CROATIA HNL
22.04.2026 18:15
Stadion Aldo Drosina
Referee: A. Terzic
Istra 1961
Match Timeline
Dinamo Zagreb
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
L. Stojkovic · Assist: S. Dominguez
Dinamo Zagreb
45'
D. Beljo · Assist: A. Hoxha
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
46'
M. Zajc ↔ M. Soldo
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
66'
A. Hoxha ↔ F. Topic
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
70'
E. Frederiksen ↔ C. Agada
Istra 1961
🔄
71'
V. Rozic ↔ S. Gorican
Istra 1961
🔄
80'
A. Kadusic ↔ F. Taraba
Istra 1961
🔄
80'
A. Mauric ↔ D. Ahmeti
Istra 1961
🔄
80'
M. Lisica ↔ M. Bakrar
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
88'
L. Stulac ↔ G. Albarracin
Istra 1961

Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 86.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 91.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
86.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
91.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Istra 1961 Win 13.4%
Draw 0%
Dinamo Zagreb Win 86.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Istra 19611.17
Dinamo Zagreb2.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
WWDLW
35 GF / 44 GA
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
WLDWL
97 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
2.43
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
18
BTTS Yes
23
17
Over 2.5
30
3.07
Shots on Goal
5.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Istra 1961 Istra 1961 30 matches
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 40 matches
Istra 1961 Statistic Dinamo Zagreb
10 Wins 25
6 Draws 6
14 Losses 9
35 Goals For 97
44 Goals Against 47
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 2.43
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
18 BTTS Yes 23
24 Over 1.5 38
17 Over 2.5 30
6 Over 3.5 21
4 Clean Sheets 13
9 Failed To Score 5
3.07 Shots On Goal 5.7
9.97 Total Shots 15.45
3.97 Corners 6.13
47.8% Ball Possession 55.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dinamo Zagreb. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Istra 1961 expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Dinamo Zagreb in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dinamo Zagreb having the stronger overall control. Dinamo Zagreb look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Dinamo Zagreb carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 70 points while Istra 1961 sit 7 on 36, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Istra 1961 Analysis

Istra 1961 sit 7 with 36 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at -:-, reflects mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through S. Prevljak (11 goals), S. Lawal (5 goals), E. Frederiksen (4 goals), with creative support from S. Loncar (6 assists), E. Frederiksen (5 assists), S. Prevljak (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a balanced approach.

Dinamo Zagreb Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 70 points after 30 outings. They have recorded 22 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a -:- goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on D. Beljo (27 goals), M. Bakrar (8 goals), M. Zajc (8 goals), with creative support from L. Stojkovic (11 assists), M. Zajc (6 assists), M. Lisica (6 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, which underlines an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Istra 1961 won 3 times, Dinamo Zagreb won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:32 from Istra 1961's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Istra 1961 4-2-3-1 / Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3
H2H summary: Istra 1961 wins 3, draws 2, Dinamo Zagreb wins 10

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation