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08.09.2025 18:45
Nagyerdei Stadion
Referee: S. Vincic
Israel
Match Timeline
Italy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
9'
S. Lemkin ↔ R. Shlomo
Israel
⚽
16'
M. Locatelli
Israel
⚽
40'
M. Kean · Assist: M. Retegui
Italy
⚽
52'
D. Peretz · Assist: M. Solomon
Israel
⚽
54'
M. Kean · Assist: M. Retegui
Italy
⚽
58'
M. Politano · Assist: M. Retegui
Italy
🔄
66'
A. Khalaili ↔ T. Baribo
Israel
🔄
66'
D. Biton ↔ G. Mizrahi
Israel
🔄
66'
E. Dasa ↔ S. Jehezkel
Israel
🔄
68'
N. Barella ↔ D. Frattesi
Italy
🔄
68'
M. Politano ↔ R. Orsolini
Italy
🔄
79'
M. Kean ↔ G. Raspadori
Italy
🔄
79'
F. Dimarco ↔ A. Cambiaso
Italy
⚽
81'
G. Raspadori · Assist: D. Frattesi
Italy
⚽
87'
A. Bastoni
Israel
🔄
88'
↔ D. Turgeman
Israel
🔄
88'
M. Retegui ↔ D. Maldini
Italy
⚽
89'
D. Peretz · Assist: S. Jehezkel
Israel
⚽
90'
S. Tonali · Assist: A. Cambiaso
Italy

Israel vs Italy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Israel Win 0%
Draw 0%
Italy Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Israel1.54
Italy2.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Israel Israel
WWDLW
16 GF / 19 GA
Italy Italy
WLDWL
24 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
2.18
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
7
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
9
8.25
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Israel Israel 10 matches
Italy Italy 11 matches
Israel Statistic Italy
4 Wins 6
1 Draws 2
5 Losses 3
16 Goals For 24
19 Goals Against 16
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 2.18
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
7 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
8.25 Shots On Goal 7
17.75 Total Shots 24.67
6.5 Corners 7
55.5% Ball Possession 66%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Israel won 0 times, Italy won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:18 from Israel's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.17 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Israel 4-2-3-1 / Italy 4-4-2
H2H summary: Israel wins 0, draws 0, Italy wins 6

Standings

Group I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 37:5 32 24
W W W W W
2
Italy Away
8 6 0 2 21:12 9 18
L W W W W
3 8 4 0 4 19:20 -1 12
W L L L W
4 8 1 1 6 8:21 -13 4
L D L L L
5 8 0 1 7 5:32 -27 1
L L D L L
Promotion - World Cup
Promotion - World Cup (Promotion)