Italy
Match Timeline
Moldova
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Italy Win 0%
Draw 0%
Moldova Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Italy1.73
Moldova1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Italy
WWDLW
17 GF / 16 GA
Moldova
WLDWL
7 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
7
BTTS Yes
1
8
Over 2.5
2
1
Shots on Goal
5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Italy
9 matches
Moldova
6 matches
| Italy | Statistic | Moldova |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 0 |
| 3 | Losses | 3 |
| 17 | Goals For | 7 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.78 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 1 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 6 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 2 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 62% | Ball Possession | 40.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Italy won 3 times, Moldova won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:0 from Italy's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Italy 3-5-1-1 / Moldova 5-3-2
H2H summary: Italy wins 3, draws 0, Moldova wins 0
Stats
Italy
Moldova
Shots on Goal
7
7
Shots on Goal
7
7
Shots off Goal
9
9
Shots off Goal
8
8
Blocked Shots
12
12
Blocked Shots
3
3
Lineups
Italy
Formation
Moldova
G. Donnarumma
G. Di Lorenzo
A. Bastoni
L. Ranieri
A. Cambiaso
D. Frattesi
S. Ricci
S. Tonali
F. Dimarco
G. Raspadori
M. Retegui
C. Avram
S. Platica
V. Baboglo
V. Mudrac
D. Dumbravanu
O. Reabciuk
M. Caimacov
A. Ionita
S. Bodisteanu
I. Nicolaescu
V. Postolachi
Italy
3-5-1-1
Starting XI
1
G. Donnarumma
G
22
G. Di Lorenzo
D
21
A. Bastoni
D
19
L. Ranieri
D
↓ 83'
20
A. Cambiaso
M
⚽ 50'
16
D. Frattesi
M
🎯 50'
🟨 85'
6
S. Ricci
M
↓ 46'
8
S. Tonali
M
3
F. Dimarco
M
↓ 46'
10
G. Raspadori
F
⚽ 40'
↓ 77'
9
M. Retegui
F
↓ 71'
Substitutes
12
A. Meret
G
23
M. Carnesecchi
G
2
D. Coppola
D
↑ 83'
4
N. Rovella
M
5
F. Gatti
D
7
R. Orsolini
F
↑ 46'
11
D. Maldini
F
↑ 77'
13
D. Udogie
D
14
C. Casadei
M
15
D. Rugani
D
17
L. Lucca
F
↑ 71'
18
N. Barella
M
↑ 46'
Moldova
5-3-2
Starting XI
12
C. Avram
G
20
S. Platica
D
4
V. Baboglo
D
15
V. Mudrac
D
19
D. Dumbravanu
D
2
O. Reabciuk
D
11
M. Caimacov
M
↓ 66'
7
A. Ionita
M
↓ 72'
18
S. Bodisteanu
M
↓ 58'
9
I. Nicolaescu
F
↓ 72'
🟨 71'
17
V. Postolachi
F
↓ 66'
Substitutes
1
V. Straistari
G
23
A. Kozhukhar
3
I. Bors
D
5
V. Posmac
D
6
C. Dros
M
↑ 72'
8
N. Motpan
M
↑ 58'
10
V. Damascan
F
↑ 72'
13
A. Motoc
D
14
M. Stefan
D
16
V. Stina
M
↑ 66'
21
S. Perciun
M
↑ 66'
22
S. Bitca
M
Last matches: Italy
07.06.26
Fri
Italy
Greece
1
0
W
03.06.26
Fri
Italy
Luxembourg
1
0
W
31.03.26
Wor
Italy
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
26.03.26
Wor
Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0
W
16.11.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
1
4
L
13.11.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
14.10.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
3
0
W
11.10.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
3
1
W
08.09.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
5
4
W
05.09.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
5
0
W
06.06.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
0
3
L
23.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
1
2
L
17.11.24
UEF
Italy
France
1
3
L
14.11.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
1
0
W
14.10.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
4
1
W
10.10.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
2
2
D
09.09.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
2
1
W
06.09.24
UEF
Italy
France
3
1
W
Last matches: Moldova
09.06.26
Fri
Moldova
Armenia
1
1
D
05.06.26
Fri
Moldova
Bulgaria
2
2
D
30.03.26
Fri
Moldova
Cyprus
2
3
L
26.03.26
Fri
Moldova
Lithuania
0
2
L
16.11.25
Wor
Moldova
Israel
1
4
L
13.11.25
Wor
Moldova
Italy
0
2
L
14.10.25
Wor
Moldova
Estonia
1
1
D
09.09.25
Wor
Moldova
Norway
1
11
L
05.09.25
Wor
Moldova
Israel
0
4
L
25.03.25
Wor
Moldova
Estonia
2
3
L
22.03.25
Wor
Moldova
Norway
0
5
L
16.11.24
UEF
Moldova
Andorra
1
0
W
13.10.24
UEF
Moldova
Malta
0
1
L
10.10.24
UEF
Moldova
Andorra
2
0
W
07.09.24
UEF
Moldova
Malta
2
0
W
H2H: Italy vs Moldova
13.11.25
H2H
Moldova
Italy
0
2
W
09.06.25
H2H
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
07.10.20
H2H
Italy
Moldova
6
0
W
Last matches: Italy
26.03.26
Wor
Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0
W
16.11.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
1
4
L
14.10.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
3
0
W
05.09.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
5
0
W
20.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
1
2
L
17.11.24
UEF
Italy
France
1
3
L
14.10.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
4
1
W
10.10.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
2
2
D
H2H at home: Italy
09.06.25
H2H
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
07.10.20
H2H
Italy
Moldova
6
0
W
Last matches: Moldova
09.06.26
Fri
Moldova
Armenia
1
1
D
30.03.26
Fri
Moldova
Cyprus
2
3
L
16.11.25
Wor
Moldova
Israel
1
4
L
14.10.25
Wor
Moldova
Estonia
1
1
D
09.09.25
Wor
Moldova
Norway
1
11
L
16.11.24
UEF
Moldova
Andorra
1
0
W
13.10.24
UEF
Moldova
Malta
0
1
L
H2H away: Moldova
09.06.25
H2H
Italy
Moldova
2
0
L
07.10.20
H2H
Italy
Moldova
6
0
L