FINLAND YKKöNEN
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Harjun Stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.4%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
JJK Win 58.4%
Draw 16%
KPV-j Win 25.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
JJK2.5
KPV-j1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
JJK JJK
WWDLW
51 GF / 46 GA
KPV-j KPV-j
WLDWL
23 GF / 64 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
3.05
18
BTTS Yes
11
18
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

JJK JJK 24 matches
KPV-j KPV-j 21 matches
JJK Statistic KPV-j
7 Wins 4
9 Draws 3
8 Losses 14
51 Goals For 23
46 Goals Against 64
2.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 3.05
18 BTTS Yes 11
20 Over 1.5 19
18 Over 2.5 17
13 Over 3.5 14
3 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by JJK's more proactive style and KPV-j's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KPV-j. JJK arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 28 points compared to KPV-j in 12 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. KPV-j arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KPV-j having the stronger overall control.

JJK Analysis

From their first 21 matches, JJK have collected 28 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 47:41 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

KPV-j Analysis

KPV-j approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 15 points from 21 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 14 defeats with a 23:64 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, JJK won 4 times, KPV-j won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:18 from JJK's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
H2H summary: JJK wins 4, draws 2, KPV-j wins 6
Last matches: JJK
21.08.26
Ykk
JJK
PKKU
2
2
D
16.08.26
Ykk
JJK
VJS
4
4
D
11.08.26
Ykk
JJK
Tampere United
0
0
D
05.08.26
Ykk
JJK
SalPa
1
2
L
25.07.26
Ykk
JJK
Rops
0
4
L
18.07.26
Ykk
JJK
FC jazz
1
3
L
11.07.26
Ykk
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
4
4
D
05.07.26
Ykk
JJK
TPV
0
1
L
25.06.26
Ykk
JJK
Inter Turku II
11
1
W
13.06.26
Ykk
JJK
KPV-j
3
2
W
06.06.26
Ykk
JJK
PKKU
1
3
L
02.06.26
Ykk
JJK
VJS
2
2
D
28.05.26
Ykk
JJK
OLS
1
0
W
22.05.26
Ykk
JJK
Tampere United
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ykk
JJK
SalPa
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
JJK
OLS
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
JJK
Rops
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ykk
JJK
FC jazz
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
JJK
TPV
2
1
W
10.04.26
Ykk
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
2
1
W
Last matches: KPV-j
21.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
2
4
L
16.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Inter Turku II
3
2
W
09.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
VJS
1
2
L
05.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Tampere United
0
6
L
01.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
SalPa
3
0
W
26.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
OLS
1
2
L
20.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
1
1
D
11.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
1
3
L
02.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
1
3
L
13.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
JJK
2
3
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
4
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Inter Turku II
4
2
W
23.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
VJS
0
5
L
16.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Tampere United
0
6
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
SalPa
0
6
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
OLS
0
4
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
0
7
L
20.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
0
0
D
H2H: JJK vs KPV-j
13.06.26
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
2
3
W
13.09.25
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
4
0
L
26.07.25
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
3
0
L
11.05.25
H2H
JJK
KPV-j
3
0
W
20.07.24
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
0
2
W
13.05.24
H2H
JJK
KPV-j
0
3
L
07.10.23
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
3
1
L
28.06.23
H2H
JJK
KPV-j
0
0
D
15.04.23
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
0
0
D
28.01.23
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
1
0
L
19.03.22
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
2
1
L
22.03.12
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
0
5
W
Last matches: JJK
11.08.26
Ykk
JJK
Tampere United
0
0
D
18.07.26
Ykk
JJK
FC jazz
1
3
L
11.07.26
Ykk
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
4
4
D
25.06.26
Ykk
JJK
Inter Turku II
11
1
W
06.06.26
Ykk
JJK
PKKU
1
3
L
02.06.26
Ykk
JJK
VJS
2
2
D
28.05.26
Ykk
JJK
OLS
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ykk
JJK
SalPa
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ykk
JJK
Rops
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ykk
JJK
TPV
2
1
W
H2H at home: JJK
11.05.25
H2H
JJK
KPV-j
3
0
W
13.05.24
H2H
JJK
KPV-j
0
3
L
28.06.23
H2H
JJK
KPV-j
0
0
D
Last matches: KPV-j
16.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Inter Turku II
3
2
W
05.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Tampere United
0
6
L
26.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
OLS
1
2
L
02.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
1
0
W
05.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
4
L
23.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
VJS
0
5
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
SalPa
0
6
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
0
7
L
11.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
2
2
D
H2H away: KPV-j
11.05.25
H2H
JJK
KPV-j
3
0
L
13.05.24
H2H
JJK
KPV-j
0
3
W
28.06.23
H2H
JJK
KPV-j
0
0
D

Standings

Group Stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 5 3 46:16 30 44
W D D W D
2 21 10 7 4 45:32 13 37
L D W D L
3 21 9 6 6 38:34 4 33
W L D W L
4 21 8 8 5 38:30 8 32
D D W D D
5 21 7 10 4 38:29 9 31
D D W D D
6 21 8 7 6 41:34 7 31
L D D W W
7 21 8 6 7 30:29 1 30
D W D D D
8
JJK Home
21 7 7 7 47:41 6 28
D D D L L
9 21 6 6 9 30:38 -8 24
W D D L W
10 21 5 5 11 32:49 -17 20
L L L W D
11 21 3 6 12 36:48 -12 15
W D L L D
12
KPV-j Away
21 4 3 14 23:64 -41 15
L W L L W