Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
92.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
81.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- |
Jong Ajax
Jong Utrecht
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Jong Ajax
37 matches
Jong Utrecht
37 matches
| Jong Ajax | Statistic | Jong Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 11 |
| 8 | Draws | 10 |
| 20 | Losses | 16 |
| 50 | Goals For | 56 |
| 71 | Goals Against | 62 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.51 |
| 1.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.22 | Shots On Goal | 5.32 |
| 11.89 | Total Shots | 13.76 |
| 4.27 | Corners | 4.32 |
| 51.4% | Ball Possession | 47.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Jong Ajax expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Jong Utrecht in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Jong Utrecht having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Jong Ajax have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Jong Utrecht.
With 35 points from 37 games and a place of 20, Jong Ajax still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 48:69 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on D. O'Niel (8 goals), S. Vink (6 goals), K. Wolff (5 goals), with creative support from D. O'Niel (5 assists), Abdellah Ouazane (5 assists), Rayane Bounida (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with T. Gooijer unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
So far, Jong Utrecht have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 43 points from 37 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 10 draws, and 16 losses, while the 52:58 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. El Arguioui (10 goals), N. Ohio (9 goals), E. Demircan (6 goals), with creative support from O. Agougil (8 assists), R. El Arguioui (4 assists), N. Dundas (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Jong Ajax won 8 times, Jong Utrecht won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:24 from Jong Ajax's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
Jong Ajax
6
5
3
12
2
6
Lineups
Jong Ajax
Jong AZ
Jong Ajax
Jong PSV U21
Jong Ajax
FC OSS
Jong Ajax
Vitesse
Jong Ajax
ADO Den Haag
Jong Ajax
Almere City FC
Jong Ajax
VVV Venlo
Jong Ajax
Den Bosch
Jong Ajax
FC Eindhoven
Jong Ajax
Helmond Sport
Jong Ajax
Emmen
Jong Ajax
Dordrecht
Jong Ajax
Cambuur
Jong Ajax
De Graafschap
Jong Ajax
Willem II
Jong Ajax
Roda
Jong Ajax
Jong AZ
Jong Ajax
Waalwijk
Jong Ajax
MVV
Jong Ajax
Almere City FC
Jong Utrecht
Werder Bremen II
Jong Utrecht
Den Bosch
Jong Utrecht
FC Eindhoven
Jong Utrecht
Vitesse
Jong Utrecht
FC OSS
Jong Utrecht
Quick Boys
Jong Utrecht
Dordrecht
Jong Utrecht
ADO Den Haag
Jong Utrecht
Helmond Sport
Jong Utrecht
Cambuur
Jong Utrecht
Emmen
Jong Utrecht
Almere City FC
Jong Utrecht
De Graafschap
Jong Utrecht
Willem II
Jong Utrecht
VVV Venlo
Jong Utrecht
Waalwijk
Jong Utrecht
MVV
Jong Utrecht
Jong PSV U21
Jong Utrecht
Roda
Jong Utrecht
Jong AZ
Jong Ajax
FC OSS
Jong Ajax
Almere City FC
Jong Ajax
Den Bosch
Jong Ajax
Helmond Sport
Jong Ajax
Cambuur
Jong Ajax
Willem II
Jong Ajax
Roda
Jong Ajax
Waalwijk
Jong Ajax
Vitesse
Jong Ajax
FC Eindhoven
Jong Ajax
Dordrecht
Jong Ajax
Emmen
Jong Ajax
Jong PSV U21
Jong Ajax
De Graafschap
Jong Ajax
VVV Venlo
Jong Ajax
ADO Den Haag
Jong Ajax
MVV
Jong Ajax
Jong AZ
Jong Utrecht
Den Bosch
Jong Utrecht
FC OSS
Jong Utrecht
Quick Boys
Jong Utrecht
ADO Den Haag
Jong Utrecht
Cambuur
Jong Utrecht
Emmen
Jong Utrecht
De Graafschap
Jong Utrecht
Waalwijk
Jong Utrecht
MVV
Jong Utrecht
Jong AZ
Jong Utrecht
Dordrecht
Jong Utrecht
Jong PSV U21
Jong Utrecht
Roda
Jong Utrecht
VVV Venlo
Jong Utrecht
Vitesse
Jong Utrecht
Almere City FC
Jong Utrecht
Helmond Sport
Jong Utrecht
Willem II
Jong Utrecht
FC Eindhoven
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 |
Jong Utrecht
Away
|
38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 |
Jong Ajax
Home
|
38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
L
W
L
L
L
|