BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: W. Oliveira
Ituano
Match Timeline
Figueirense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Jean Mangabeira
Figueirense
🟨
28'
Emerson Galego
Figueirense
🔄
46'
Breno ↔ Renan Areias
Figueirense
🔄
63'
Thassio ↔ Alason Carioca
Ituano
🔄
63'
Bruno Mezenga ↔ Gabriel Razera
Ituano
🔄
63'
Neto Berola ↔ Leo Passos
Ituano
🟨
70'
Gabriel Razera
Ituano
🔄
73'
Emerson Galego ↔ Igor Bolt
Figueirense
🔄
73'
Lucas Alves ↔ Hyuri
Figueirense
🔄
76'
Gabriel William ↔ Fernando Canesin
Ituano
🟨
78'
Lucas Mota
Ituano
🔄
80'
Jose Carlos ↔ Arthur Martins
Figueirense
🔄
87'
Raynan ↔ Choco
Figueirense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.8%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ituano Win 72.8%
Draw 4.3%
Figueirense Win 23%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ituano1.46
Figueirense1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ituano Ituano
WWDLW
15 GF / 12 GA
Figueirense Figueirense
WLDWL
10 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
5
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ituano Ituano 10 matches
Figueirense Figueirense 10 matches
Ituano Statistic Figueirense
5 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
3 Losses 4
15 Goals For 10
12 Goals Against 14
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
5 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Ituano's more proactive style and Figueirense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Figueirense. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ituano arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 16 points compared to Figueirense in 14 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Figueirense having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Ituano Analysis

Ituano approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 16 points after 9 outings. With 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:10, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Neto Berola (3 goals), Gabriel Razera (2 goals), Alason Carioca (1 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Figueirense Analysis

Figueirense approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 11 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 8:13 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Igor Bolt (2 goals), Lucas Alves (2 goals), Arthur Martins (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Ituano won 2 times, Figueirense won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Ituano's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Ituano wins 2, draws 1, Figueirense wins 1

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
W W D D W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D W L W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W L W D D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W W D L D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W W W L D
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D L W L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L W L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D W L D L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation