ARGENTINA PRIMERA B METROPOLITANA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Carlos Sacaan
Ituzaingó
Match Timeline
Sportivo Italiano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
32'
I. Regules ↔ N. Santiago
Ituzaingó
🟨
38'
P. Desposito
Ituzaingó
🔄
46'
E. Merzario ↔ P. Durante
Sportivo Italiano
🟨
49'
P. Durante
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
68'
J. Martinez ↔ A. Politano
Ituzaingó
🔄
68'
L. Mena ↔ F. Luppino
Ituzaingó
🔄
68'
J. De Cuadro ↔ K. Gimenez
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
77'
A. Guerra ↔ L. Guzman
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
77'
F. Molina ↔ F. Gomez
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
81'
B. Mariani ↔ S. Gras
Ituzaingó
🔄
81'
L. Laborda ↔ P. Caceres
Sportivo Italiano
🟨
82'
A. Daivez
Sportivo Italiano
🟨
90+1'
M. Guzman
Sportivo Italiano

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 72.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
72.3%
-
BTTS Yes
54.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ituzaingó Win 19.8%
Draw 7.9%
Sportivo Italiano Win 72.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ituzaingó0.73
Sportivo Italiano1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó
WWDLW
18 GF / 49 GA
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano
WLDWL
27 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1.81
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
13
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ituzaingó Ituzaingó 27 matches
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano 26 matches
Ituzaingó Statistic Sportivo Italiano
1 Wins 12
7 Draws 8
19 Losses 6
18 Goals For 27
49 Goals Against 21
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
1.81 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
13 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 15
13 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 10
13 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Sportivo Italiano's more proactive style and Ituzaingó's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sportivo Italiano carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 33 points while Ituzaingó sit 22 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Ituzaingó have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sportivo Italiano having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sportivo Italiano. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Ituzaingó Analysis

Ituzaingó sit 22 with 9 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 6 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 15:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sportivo Italiano Analysis

From their first 21 matches, Sportivo Italiano have collected 33 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 22:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ituzaingó won 4 times, Sportivo Italiano won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Ituzaingó's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
H2H summary: Ituzaingó wins 4, draws 5, Sportivo Italiano wins 6

Lineups

Ituzaingó
Formation
Sportivo Italiano
A. Almiron
A. Almiron
J. Martinez
J. Martinez
T. Barea
T. Barea
A. Sotelo
A. Sotelo
P. Desposito
P. Desposito
J. Salvadores
J. Salvadores
I. Regules
I. Regules
M. Campusano
M. Campusano
B. Mariani
B. Mariani
L. Mena
L. Mena
A. Miranda
A. Miranda
G. Yordan
G. Yordan
C. Bifiguer
C. Bifiguer
C. Ordonez
C. Ordonez
E. Merzario
E. Merzario
A. Daivez
A. Daivez
A. Guerra
A. Guerra
J. Rivero
J. Rivero
J. De Cuadro
J. De Cuadro
L. Laborda
L. Laborda
F. Molina
F. Molina
M. Guzman
M. Guzman
Ituzaingó 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Almiron
2
J. Martinez
↓ 68'
3
T. Barea
4
A. Sotelo
5
P. Desposito
🟨 38'
6
J. Salvadores
7
I. Regules
↓ 32'
8
M. Campusano
9
B. Mariani
↓ 81'
10
L. Mena
↓ 68'
11
A. Miranda
Substitutes
12
L. Martins
13
A. Politano
↑ 68'
14
R. Politano
15
N. Santiago
↑ 32'
17
F. Lozano
18
J. Fernandez
19
F. Luppino
↑ 68'
20
S. Gras
↑ 81'
Sportivo Italiano 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Yordan
4
C. Bifiguer
2
C. Ordonez
6
E. Merzario
↓ 46'
3
A. Daivez
🟨 82'
8
A. Guerra
↓ 77'
5
J. Rivero
10
J. De Cuadro
↓ 68'
11
L. Laborda
↓ 81'
7
F. Molina
↓ 77'
9
M. Guzman
🟨 90+1'
Substitutes
12
A. Alastra
13
F. Di Massimo
14
P. Durante
↑ 46' 🟨 49'
15
L. Fantino
16
L. Guzman
↑ 77'
17
K. Gimenez
↑ 68'
18
R. Fortino
19
F. Gomez
↑ 77'
20
P. Caceres
↑ 81'
Last matches: Ituzaingó
29.08.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Dock Sud
0
2
L
25.08.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Arsenal Sarandi
0
2
L
22.08.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Merlo
0
0
D
15.08.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Argentino de Merlo
1
1
D
07.08.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Camioneros
0
1
L
01.08.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Talleres Remedios
0
0
D
18.07.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Laferrere
0
2
L
14.07.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
San Martín Burzaco
1
2
L
10.07.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Brown DE Adrogue
0
0
D
04.07.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Villa San Carlos
1
3
L
27.06.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Armenio
1
2
L
19.06.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Liniers
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Flandria
2
3
L
05.06.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Real Pilar
2
0
W
01.06.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Argentino Quilmes
0
2
L
26.05.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Laferrere
0
2
L
22.05.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
UAI Urquiza
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Defensores Unidos
1
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Villa Dalmine
0
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Comunicaciones
2
3
L
Last matches: Sportivo Italiano
29.08.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Argentino Quilmes
2
0
W
25.08.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Defensores Unidos
0
2
L
21.08.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Comunicaciones
0
1
L
15.08.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Dock Sud
4
0
W
08.08.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Merlo
4
0
W
01.08.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Camioneros
1
1
D
18.07.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
San Martín Burzaco
2
1
W
14.07.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
1
0
W
10.07.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Liniers
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Real Pilar
1
1
D
28.06.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
20.06.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Villa Dalmine
1
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Excursionistas
0
1
L
06.06.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Arsenal Sarandi
3
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Argentino de Merlo
0
2
L
27.05.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
San Martín Burzaco
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Talleres Remedios
1
0
W
18.05.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Laferrere
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Brown DE Adrogue
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Armenio
1
0
W
H2H: Ituzaingó vs Sportivo Italiano
25.07.26
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
15.03.26
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Ituzaingó
0
0
D
08.12.21
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
2
1
W
04.12.21
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Ituzaingó
0
0
D
26.09.21
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Ituzaingó
0
1
W
09.05.21
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
0
2
L
18.12.20
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Ituzaingó
0
0
D
13.03.20
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
1
1
D
23.09.19
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Ituzaingó
1
0
L
11.03.19
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
0
1
L
29.09.18
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Ituzaingó
1
0
L
16.03.18
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
2
0
W
13.10.17
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Ituzaingó
0
1
W
16.02.14
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
2
3
L
16.08.13
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Ituzaingó
2
1
L
Last matches: Ituzaingó
29.08.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Dock Sud
0
2
L
22.08.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Merlo
0
0
D
07.08.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Camioneros
0
1
L
14.07.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
San Martín Burzaco
1
2
L
04.07.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Villa San Carlos
1
3
L
19.06.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Liniers
1
1
D
05.06.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Real Pilar
2
0
W
26.05.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Laferrere
0
2
L
22.05.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
UAI Urquiza
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Villa Dalmine
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Excursionistas
1
3
L
14.04.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Arsenal Sarandi
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Argentino de Merlo
0
1
L
20.03.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Talleres Remedios
0
0
D
27.02.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Brown DE Adrogue
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pri
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Armenio
0
1
L
02.10.23
Pri
Ituzaingó
Dock Sud
1
0
W
16.09.23
Pri
Ituzaingó
Acassuso
0
2
L
02.09.23
Pri
Ituzaingó
Fénix
1
0
W
20.08.23
Pri
Ituzaingó
San Miguel
0
2
L
H2H at home: Ituzaingó
25.07.26
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
08.12.21
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
2
1
W
09.05.21
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
0
2
L
13.03.20
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
1
1
D
11.03.19
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
0
1
L
16.03.18
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
2
0
W
16.02.14
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
2
3
L
Last matches: Sportivo Italiano
29.08.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Argentino Quilmes
2
0
W
21.08.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Comunicaciones
0
1
L
08.08.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Merlo
4
0
W
18.07.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
San Martín Burzaco
2
1
W
10.07.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Liniers
1
0
W
28.06.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
20.06.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Villa Dalmine
1
2
L
06.06.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Arsenal Sarandi
3
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Talleres Remedios
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Brown DE Adrogue
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Flandria
0
0
D
14.04.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Defensores Unidos
0
2
L
05.04.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Dock Sud
3
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Camioneros
1
2
L
03.03.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Real Pilar
2
1
W
01.12.25
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Armenio
1
1
D
15.11.25
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Fénix
3
1
W
02.11.25
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Liniers
3
1
W
12.10.25
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Armenio
2
3
L
H2H away: Sportivo Italiano
25.07.26
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
08.12.21
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
2
1
L
09.05.21
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
0
2
W
13.03.20
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
1
1
D
11.03.19
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
0
1
W
16.03.18
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
2
0
L
16.02.14
H2H
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
2
3
W

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 8 7 49:27 22 62
L W W W L
2 33 16 12 5 44:22 22 60
W W D L D
3 33 16 12 5 39:20 19 60
D W D D W
4 33 17 9 7 35:17 18 60
W D L W L
5 32 16 11 5 35:16 19 59
D W W L W
6 33 15 10 8 38:25 13 55
W L L W W
7 33 14 10 9 37:32 5 52
D W W D D
8 33 12 10 11 39:42 -3 46
D W L L D
9 32 12 8 12 34:37 -3 44
L L W W L
10 33 10 13 10 38:34 4 43
W W D L W
11 32 11 10 11 32:31 1 43
L W D L D
12 32 10 10 12 30:32 -2 40
L D D W L
13 32 9 13 10 31:34 -3 40
W L D L D
14 32 9 12 11 34:47 -13 39
L D D L D
15 32 9 11 12 34:37 -3 38
W W W W D
16 33 8 13 12 28:35 -7 37
L L L W D
17 33 8 12 13 25:33 -8 36
D W L L W
18 33 7 12 14 28:36 -8 33
D W W L L
19 33 7 12 14 21:35 -14 33
D L D L W
20 32 8 8 16 26:39 -13 32
L W D D L
21 33 3 19 11 15:29 -14 28
L L D L D
22 33 1 11 21 19:51 -32 14
L L D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)