NETHERLANDS EERSTE DIVISIE
24.04.2026 18:00
Sportcomplex De Toekomst
Referee: R. Sturm
Jong Ajax
Match Timeline
Jong Utrecht
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
S. van der Wegen · Assist: V. Plantinga
Jong Utrecht
🔄
46'
T. den Boggende ↔ N. Dundas
Jong Utrecht
🔄
46'
J. Sneijder ↔ M. Ghaddari
Jong Utrecht
🟨
58'
Abdellah Ouazane
Jong Ajax
🔄
65'
S. Vink ↔ E. Unuvar
Jong Ajax
🔄
65'
M. Abdalla ↔ D. van der Vaart
Jong Ajax
🔄
65'
P. Nash ↔ M. Ibrahimovic
Jong Ajax
🔄
65'
V. Plantinga ↔ L. Edhart
Jong Utrecht
🟨
66'
Driss Laaouina
Jong Utrecht
🟨
77'
Damián van der Vaart
Jong Ajax
🔄
78'
D. Laaouina ↔ J. van Riel
Jong Utrecht
🔄
80'
A. Ouazane ↔ L. Messori
Jong Ajax
🔄
80'
M. Verkuijl ↔ K. Wolff
Jong Ajax
🔄
84'
S. van der Wegen ↔ B. Menzo
Jong Utrecht
🟨
88'
Rafik El Arguioui
Jong Utrecht
88'
R. El Arguioui · Assist: L. Edhart
Jong Utrecht

Jong Ajax vs Jong Utrecht Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Jong Ajax Win 50.7%
Draw 7.5%
Jong Utrecht Win 41.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jong Ajax1.48
Jong Utrecht1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jong Ajax Jong Ajax
WWDLW
50 GF / 71 GA
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht
WLDWL
56 GF / 62 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.51
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
24
BTTS Yes
23
24
Over 2.5
23
4.22
Shots on Goal
5.32

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jong Ajax Jong Ajax 37 matches
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht 37 matches
Jong Ajax Statistic Jong Utrecht
9 Wins 11
8 Draws 10
20 Losses 16
50 Goals For 56
71 Goals Against 62
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.51
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
24 BTTS Yes 23
29 Over 1.5 28
24 Over 2.5 23
16 Over 3.5 17
7 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 10
4.22 Shots On Goal 5.32
11.89 Total Shots 13.76
4.27 Corners 4.32
51.4% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Jong Ajax expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Jong Utrecht in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Jong Utrecht having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Jong Ajax have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Jong Utrecht.

Jong Ajax Analysis

With 35 points from 37 games and a place of 20, Jong Ajax still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 48:69 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on D. O'Niel (8 goals), S. Vink (6 goals), K. Wolff (5 goals), with creative support from D. O'Niel (5 assists), Abdellah Ouazane (5 assists), Rayane Bounida (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with T. Gooijer unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Jong Utrecht Analysis

So far, Jong Utrecht have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 43 points from 37 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 10 draws, and 16 losses, while the 52:58 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. El Arguioui (10 goals), N. Ohio (9 goals), E. Demircan (6 goals), with creative support from O. Agougil (8 assists), R. El Arguioui (4 assists), N. Dundas (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Jong Ajax won 8 times, Jong Utrecht won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:24 from Jong Ajax's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Jong Ajax 4-2-3-1 / Jong Utrecht 3-4-3
Missing players: Jong Ajax 1, Jong Utrecht 0
H2H summary: Jong Ajax wins 8, draws 1, Jong Utrecht wins 6

Standings

Eerste Divisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 29 2 7 90:37 53 89
W W L W W
2 38 23 9 6 75:48 27 78
W L D D L
3 38 20 8 10 59:42 17 68
W L W W D
4 38 18 9 11 74:58 16 63
D L L W D
5 38 18 4 16 78:63 15 58
L L D W W
6 38 16 10 12 71:59 12 58
D L W D W
7 38 17 5 16 66:64 2 56
L L W W L
8 38 14 13 11 59:54 5 55
L D L D W
9 38 14 9 15 65:69 -4 51
L L L D L
10 38 12 11 15 48:56 -8 47
L L W D L
11 38 14 5 19 51:69 -18 47
W L L L D
12 38 12 10 16 58:62 -4 46
W D W L L
13 38 13 6 19 50:58 -8 45
W L D L W
14 38 12 9 17 58:72 -14 45
W D L W D
15 38 15 11 12 64:55 9 44
L D W W D
16 38 11 11 16 54:64 -10 44
W W W W L
17 38 12 4 22 61:76 -15 40
W L L L W
18 38 10 9 19 42:62 -20 39
L W D D L
19 38 9 11 18 41:73 -32 38
L D D L L
20 38 9 8 21 50:73 -23 35
L W L L L
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