16.11.2025 19:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Referee: A. Hernandez
Italy
Match Timeline
Norway
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
F. Esposito · Assist: F. Dimarco
Italy
🟨
45+2'
Nicolò Barella
Italy
63'
A. Nusa · Assist: A. Sorloth
Norway
🔄
64'
P. Berg ↔ M. Thorsby
Norway
🟨
67'
Alessandro Bastoni
Italy
🔄
68'
D. Frattesi ↔ B. Cristante
Italy
🟨
69'
Francesco Pio Esposito
Italy
🟨
69'
Erling Haaland
Norway
🔄
75'
K. Thorstvedt ↔ T. Aasgaard
Norway
🔄
76'
A. Sorloth ↔ O. Bobb
Norway
78'
E. Haaland · Assist: O. Bobb
Norway
🔄
79'
M. Locatelli ↔ G. Scamacca
Italy
🔄
79'
F. Esposito ↔ M. Zaccagni
Italy
79'
E. Haaland · Assist: M. Thorsby
Norway
🔄
86'
N. Barella ↔ A. Buongiorno
Italy
🔄
86'
A. Bastoni ↔ S. Ricci
Italy
🔄
89'
D. M. Wolfe ↔ L. Ostigard
Norway
🔄
89'
E. Haaland ↔ J. S. Larsen
Norway
🟨
90+4'
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Norway
90'
J. S. Larsen · Assist: M. Thorsby
Norway

Italy vs Norway Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Italy Win 0%
Draw 0%
Norway Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Italy1.82
Norway2.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Italy Italy
WWDLW
37 GF / 21 GA
Norway Norway
WLDWL
48 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2.47
Average Goals Scored
3.69
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
9
BTTS Yes
6
12
Over 2.5
11
7.43
Shots on Goal
8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Italy Italy 15 matches
Norway Norway 13 matches
Italy Statistic Norway
10 Wins 11
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
37 Goals For 48
21 Goals Against 11
2.47 Avg Goals Scored 3.69
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
9 BTTS Yes 6
14 Over 1.5 11
12 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 1
7.43 Shots On Goal 8
22.71 Total Shots 20.29
7.14 Corners 5.43
63.7% Ball Possession 59.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Italy won 0 times, Norway won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:7 from Italy's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Italy 3-5-2 / Norway 4-5-1
H2H summary: Italy wins 0, draws 0, Norway wins 2

Standings

Group I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 37:5 32 24
W W W W W
2
Italy Home
8 6 0 2 21:12 9 18
L W W W W
3 8 4 0 4 19:20 -1 12
W L L L W
4 8 1 1 6 8:21 -13 4
L D L L L
5 8 0 1 7 5:32 -27 1
L L D L L
Promotion - World Cup
Promotion - World Cup (Promotion)