ won 6 times, Roda won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:23 from Jong AZ's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.
Jong AZ
18
4
7
5
4
1
Lineups
Jong AZ
Willem II
Jong AZ
Jong PSV U21
Jong AZ
De Graafschap
Jong AZ
Helmond Sport
Jong AZ
Cambuur
Jong AZ
MVV
Jong AZ
Waalwijk
Jong AZ
Emmen
Jong AZ
Vitesse
Jong AZ
Den Bosch
Jong AZ
FC OSS
Jong AZ
Dordrecht
Jong AZ
ADO Den Haag
Jong AZ
Almere City FC
Jong AZ
VVV Venlo
Jong AZ
Jong Ajax
Jong AZ
FC Eindhoven
Jong AZ
Jong Utrecht
Jong AZ
Roda
Jong AZ
Emmen
Roda
Waalwijk
Roda
Waalwijk
Roda
Waalwijk
Roda
Waalwijk
Roda
Emmen
Roda
FC Eindhoven
Roda
Willem II
Roda
Dordrecht
Roda
Helmond Sport
Roda
Vitesse
Roda
Cambuur
Roda
Jong PSV U21
Roda
Den Bosch
Roda
MVV
Roda
Waalwijk
Roda
ADO Den Haag
Roda
Almere City FC
Roda
VVV Venlo
Roda
FC OSS
Roda
Jong Ajax
Jong AZ
Jong PSV U21
Jong AZ
Helmond Sport
Jong AZ
MVV
Jong AZ
Emmen
Jong AZ
Den Bosch
Jong AZ
Dordrecht
Jong AZ
Almere City FC
Jong AZ
Jong Ajax
Jong AZ
Jong Utrecht
Jong AZ
FC OSS
Jong AZ
VVV Venlo
Jong AZ
FC Eindhoven
Jong AZ
Willem II
Jong AZ
ADO Den Haag
Jong AZ
De Graafschap
Jong AZ
Vitesse
Jong AZ
Cambuur
Jong AZ
Waalwijk
Roda
Waalwijk
Roda
Waalwijk
Roda
FC Eindhoven
Roda
Dordrecht
Roda
Cambuur
Roda
Den Bosch
Roda
Waalwijk
Roda
Almere City FC
Roda
Jong Ajax
Roda
Schalke 04 II
Roda
Jong Utrecht
Roda
De Graafschap
Roda
MVV
Roda
Emmen
Roda
ADO Den Haag
Roda
Vitesse
Roda
Willem II
Roda
FC OSS
Roda
Jong PSV U21
Roda
VVV Venlo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Roda
Away
|
38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 |
Jong AZ
Home
|
38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
L
W
L
L
L
|