BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: W. Oliveira
Ituano
Match Timeline
Figueirense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Jean Mangabeira
Figueirense
🟨
28'
Emerson Galego
Figueirense
🔄
46'
Breno ↔ Renan Areias
Figueirense
🔄
63'
Thassio ↔ Alason Carioca
Ituano
🔄
63'
Bruno Mezenga ↔ Gabriel Razera
Ituano
🔄
63'
Neto Berola ↔ Leo Passos
Ituano
🟨
70'
Gabriel Razera
Ituano
🔄
73'
Emerson Galego ↔ Igor Bolt
Figueirense
🔄
73'
Lucas Alves ↔ Hyuri
Figueirense
🔄
76'
Gabriel William ↔ Fernando Canesin
Ituano
🟨
78'
Lucas Mota
Ituano
🔄
80'
Jose Carlos ↔ Arthur Martins
Figueirense
🔄
87'
Raynan ↔ Choco
Figueirense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.8%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ituano Win 72.8%
Draw 4.3%
Figueirense Win 23%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ituano1.46
Figueirense1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ituano Ituano
WWDLW
15 GF / 12 GA
Figueirense Figueirense
WLDWL
10 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
5
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ituano Ituano 10 matches
Figueirense Figueirense 10 matches
Ituano Statistic Figueirense
5 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
3 Losses 4
15 Goals For 10
12 Goals Against 14
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
5 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Ituano's more proactive style and Figueirense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Figueirense. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ituano arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 16 points compared to Figueirense in 14 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Figueirense having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Ituano Analysis

Ituano approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 16 points after 9 outings. With 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:10, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Neto Berola (3 goals), Gabriel Razera (2 goals), Alason Carioca (1 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Figueirense Analysis

Figueirense approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 11 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 8:13 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Igor Bolt (2 goals), Lucas Alves (2 goals), Arthur Martins (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Ituano won 2 times, Figueirense won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Ituano's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Ituano wins 2, draws 1, Figueirense wins 1

Lineups

Ituano
Formation
Figueirense
Saulo
Saulo
Lucas Mota
Lucas Mota
Leo Coltro
Leo Coltro
Carlao
Carlao
Gabriel William
Gabriel William
Tiaguinho
Tiaguinho
Thassio
Thassio
Richard
Richard
Bruno Mezenga
Bruno Mezenga
Guilherme Xavier
Guilherme Xavier
Neto Berola
Neto Berola
Igo Gabriel
Igo Gabriel
Leo Maia
Leo Maia
Jhonnathan
Jhonnathan
Leonan Santos
Leonan Santos
Arthur Henrique
Arthur Henrique
Breno
Breno
Jean Mangabeira
Jean Mangabeira
Raynan
Raynan
Jose Carlos
Jose Carlos
Lucas Alves
Lucas Alves
Emerson Galego
Emerson Galego
Ituano 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Saulo
2
Lucas Mota
🟨 78'
3
Leo Coltro
4
Carlao
5
Gabriel William
↓ 76'
6
Tiaguinho
7
Thassio
↓ 63'
8
Richard
9
Bruno Mezenga
↓ 63'
10
Guilherme Xavier
11
Neto Berola
↓ 63'
Substitutes
12
J. Pantera
13
Leo Souza
14
Leandro Sergipe
15
Martha
16
Guilherme Dal Pian
17
Alason Carioca
↑ 63'
18
Nelsinho
19
Gabriel Razera
↑ 63' 🟨 70'
20
Fernando Canesin
↑ 76'
21
Felipe Muranga
22
Marlinho
23
Leo Passos
↑ 63'
Figueirense 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
52
Igo Gabriel
2
Leo Maia
25
Jhonnathan
3
Leonan Santos
6
Arthur Henrique
14
Breno
↓ 46'
30
Jean Mangabeira
🟨 23'
7
Raynan
↓ 87'
82
Jose Carlos
↓ 80'
9
Lucas Alves
↓ 73'
99
Emerson Galego
↓ 73' 🟨 28'
Substitutes
12
Fabricio Santana
22
Vitor Ricardo
27
Felipe Santiago
5
Renan Areias
↑ 46'
35
Flavio
77
Choco
↑ 87'
11
Arthur Martins
↑ 80'
70
Igor Bolt
↑ 73'
91
Hyuri
↑ 73'
Last matches: Ituano
12.07.26
Ser
Ituano
Ferroviária
1
3
L
04.07.26
Ser
Ituano
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ituano
Maranhão
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
Ituano
AO Itabaiana
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Caxias
1
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Botafogo PB
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Guarani Campinas
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Confiança
1
0
W
05.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Ypiranga-RS
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Maringá
4
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Inter De Limeira
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Amazonas
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Anápolis
2
0
W
Last matches: Figueirense
13.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Volta Redonda
0
0
D
06.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Brusque
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Floresta
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Confiança
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Amazonas
1
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Barra
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Anápolis
1
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Botafogo PB
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Maringá
1
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
H2H: Ituano vs Figueirense
20.06.26
H2H
Ituano
Figueirense
0
0
D
18.05.25
H2H
Figueirense
Ituano
2
0
L
06.09.21
H2H
Figueirense
Ituano
1
2
W
05.07.21
H2H
Ituano
Figueirense
1
0
W
Last matches: Ituano
12.07.26
Ser
Ituano
Ferroviária
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ituano
Maranhão
0
0
D
25.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Botafogo PB
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Confiança
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Maringá
4
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Anápolis
2
0
W
H2H at home: Ituano
20.06.26
H2H
Ituano
Figueirense
0
0
D
05.07.21
H2H
Ituano
Figueirense
1
0
W
Last matches: Figueirense
06.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Brusque
1
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Floresta
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Confiança
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Amazonas
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Anápolis
1
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
H2H away: Figueirense
20.06.26
H2H
Ituano
Figueirense
0
0
D
05.07.21
H2H
Ituano
Figueirense
1
0
L