FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
FT
0 - 2
Referee: V. Lehtovaara
JäPS
Match Timeline
MP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
11'
J. Nikki ↔ A. Sainio
JäPS
🔄
46'
S. Stenius ↔ E. Ylonen
MP
🔄
62'
R. Kawale ↔ M. Kastrati
MP
🔄
64'
S. Atakayi ↔ V. Karttunen
MP
🔄
66'
S. Maliki ↔ C. Katashira
JäPS
🟨
70'
A. Sainio
JäPS
72'
P. Haikonen
MP
🔄
77'
E. Pallas ↔ H. Kuosa
JäPS
🔄
77'
↔ I. Soderlund
JäPS
🟨
80'
R. Selander
JäPS
🔄
88'
A. Tervaniemi ↔ S. Seppanen
MP
90'
S. Saidy · Assist: E. Ylonen
MP

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 46.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
46.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
JäPS Win 87.6%
Draw 0%
MP Win 12.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
JäPS1.15
MP1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
JäPS JäPS
WWDLW
12 GF / 11 GA
MP MP
WLDWL
15 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.15
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
2
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

JäPS JäPS 12 matches
MP MP 13 matches
JäPS Statistic MP
7 Wins 5
1 Draws 1
4 Losses 7
12 Goals For 15
11 Goals Against 18
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
2 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by JäPS's more proactive style and MP's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MP having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring MP. JäPS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 13 points compared to MP in 8 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. MP arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

JäPS Analysis

JäPS come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 13 points after 7 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 7:6 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on C. Katashira (1 goals), E. Pallas (1 goals), H. Olander (1 goals), with creative support from E. Pallas (1 assists), H. Olander (1 assists), R. Selander (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

MP Analysis

MP sit 8 with 6 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 4:9, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through N. Forsell (1 goals), S. Atakayi (1 goals), S. Saidy (1 goals), with creative support from E. Ylonen (1 assists), M. Kastrati (1 assists), P. Kerminen (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, JäPS won 5 times, MP won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:22 from JäPS's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: JäPS wins 5, draws 5, MP wins 5

Lineups

JäPS
Formation
MP
B. Mustafa
B. Mustafa
P. Haikonen
P. Haikonen
J. Nikki
J. Nikki
O. Jama
O. Jama
S. Maliki
S. Maliki
A. Ristola
A. Ristola
V. Ahola
V. Ahola
E. Pallas
E. Pallas
R. Selander
R. Selander
H. Olander
H. Olander
J. Salo
J. Salo
J. Uronen
J. Uronen
V. Laiho
V. Laiho
T. Afshari
T. Afshari
A. Chishima
A. Chishima
S. Stenius
S. Stenius
V. Janhunen
V. Janhunen
S. Saidy
S. Saidy
R. Kawale
R. Kawale
A. Tervaniemi
A. Tervaniemi
S. Atakayi
S. Atakayi
A. Traore
A. Traore
JäPS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
77
B. Mustafa
3
P. Haikonen
⚽ 72'
4
J. Nikki
↓ 11'
6
O. Jama
7
S. Maliki
↓ 66'
9
A. Ristola
10
V. Ahola
11
E. Pallas
↓ 77'
14
R. Selander
🟨 80'
20
H. Olander
41
J. Salo
Substitutes
36
T. Valtonen
8
R. Heidari
13
A. Sainio
↑ 11' 🟨 70'
19
H. Kuosa
↑ 77'
21
C. Katashira
↑ 66'
22
G. Taskos
27
I. Soderlund
↑ 77'
MP 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
22
J. Uronen
4
V. Laiho
6
T. Afshari
7
A. Chishima
15
S. Stenius
↓ 46'
19
V. Janhunen
20
S. Saidy
⚽ 90'
24
R. Kawale
↓ 62'
28
A. Tervaniemi
↓ 88'
45
S. Atakayi
↓ 64'
97
A. Traore
Substitutes
1
S. Wilson
30
T. Heikkinen
2
S. Sarkka
9
M. Al Sheikh
10
E. Ylonen
🎯 90' ↑ 46'
13
V. Karttunen
↑ 64'
17
S. Seppanen
↑ 88'
87
M. Kastrati
↑ 62'
99
P. Kerminen
Last matches: JäPS
03.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
KäPa
1
3
L
12.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
0
5
L
05.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
2
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
KäPa
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
Kooteepee
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
EIF
3
0
W
21.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
0
5
L
10.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
JIPPO
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
JäPS
TPV
1
0
W
24.03.26
Fri
JäPS
VJS
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
JäPS
Gnistan
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
JäPS
PK-35
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
JäPS
KäPa
0
1
L
Last matches: MP
05.07.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
2
1
W
26.06.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
07.05.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
1
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
MP
JJK
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
MP
Ilves
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
MP
PK-35
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
MP
MyPa
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
MP
PEPO
4
2
W
10.01.26
Fri
MP
Atlantis
4
1
W
H2H: JäPS vs MP
22.05.26
H2H
JäPS
MP
0
2
L
21.02.26
H2H
MP
JäPS
1
1
D
30.08.24
H2H
JäPS
MP
4
0
W
17.07.24
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
1
D
19.05.24
H2H
MP
JäPS
0
3
W
09.03.24
H2H
JäPS
MP
4
1
W
14.07.23
H2H
MP
JäPS
0
2
W
06.05.23
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
3
L
11.02.23
H2H
JäPS
MP
3
0
W
03.09.22
H2H
MP
JäPS
2
0
L
22.06.22
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
4
L
31.08.19
H2H
JäPS
MP
2
2
D
16.06.19
H2H
MP
JäPS
2
2
D
05.08.18
H2H
MP
JäPS
1
1
D
19.05.18
H2H
JäPS
MP
0
3
L
Last matches: JäPS
03.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
12.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
0
5
L
16.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
Kooteepee
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
EIF
3
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
JäPS
TPV
1
0
W
24.03.26
Fri
JäPS
VJS
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
JäPS
Gnistan
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
JäPS
PK-35
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
JäPS
KäPa
0
1
L
H2H at home: JäPS
22.05.26
H2H
JäPS
MP
0
2
L
30.08.24
H2H
JäPS
MP
4
0
W
17.07.24
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
1
D
09.03.24
H2H
JäPS
MP
4
1
W
06.05.23
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
3
L
11.02.23
H2H
JäPS
MP
3
0
W
22.06.22
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
4
L
31.08.19
H2H
JäPS
MP
2
2
D
19.05.18
H2H
JäPS
MP
0
3
L
Last matches: MP
26.06.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
2
L
06.06.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
1
L
07.05.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
3
L
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
MP
Ilves
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
MP
PK-35
0
2
L
H2H away: MP
22.05.26
H2H
JäPS
MP
0
2
W
30.08.24
H2H
JäPS
MP
4
0
L
17.07.24
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
1
D
09.03.24
H2H
JäPS
MP
4
1
L
06.05.23
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
3
W
11.02.23
H2H
JäPS
MP
3
0
L
22.06.22
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
4
W
31.08.19
H2H
JäPS
MP
2
2
D
19.05.18
H2H
JäPS
MP
0
3
W

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 9 2 2 21:13 8 29
D W W L W
2 13 8 3 2 21:7 14 27
W W W D W
3 13 6 3 4 21:14 7 21
L L W W L
4 13 5 6 2 17:10 7 21
D D W D L
5
JäPS Home
13 6 1 6 12:19 -7 19
W L L W L
6
MP Away
13 5 1 7 12:15 -3 16
W L D L W
7 13 5 1 7 20:26 -6 16
L D L W L
8 12 4 3 5 14:17 -3 15
W L L W L
9 12 1 5 6 10:14 -4 8
W D D L L
10 13 1 3 9 4:17 -13 6
L L L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen