CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Aldo Drosina
Referee: A. Terzic
Istra 1961
Match Timeline
Dinamo Zagreb
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
L. Stojkovic · Assist: S. Dominguez
Dinamo Zagreb
45'
D. Beljo · Assist: A. Hoxha
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
46'
M. Zajc ↔ M. Soldo
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
66'
A. Hoxha ↔ F. Topic
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
70'
E. Frederiksen ↔ C. Agada
Istra 1961
🔄
71'
V. Rozic ↔ S. Gorican
Istra 1961
🔄
80'
A. Kadusic ↔ F. Taraba
Istra 1961
🔄
80'
A. Mauric ↔ D. Ahmeti
Istra 1961
🔄
80'
M. Lisica ↔ M. Bakrar
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
88'
L. Stulac ↔ G. Albarracin
Istra 1961

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 86.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 91.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
86.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
91.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Istra 1961 Win 13.4%
Draw 0%
Dinamo Zagreb Win 86.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Istra 19611.17
Dinamo Zagreb2.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
WWDLW
35 GF / 44 GA
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
WLDWL
97 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
2.43
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
18
BTTS Yes
23
17
Over 2.5
30
3.07
Shots on Goal
5.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Istra 1961 Istra 1961 30 matches
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 40 matches
Istra 1961 Statistic Dinamo Zagreb
10 Wins 25
6 Draws 6
14 Losses 9
35 Goals For 97
44 Goals Against 47
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 2.43
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
18 BTTS Yes 23
24 Over 1.5 38
17 Over 2.5 30
6 Over 3.5 21
4 Clean Sheets 13
9 Failed To Score 5
3.07 Shots On Goal 5.7
9.97 Total Shots 15.45
3.97 Corners 6.13
47.8% Ball Possession 55.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dinamo Zagreb. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Istra 1961 expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Dinamo Zagreb in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dinamo Zagreb having the stronger overall control. Dinamo Zagreb look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Dinamo Zagreb carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 70 points while Istra 1961 sit 7 on 36, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Istra 1961 Analysis

Istra 1961 sit 7 with 36 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at -:-, reflects mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through S. Prevljak (11 goals), S. Lawal (5 goals), E. Frederiksen (4 goals), with creative support from S. Loncar (6 assists), E. Frederiksen (5 assists), S. Prevljak (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a balanced approach.

Dinamo Zagreb Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 70 points after 30 outings. They have recorded 22 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a -:- goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on D. Beljo (27 goals), M. Bakrar (8 goals), M. Zajc (8 goals), with creative support from L. Stojkovic (11 assists), M. Zajc (6 assists), M. Lisica (6 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, which underlines an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Istra 1961 won 3 times, Dinamo Zagreb won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:32 from Istra 1961's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Istra 1961 4-2-3-1 / Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3
H2H summary: Istra 1961 wins 3, draws 2, Dinamo Zagreb wins 10
Stats
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
11
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
2 Corner Kicks 4
10 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 1
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Goal 7
3 Shots off Goal 11
2 Blocked Shots 1
2 Shots insidebox 11
3 Shots outsidebox 8
5 Goalkeeper Saves 0
429 Total passes 604
360 Passes accurate 536
0.18 expected_goals 1.83
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Istra 1961
Formation
Dinamo Zagreb
F. Kolic
F. Kolic
A. Kadusic
A. Kadusic
M. Nasraoui
M. Nasraoui
R. Kumar
R. Kumar
M. Heister
M. Heister
L. Stulac
L. Stulac
A. Mauric
A. Mauric
E. Frederiksen
E. Frederiksen
S. Loncar
S. Loncar
V. Rozic
V. Rozic
S. Prevljak
S. Prevljak
D. Livakovic
D. Livakovic
M. Valincic
M. Valincic
S. Dominguez
🎯
S. Dominguez
N. Galesic
N. Galesic
B. Goda
B. Goda
L. Stojkovic
L. Stojkovic
J. Misic
J. Misic
M. Zajc
M. Zajc
M. Lisica
M. Lisica
D. Beljo
D. Beljo
A. Hoxha
🎯
A. Hoxha
Istra 1961 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
F. Kolic
G
97
A. Kadusic
↓ 80'
D
3
M. Nasraoui
D
38
R. Kumar
D
26
M. Heister
D
23
L. Stulac
↓ 88'
M
8
A. Mauric
↓ 80'
M
17
E. Frederiksen
↓ 70'
M
10
S. Loncar
M
7
V. Rozic
↓ 71'
M
9
S. Prevljak
F
Substitutes
40
J. Paus-Kunst
G
16
S. Miettinen
D
29
A. Obando
F
24
F. Taraba
↑ 80'
D
13
N. Sepic
D
20
D. Ahmeti
↑ 80'
M
32
D. Celija
F
15
E. Sama
F
11
S. Gorican
↑ 71'
F
44
R. Hrvatin
D
25
G. Albarracin
↑ 88'
M
77
C. Agada
↑ 70'
F
Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3
Starting XI
40
D. Livakovic
G
25
M. Valincic
D
36
S. Dominguez
🎯 23'
D
15
N. Galesic
D
3
B. Goda
D
7
L. Stojkovic
⚽ 23'
M
27
J. Misic
M
8
M. Zajc
↓ 46'
M
21
M. Lisica
↓ 80'
F
9
D. Beljo
⚽ 45'
F
11
A. Hoxha
🎯 45' ↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
44
I. Filipovic
G
33
I. Nevistic
G
14
M. Soldo
↑ 46'
M
71
M. Bakrar
↑ 80'
F
70
J. Cordoba
F
42
M. Zebic
D
13
P. Tabinas
D
22
M. Perez Vinlof
D
30
F. Topic
↑ 66'
F
Last matches: Istra 1961
18.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Udinese
2
2
D
17.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Milton Keynes Dons
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Celje
1
1
D
08.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Uta Arad
2
2
D
03.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Opatija
3
0
W
23.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
17.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
10.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
1
0
W
04.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Slaven Belupo
3
1
W
27.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
0
1
L
18.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Vukovar
1
2
L
11.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
2
L
07.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split
1
3
L
20.03.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
2
1
W
15.03.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
2
0
W
06.03.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
0
1
L
27.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Slaven Belupo
0
1
L
21.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
0
2
L
14.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
4
L
07.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Vukovar
2
3
L
Last matches: Dinamo Zagreb
21.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Zagreb
FC Thun
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Dinamo Zagreb
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
08.07.26
Fri
Dinamo Zagreb
Koper
4
2
W
02.07.26
Fri
Dinamo Zagreb
Brinje-Grosuplje
9
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Dinamo Zagreb
Radomlje
3
0
W
23.05.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
0
D
17.05.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
4
1
W
09.05.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
2
0
W
02.05.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
2
1
W
26.04.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Varazdin
2
1
W
18.04.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2
2
D
13.04.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
Vukovar
4
1
W
04.04.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Osijek
7
0
W
21.03.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
5
0
W
14.03.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
4
2
W
08.03.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
3
1
W
01.03.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
4
2
W
26.02.26
UEF
Dinamo Zagreb
Genk
3
3
D
22.02.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Varazdin
4
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
Dinamo Zagreb
Genk
1
3
L
H2H: Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb
22.04.26
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
2
L
14.02.26
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
4
0
L
09.11.25
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
2
1
W
23.08.25
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
3
0
L
05.04.25
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
3
0
W
25.01.25
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
3
1
L
19.10.24
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
2
2
D
02.08.24
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
5
0
L
07.04.24
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
4
1
L
27.01.24
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
1
L
08.10.23
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
3
0
L
29.07.23
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
3
L
22.04.23
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
0
D
15.03.23
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
1
0
W
10.02.23
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
1
0
L
Last matches: Istra 1961
17.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Milton Keynes Dons
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Uta Arad
2
2
D
03.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Opatija
3
0
W
17.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
04.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Slaven Belupo
3
1
W
18.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Vukovar
1
2
L
07.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split
1
3
L
20.03.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
2
1
W
06.03.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
0
1
L
21.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
0
2
L
30.01.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
20.01.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
1
2
L
14.01.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Radomlje
3
1
W
10.01.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Opatija
6
1
W
29.11.25
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Slaven Belupo
1
1
D
09.11.25
HNL
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
2
1
W
01.11.25
HNL
Istra 1961
Vukovar
1
1
D
19.10.25
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split
0
3
L
03.10.25
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
1
0
W
21.09.25
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
2
1
W
H2H at home: Istra 1961
22.04.26
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
2
L
09.11.25
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
2
1
W
05.04.25
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
3
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
2
2
D
27.01.24
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
1
L
29.07.23
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
3
L
22.04.23
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
0
D
15.03.23
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
1
0
W
Last matches: Dinamo Zagreb
21.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Zagreb
FC Thun
1
1
D
02.07.26
Fri
Dinamo Zagreb
Brinje-Grosuplje
9
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Dinamo Zagreb
Radomlje
3
0
W
17.05.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
4
1
W
02.05.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
2
1
W
13.04.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
Vukovar
4
1
W
21.03.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
5
0
W
08.03.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
3
1
W
26.02.26
UEF
Dinamo Zagreb
Genk
3
3
D
22.02.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Varazdin
4
0
W
08.02.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
29.01.26
UEF
Dinamo Zagreb
FC Midtjylland
0
2
L
25.01.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Osijek
3
0
W
14.12.25
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
5
2
W
01.12.25
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
2
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
Dinamo Zagreb
Lille
0
4
L
09.11.25
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
1
2
L
27.10.25
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
Vukovar
0
1
L
23.10.25
UEF
Dinamo Zagreb
Malmo FF
1
1
D
05.10.25
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
2
L
H2H away: Dinamo Zagreb
22.04.26
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
2
W
09.11.25
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
2
1
L
05.04.25
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
3
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
2
2
D
27.01.24
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
1
W
29.07.23
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
3
W
22.04.23
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
0
D
15.03.23
H2H
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
1
0
L

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation