POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA

24.04.2026 18:30

Jagiellonia

1 - 2

Gornik Zabrze

Chorten Arena

Referee: T. Kwiatkowski

Jagiellonia

Match Timeline

Gornik Zabrze

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 41.2%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 62.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 62.8%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	41.2%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	62.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	62.8%	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Jagiellonia Win 41.2%

Draw 28.9%

Gornik Zabrze Win 29.9%

Expected Goals (xG)

Jagiellonia1.4

Gornik Zabrze1.3

Recent Form (Last 5)

Jagiellonia

WWDLW

68 GF / 49 GA

Gornik Zabrze

WLDWL

41 GF / 33 GA

Key Stats

1.58

Average Goals Scored

1.41

1.14

Average Goals Conceded

1.14

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.47

Shots on Goal

4.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jagiellonia 43 matches

Gornik Zabrze 29 matches

Jagiellonia	Statistic	Gornik Zabrze
19	Wins	13
15	Draws	7
9	Losses	9
68	Goals For	41
49	Goals Against	33
1.58	Avg Goals Scored	1.41
1.14	Avg Goals Conceded	1.14
27	BTTS Yes	15
34	Over 1.5	20
26	Over 2.5	14
12	Over 3.5	7
13	Clean Sheets	8
8	Failed To Score	8
4.47	Shots On Goal	4.38
12.65	Total Shots	15.69
4.51	Corners	5.48
51.4%	Ball Possession	51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Jagiellonia won 6 times, Gornik Zabrze won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:24 from Jagiellonia's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (71.1%)

Predicted formations: Jagiellonia 4-2-3-1 / Gornik Zabrze 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Jagiellonia wins 6, draws 2, Gornik Zabrze wins 7

Standings

Ekstraklasa

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Lech Poznan	34	16	12	6	62:45	17	60	D W D W W
2	Gornik Zabrze Away	34	16	8	10	50:38	12	56	W W D L W
3	Jagiellonia Home	34	15	11	8	56:41	15	56	W D W W L
4	Raków Częstochowa	34	16	7	11	51:40	11	55	W W L W W
5	GKS Katowice	34	14	8	12	51:45	6	50	D D D W D
6	Legia Warszawa	34	12	13	9	42:37	5	49	W W W W L
7	Zaglebie Lubin	34	13	9	12	45:38	7	48	L L W D L
8	Wisla Plock	34	12	10	12	34:38	-4	46	D L L L L
9	Pogon Szczecin	34	13	6	15	47:49	-2	45	D W L W D
10	Radomiak Radom	34	11	11	12	52:53	-1	44	L L D W W
11	Korona Kielce	34	11	10	13	40:40	0	43	D W L D D
12	Motor Lublin	34	10	13	11	46:53	-7	43	L D W L L
13	Cracovia Krakow	34	9	15	10	39:42	-3	42	D D D D D
14	Widzew Łódź	34	12	6	16	41:41	0	42	W L W L W
15	Piast Gliwice	34	11	8	15	42:46	-4	41	L L D D W
16	Lechia Gdansk	34	12	7	15	62:65	-3	38	L L L L L
17	Arka Gdynia	34	9	9	16	34:61	-27	36	L L D D L
18	Nieciecza	34	9	7	18	43:65	-22	34	W W L L W

Champions League Qualification

Conference League Qualification

Relegation