WORLD UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE
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Chorten Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.4%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.4%
1.36
BTTS Yes
78.8%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.75
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.21
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.95
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Jagiellonia Win 65.4%
Draw 5%
Saburtalo Win 29.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jagiellonia1.34
Saburtalo1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
WWDLW
20 GF / 12 GA
Saburtalo Saburtalo
WLDWL
43 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.43
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
7
BTTS Yes
18
6
Over 2.5
15
4
Shots on Goal
0.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 14 matches
Saburtalo Saburtalo 30 matches
Jagiellonia Statistic Saburtalo
9 Wins 13
3 Draws 9
2 Losses 8
20 Goals For 43
12 Goals Against 36
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
7 BTTS Yes 18
9 Over 1.5 23
6 Over 2.5 15
2 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 6
4 Shots On Goal 0.5
8.4 Total Shots 0
2.8 Corners 1.1
43.8% Ball Possession 13.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Jagiellonia 4-3-3 / Saburtalo 4-3-3
Last matches: Jagiellonia
13.08.26
UEF
Jagiellonia
Rangers
1
1
D
09.08.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Widzew Łódź
0
2
L
06.08.26
UEF
Jagiellonia
Rangers
2
1
W
31.07.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Motor Lublin
2
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Łomża
1
0
W
25.07.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
1
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
FC Nordsjaelland
2
1
W
16.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Sparta Praha
1
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Pafos
1
0
W
09.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Polessya
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Pogoń Siedlce
4
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
17.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
2
2
D
13.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Raków Częstochowa
2
0
W
09.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
3
2
W
24.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
1
2
L
19.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
10.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
1
1
D
04.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
0
0
D
21.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Wisla Plock
1
2
L
Last matches: Saburtalo
15.08.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
3
4
L
11.08.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Larne
2
1
W
04.08.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Larne
0
0
D
29.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Slovan Bratislava
1
1
D
21.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Slovan Bratislava
0
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
2
2
D
08.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
3
2
W
23.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
1
W
17.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
12.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
25.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
3
L
20.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
06.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
22.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
Last matches: Jagiellonia
09.08.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Widzew Łódź
0
2
L
06.08.26
UEF
Jagiellonia
Rangers
2
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Łomża
1
0
W
25.07.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
1
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Sparta Praha
1
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Pafos
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Pogoń Siedlce
4
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
09.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
3
2
W
24.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
1
2
L
04.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
0
0
D
21.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Wisla Plock
1
2
L
17.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
2
1
W
14.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Piast Gliwice
1
2
L
01.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Legia Warszawa
2
2
D
22.02.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
19.02.26
UEF
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
0
3
L
07.02.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Motor Lublin
4
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Cukaricki
3
0
W
11.12.25
UEF
Jagiellonia
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
Last matches: Saburtalo
15.08.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
3
4
L
04.08.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Larne
0
0
D
29.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Slovan Bratislava
1
1
D
08.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
3
2
W
25.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
3
L
16.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
06.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
22.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
03.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
W
11.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Saburtalo
Petrocub
2
1
W
09.02.26
Fri
Saburtalo
Dynamo Kyiv
0
2
L
02.02.26
Fri
Saburtalo
Veres Rivne
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Saburtalo
Ružomberok
1
1
D
23.07.25
UEF
Saburtalo
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
15.07.25
UEF
Saburtalo
Malmo FF
1
3
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.79
Draw 5.10
Home 1.36
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.44
Draw 2.53
Home 1.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.24
Over 2.25 1.55
Over 2.5 1.75
Over 2.75 1.96
Over 3.0 2.29
Over 3.25 2.61
Over 3.5 2.90
Over 4.5 5.48
Under 1.5 4.01
Under 2.25 2.45
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 2.75 1.87
Under 3.0 1.62
Under 3.25 1.50
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.15
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.00
Draw 4.75
Home 1.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 2.40
Home 1.80
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.75
Home 1.67
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 5.5 8.50
Over 6.5 12.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.65
Draw 5.31
Home 1.37
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.95
Draw 2.48
Home 1.79
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.75
Draw 2.88
Home 1.64
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.19
Over 1.75 1.25
Over 2.0 1.31
Over 2.25 1.59
Over 2.5 1.78
Over 2.75 1.87
Over 3.0 2.18
Over 3.25 2.46
Over 3.5 2.72
Over 3.75 3.28
Over 4.0 4.33
Over 4.25 4.70
Over 4.5 5.05
Over 4.75 6.39
Over 5.0 9.00
Over 5.5 9.90
Over 6.5 12.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 13.20
Under 1.0 9.60
Under 1.25 5.36
Under 1.5 3.84
Under 1.75 3.46
Under 2.0 3.05
Under 2.25 2.50
Under 2.5 2.13
Under 2.75 1.80
Under 3.0 1.58
Under 3.25 1.44
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 3.75 1.25
Under 4.0 1.14
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 4.75 1.05
Under 5.0 1.00
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 4.90
Home 1.32
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.75
Draw 2.50
Home 1.71
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.25
Draw 3.00
Home 1.65
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.0 1.26
Over 2.25 1.44
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 2.75 1.82
Over 3.0 2.08
Over 3.25 2.38
Over 3.5 2.63
Over 3.75 3.00
Over 4.0 3.80
Over 4.25 4.10
Over 4.5 4.60
Over 4.75 5.30
Over 5.0 7.00
Under 1.5 3.90
Under 2.0 3.35
Under 2.25 2.55
Under 2.5 2.07
Under 2.75 1.85
Under 3.0 1.63
Under 3.25 1.50
Under 3.5 1.41
Under 3.75 1.33
Under 4.0 1.21
Under 4.25 1.18
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 4.75 1.11
Under 5.0 1.06