BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Ituano
Match Timeline
Botafogo PB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Erick
Botafogo PB
🟨
39'
Richard
Ituano
🟨
45+2'
Bull
Botafogo PB
🔄
46'
Erick ↔ Diogo Mateus
Botafogo PB
🔄
46'
Bull ↔ Patric Calmon
Botafogo PB
🔄
46'
Jhonata Varela ↔ Thallyson
Botafogo PB
48'
Guilherme Xavier
Ituano
🟨
61'
Lucas Mota
Ituano
🔄
64'
Gabriel Razera ↔ Alason Carioca
Ituano
🔄
64'
Neto Berola ↔ Bruno Mezenga
Ituano
🔄
75'
Thassio ↔ Bruno Alves
Ituano
🔄
75'
Guilherme Xavier ↔ Leo Passos
Ituano
🔄
75'
R. Bastos ↔ Dudu Hatamoto
Botafogo PB
🔄
79'
Dudu Nardini ↔ Henrique Dourado
Botafogo PB
🔄
85'
Tiaguinho ↔ Guilherme Dal Pian
Ituano
🟨
86'
Octavio
Botafogo PB

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ituano Win 83.1%
Draw 0%
Botafogo PB Win 17%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ituano1.59
Botafogo PB1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ituano Ituano
WWDLW
11 GF / 8 GA
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WLDWL
11 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ituano Ituano 7 matches
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 8 matches
Ituano Statistic Botafogo PB
4 Wins 3
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 5
11 Goals For 11
8 Goals Against 13
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
3 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Ituano's more proactive style and Botafogo PB's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Botafogo PB. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Botafogo PB having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ituano arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 13 points compared to Botafogo PB in 17 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Botafogo PB arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Ituano Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 13 points from 7 games, Ituano bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 11:8, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Gabriel Razera (2 goals), Neto Berola (2 goals), Alason Carioca (1 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Botafogo PB Analysis

Botafogo PB sit 17 with 6 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 8:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Nene (3 goals), R. Bastos (2 goals), Felipe Azevedo (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Ituano won 3 times, Botafogo PB won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Ituano's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Ituano wins 3, draws 0, Botafogo PB wins 1

Lineups

Ituano
Formation
Botafogo PB
Saulo
Saulo
Lucas Mota
Lucas Mota
Leo Coltro
Leo Coltro
Matheus Mancini
Matheus Mancini
Martha
Martha
Tiaguinho
Tiaguinho
Thassio
Thassio
Richard
Richard
Gabriel Razera
Gabriel Razera
Guilherme Xavier
Guilherme Xavier
Neto Berola
Neto Berola
Luiz Daniel
Luiz Daniel
Erick
Erick
Yan Souto
Yan Souto
Octavio
Octavio
Bull
Bull
Dudu Nardini
Dudu Nardini
Igor Maduro
Igor Maduro
Jhonata Varela
Jhonata Varela
Nene
Nene
Gustavo
Gustavo
R. Bastos
R. Bastos
Ituano 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Saulo
2
Lucas Mota
🟨 61'
3
Leo Coltro
4
Matheus Mancini
5
Martha
6
Tiaguinho
↓ 85'
7
Thassio
↓ 75'
8
Richard
🟨 39'
9
Gabriel Razera
↓ 64'
10
Guilherme Xavier
⚽ 48' ↓ 75'
11
Neto Berola
↓ 64'
Substitutes
12
J. Pantera
13
Victor Reis
14
Carlao
15
Leandro Sergipe
16
Guilherme Dal Pian
↑ 85'
17
Alason Carioca
↑ 64'
18
Nelsinho
19
Bruno Mezenga
↑ 64'
20
Lucas Stefanello
21
Bruno Alves
↑ 75'
22
Leo Souza
23
Leo Passos
↑ 75'
Botafogo PB 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
27
Luiz Daniel
12
Erick
↓ 46' 🟨 14'
3
Yan Souto
35
Octavio
🟨 86'
16
Bull
↓ 46' 🟨 45+2'
22
Dudu Nardini
↓ 79'
8
Igor Maduro
5
Jhonata Varela
↓ 46'
10
Nene
31
Gustavo
77
R. Bastos
↓ 75'
Substitutes
21
Leandro Mathias
2
Diogo Mateus
↑ 46'
6
Patric Calmon
↑ 46'
7
Dudu Hatamoto
↑ 75'
9
Henrique Dourado
↑ 79'
14
Igor Morais
18
Giovanni
20
Thallyson
↑ 46'
29
Anderson Chaves
30
L. M. Alves
88
Gabriel Tota
Last matches: Ituano
12.07.26
Ser
Ituano
Ferroviária
1
3
L
04.07.26
Ser
Ituano
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ituano
Maranhão
0
0
D
20.06.26
Ser
Ituano
Figueirense
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
Ituano
AO Itabaiana
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Caxias
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Guarani Campinas
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Confiança
1
0
W
05.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Ypiranga-RS
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Maringá
4
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Inter De Limeira
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Amazonas
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Anápolis
2
0
W
Last matches: Botafogo PB
12.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Anápolis
2
0
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Brusque
2
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
15.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maringá
2
1
W
18.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maranhão
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Paysandu
2
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Floresta
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Figueirense
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ferroviária
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Barra
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Botafogo PB
Santa Cruz RN
3
1
W
H2H: Ituano vs Botafogo PB
25.05.26
H2H
Ituano
Botafogo PB
1
0
W
19.07.25
H2H
Ituano
Botafogo PB
0
3
L
06.11.21
H2H
Ituano
Botafogo PB
3
1
W
02.10.21
H2H
Botafogo PB
Ituano
0
1
W
Last matches: Ituano
12.07.26
Ser
Ituano
Ferroviária
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ituano
Maranhão
0
0
D
20.06.26
Ser
Ituano
Figueirense
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Confiança
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Maringá
4
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Anápolis
2
0
W
H2H at home: Ituano
25.05.26
H2H
Ituano
Botafogo PB
1
0
W
19.07.25
H2H
Ituano
Botafogo PB
0
3
L
06.11.21
H2H
Ituano
Botafogo PB
3
1
W
Last matches: Botafogo PB
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Anápolis
2
0
W
15.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maranhão
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Paysandu
2
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Figueirense
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ferroviária
2
0
W
H2H away: Botafogo PB
25.05.26
H2H
Ituano
Botafogo PB
1
0
L
19.07.25
H2H
Ituano
Botafogo PB
0
3
W
06.11.21
H2H
Ituano
Botafogo PB
3
1
L

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 4 3 17:14 3 25
W W D L W
2 14 7 3 4 20:15 5 24
L W L W L
3 14 7 3 4 15:10 5 24
W W W L W
4 14 7 2 5 22:19 3 23
W L L W L
5 14 6 5 3 25:14 11 23
L D D L W
6 14 7 1 6 19:15 4 22
W W W W D
7 14 6 4 4 27:24 3 22
W W D D D
8 14 6 4 4 15:12 3 22
W L L W W
9 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W D D L
10 14 5 5 4 15:14 1 20
D D W L L
11 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
L L D D D
12 14 5 3 6 17:19 -2 18
L W D W D
13 14 5 3 6 10:15 -5 18
D L W L W
14 14 5 2 7 13:19 -6 17
L L L D W
15 14 4 5 5 11:14 -3 17
W L D L D
16 14 4 5 5 12:18 -6 17
D L D D W
17 14 4 4 6 12:17 -5 16
W W W L D
18 14 3 6 5 17:16 1 15
L W L D L
19 14 3 2 9 8:14 -6 11
L L D W L
20 14 2 3 9 9:18 -9 9
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation