FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
Harjun Stadion
JJK
Match Timeline
KuPS Akatemia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
N. Mattila
KuPS Akatemia
11'
A. Goljahanpoor
JJK
13'
A. Leivonen
KuPS Akatemia
27'
T. Pahkala
JJK
🟨
36'
T. Hukkanen
KuPS Akatemia
49'
P. Hautakangas
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
52'
A. Aaltonen
JJK
55'
P. Hautakangas
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
61'
A. Goljahanpoor
JJK
🔄
61'
B. Akdogan ↔ V. Kangasniemi
JJK
🔄
61'
O. Veikko ↔ A. Tolra
JJK
🔄
63'
P. Hautakangas ↔ E. Tanninen
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
63'
R. Tahkola ↔ V. Lahtela
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
77'
A. Leivonen ↔ K. Prince Ume
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
77'
D. Huttunen ↔ E. Karkkainen
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
79'
S. Osso ↔ P. U. Imonioro
JJK
🔄
79'
M. Lundell ↔ N. Liimatainen
JJK
🟨
80'
A. Baseme
KuPS Akatemia
81'
A. Goljahanpoor
JJK
87'
A. Goljahanpoor
JJK
🟨
89'
N. Mattila
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
89'
P. U. Imonioro
JJK
🔄
90+4'
↔ S. Kantelinen
KuPS Akatemia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
JJK Win 81%
Draw 5.1%
KuPS Akatemia Win 14%
Expected Goals (xG)
JJK2.26
KuPS Akatemia1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
JJK JJK
WWDLW
39 GF / 27 GA
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
WLDWL
20 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
2.29
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
2.21
13
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

JJK JJK 17 matches
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia 14 matches
JJK Statistic KuPS Akatemia
7 Wins 2
5 Draws 2
5 Losses 10
39 Goals For 20
27 Goals Against 31
2.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 2.21
13 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 11
12 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by JJK's more proactive style and KuPS Akatemia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. KuPS Akatemia arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. JJK arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 24 points compared to KuPS Akatemia in 10 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KuPS Akatemia having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward KuPS Akatemia.

JJK Analysis

JJK come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 24 points after 13 matches. The return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 35:21, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

KuPS Akatemia Analysis

KuPS Akatemia sit 10 with 8 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 18:27, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, JJK won 3 times, KuPS Akatemia won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from JJK's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.56 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
H2H summary: JJK wins 3, draws 3, KuPS Akatemia wins 3

Lineups

JJK
Formation
KuPS Akatemia
L. Vetri
L. Vetri
B. Akdogan
B. Akdogan
S. Osso
S. Osso
A. Ciriaco
A. Ciriaco
T. Pahkala
T. Pahkala
A. Goljahanpoor
⚽ 3
A. Goljahanpoor
J. Dunyin
J. Dunyin
O. Veikko
O. Veikko
M. Lundell
M. Lundell
A. Aaltonen
A. Aaltonen
J. Heimonen
J. Heimonen
K. Kauppinen
K. Kauppinen
T. Hukkanen
T. Hukkanen
R. Tahkola
R. Tahkola
J. Kivijarvi
J. Kivijarvi
D. Huttunen
D. Huttunen
P. Tuomainen
P. Tuomainen
P. Hautakangas
⚽ 2
P. Hautakangas
N. Oksanen
N. Oksanen
N. Mattila
N. Mattila
A. Leivonen
A. Leivonen
A. Baseme
A. Baseme
JJK 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
L. Vetri
3
B. Akdogan
↓ 61'
5
S. Osso
↓ 79'
6
A. Ciriaco
8
T. Pahkala
⚽ 27'
9
A. Goljahanpoor
⚽ 11' ⚽ 81' ⚽ 87' 🟨 61'
10
J. Dunyin
25
O. Veikko
↓ 61'
26
M. Lundell
↓ 79'
35
A. Aaltonen
🟨 52'
52
J. Heimonen
Substitutes
30
A. Oikarinen
4
V. Kangasniemi
↑ 61'
7
B. Montonen
16
N. Patjas
17
P. U. Imonioro
↑ 79' 🟨 89'
19
N. Liimatainen
↑ 79'
23
V. Maunuksela
27
B. Traore
33
A. Tolra
↑ 61'
KuPS Akatemia 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
K. Kauppinen
4
T. Hukkanen
🟨 36'
5
R. Tahkola
↓ 63'
8
J. Kivijarvi
9
D. Huttunen
↓ 77'
13
P. Tuomainen
14
P. Hautakangas
⚽ 49' ⚽ 55' ↓ 63'
21
N. Oksanen
23
N. Mattila
⚽ 5' 🟨 89'
24
A. Leivonen
⚽ 13' ↓ 77'
26
A. Baseme
🟨 80'
Substitutes
3
R. Tikkanen
7
L. Paasisalo
17
E. Tanninen
↑ 63'
18
V. Lahtela
↑ 63'
19
K. Prince Ume
↑ 77'
20
E. Karkkainen
↑ 77'
30
S. Kantelinen
↑ 90+4'
Last matches: JJK
18.07.26
Ykk
JJK
FC jazz
1
3
L
05.07.26
Ykk
JJK
TPV
0
1
L
25.06.26
Ykk
JJK
Inter Turku II
11
1
W
13.06.26
Ykk
JJK
KPV-j
3
2
W
06.06.26
Ykk
JJK
PKKU
1
3
L
02.06.26
Ykk
JJK
VJS
2
2
D
28.05.26
Ykk
JJK
OLS
1
0
W
22.05.26
Ykk
JJK
Tampere United
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ykk
JJK
SalPa
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
JJK
OLS
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
JJK
Rops
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ykk
JJK
FC jazz
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
JJK
TPV
2
1
W
10.04.26
Ykk
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ykk
JJK
Inter Turku II
5
3
W
28.03.26
Fri
JJK
MP
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
JJK
JIPPO
1
2
L
18.01.26
Fri
JJK
TPV
2
2
D
Last matches: KuPS Akatemia
18.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
1
3
L
04.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
2
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
SalPa
3
4
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
2
4
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
0
0
D
24.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
0
4
L
10.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
4
L
10.01.26
Fri
KuPS Akatemia
JIPPO
0
1
L
H2H: JJK vs KuPS Akatemia
11.07.26
H2H
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
4
4
D
10.04.26
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
1
2
W
19.09.25
H2H
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
1
2
L
18.06.25
H2H
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
2
1
W
16.04.25
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
3
3
D
11.04.25
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
2
1
L
15.09.24
H2H
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
W
20.08.24
H2H
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
1
2
L
09.06.24
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
1
1
D
Last matches: JJK
18.07.26
Ykk
JJK
FC jazz
1
3
L
25.06.26
Ykk
JJK
Inter Turku II
11
1
W
06.06.26
Ykk
JJK
PKKU
1
3
L
02.06.26
Ykk
JJK
VJS
2
2
D
28.05.26
Ykk
JJK
OLS
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ykk
JJK
SalPa
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ykk
JJK
Rops
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ykk
JJK
TPV
2
1
W
H2H at home: JJK
11.07.26
H2H
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
4
4
D
19.09.25
H2H
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
1
2
L
18.06.25
H2H
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
2
1
W
15.09.24
H2H
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
W
20.08.24
H2H
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
1
2
L
Last matches: KuPS Akatemia
18.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
SalPa
3
4
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
0
3
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
2
4
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
0
4
L
10.01.26
Fri
KuPS Akatemia
JIPPO
0
1
L
H2H away: KuPS Akatemia
11.07.26
H2H
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
4
4
D
19.09.25
H2H
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
1
2
W
18.06.25
H2H
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
2
1
L
15.09.24
H2H
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
L
20.08.24
H2H
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
1
2
W

Standings

Ykkonen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 1 3 29:9 20 34
W L W W W
2 15 8 5 2 31:16 15 29
D W W D W
3 15 7 5 3 31:25 6 26
W W D D W
4
JJK Home
16 7 4 5 40:29 11 25
L D L W W
5 16 6 5 5 30:23 7 23
D L L D L
6 14 6 4 4 27:19 8 22
D W L W D
7 14 5 5 4 25:19 6 20
L W D W L
8 15 6 2 7 18:23 -5 17
W L L L D
9 15 4 4 7 19:25 -6 16
W W W L D
10 15 4 3 8 26:41 -15 15
L L W L D
11 15 2 3 10 25:37 -12 9
L D L D L
12 15 2 3 10 13:48 -35 9
D L W L L
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Ykkonen (Relegation Group)