SENEGAL LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade de Diaraf

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 51.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
51.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Jaraaf Win 70.2%
Draw 18.7%
La Linguère Win 11.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jaraaf0.91
La Linguère0.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jaraaf Jaraaf
WWDLW
15 GF / 14 GA
La Linguère La Linguère
WLDWL
18 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
0.65
Average Goals Scored
0.78
0.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
7
BTTS Yes
9
2
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jaraaf Jaraaf 23 matches
La Linguère La Linguère 23 matches
Jaraaf Statistic La Linguère
6 Wins 3
11 Draws 11
6 Losses 9
15 Goals For 18
14 Goals Against 30
0.65 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
0.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
7 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 15
2 Over 2.5 8
0 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 8
12 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Jaraaf's more proactive style and La Linguère's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward La Linguère having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring La Linguère. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Jaraaf Analysis

Jaraaf are currently 8 in the standings with 29 points from 23 matches. The record of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 15:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

La Linguère Analysis

La Linguère approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 20 points from 23 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 11 draws, and 9 defeats with a 18:26 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Jaraaf won 10 times, La Linguère won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:8 from Jaraaf's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.8%)
H2H summary: Jaraaf wins 10, draws 4, La Linguère wins 1
Last matches: Jaraaf
04.06.26
Lig
Jaraaf
AS Camberene
2
0
W
22.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
DSC
3
0
W
13.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Pikine
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Sonacos
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Génération Foot
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Gorée
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Guédiawaye
2
1
W
29.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Teungueth
0
1
L
25.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Wally Daan
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
AJEL
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Ouakam
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
HLM
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
AS Camberene
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
DSC
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Pikine
0
1
L
11.01.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Sonacos
0
0
D
08.01.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Génération Foot
1
1
D
Last matches: La Linguère
04.06.26
Lig
La Linguère
Wally Daan
1
1
D
22.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
AJEL
1
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
Ouakam
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
HLM
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
AS Camberene
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
Casa Sport
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
La Linguère
Pikine
0
4
L
12.04.26
Lig
La Linguère
Sonacos
0
2
L
29.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Génération Foot
1
1
D
25.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
DSC
2
2
D
15.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Gorée
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Guédiawaye
1
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Teungueth
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Stade de Mbour
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Wally Daan
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
AJEL
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Ouakam
0
3
L
25.01.26
Lig
La Linguère
HLM
0
0
D
13.01.26
Lig
La Linguère
AS Camberene
1
0
W
07.01.26
Lig
La Linguère
Casa Sport
2
3
L
H2H: Jaraaf vs La Linguère
26.04.26
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
0
W
28.12.25
H2H
La Linguère
Jaraaf
0
1
W
16.03.25
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
0
W
03.11.24
H2H
La Linguère
Jaraaf
1
3
W
08.06.24
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
2
1
W
30.01.24
H2H
La Linguère
Jaraaf
1
2
W
13.05.23
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
0
W
07.12.22
H2H
La Linguère
Jaraaf
2
1
L
27.03.22
H2H
La Linguère
Jaraaf
1
1
D
27.11.21
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
2
0
W
31.03.19
H2H
La Linguère
Jaraaf
0
1
W
26.12.18
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
1
D
13.06.18
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
1
D
04.03.18
H2H
La Linguère
Jaraaf
0
1
W
04.06.17
H2H
La Linguère
Jaraaf
0
0
D
Last matches: Jaraaf
22.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
DSC
3
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Sonacos
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Guédiawaye
2
1
W
15.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Wally Daan
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Ouakam
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
AS Camberene
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Pikine
0
1
L
08.01.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Génération Foot
1
1
D
21.12.25
Lig
Jaraaf
Gorée
2
0
W
06.12.25
Lig
Jaraaf
Teungueth
1
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Jaraaf
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
16.11.25
Lig
Jaraaf
AJEL
0
2
L
02.11.25
Lig
Jaraaf
HLM
1
1
D
H2H at home: Jaraaf
26.04.26
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
0
W
16.03.25
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
0
W
08.06.24
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
2
1
W
13.05.23
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
0
W
27.11.21
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
2
0
W
26.12.18
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
1
D
13.06.18
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
1
D
Last matches: La Linguère
22.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
AJEL
1
2
L
13.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
HLM
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
AS Camberene
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
La Linguère
Sonacos
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Gorée
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Teungueth
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Wally Daan
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Ouakam
0
3
L
07.01.26
Lig
La Linguère
Casa Sport
2
3
L
21.12.25
Lig
La Linguère
Pikine
0
0
D
06.12.25
Lig
La Linguère
Génération Foot
2
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
La Linguère
DSC
0
0
D
16.11.25
Lig
La Linguère
Guédiawaye
0
0
D
02.11.25
Lig
La Linguère
Stade de Mbour
2
2
D
H2H away: La Linguère
26.04.26
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
0
L
16.03.25
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
0
L
08.06.24
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
2
1
L
13.05.23
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
0
L
27.11.21
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
2
0
L
26.12.18
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
1
D
13.06.18
H2H
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
1
D

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation