Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
62.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.3%
|
- |
Ipswich
Middlesbrough
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ipswich
43 matches
Middlesbrough
43 matches
| Ipswich | Statistic | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 20 |
| 12 | Draws | 12 |
| 9 | Losses | 11 |
| 73 | Goals For | 63 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.02 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 36 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.98 | Shots On Goal | 4.79 |
| 15.3 | Total Shots | 15.93 |
| 5.86 | Corners | 6.86 |
| 56.6% | Ball Possession | 59.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Middlesbrough seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Middlesbrough. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ipswich expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Middlesbrough in 4-2-2-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Middlesbrough having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Ipswich come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 75 points after 41 matches. The return of 21 wins, 12 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 71:40, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Clarke (14 goals), G. Hirst (10 goals), J. Philogene (10 goals), with creative support from L. Davis (4 assists), Conor Chaplin (3 assists), J. Cajuste (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 13 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with W. Burns, D. Button, C. Townsend unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Middlesbrough arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 72 points after 42 matches. The record of 20 wins, 12 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 62:42 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Whittaker (11 goals), Tommy Conway (9 goals), D. Strelec (5 goals), with creative support from H. Hackney (7 assists), M. Whittaker (6 assists), Tommy Conway (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. Although they are without A. Jones, D. Lenihan, H. Hackney, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ipswich won 4 times, Middlesbrough won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from Ipswich's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Ipswich
5
9
8
1
4
6
Lineups
Ipswich
QPR
Ipswich
Southampton
Ipswich
West Brom
Ipswich
Charlton
Ipswich
Portsmouth
Ipswich
Norwich
Ipswich
Birmingham
Ipswich
Millwall
Ipswich
Sheffield Wednesday
Ipswich
Stoke City
Ipswich
Leicester
Ipswich
Hull City
Ipswich
Swansea
Ipswich
Watford
Ipswich
Wrexham
Ipswich
Wrexham
Ipswich
Derby
Ipswich
Preston
Ipswich
Sheffield Utd
Ipswich
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
Celtic
Middlesbrough
Hull City
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
Watford
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
Middlesbrough
Swansea
Middlesbrough
Millwall
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
Charlton
Middlesbrough
QPR
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
Leicester
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
Middlesbrough
Coventry
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Utd
Middlesbrough
Norwich
Ipswich
QPR
Ipswich
Birmingham
Ipswich
Millwall
Ipswich
Leicester
Ipswich
Hull City
Ipswich
Swansea
Ipswich
Preston
Ipswich
Bristol City
Ipswich
Blackburn
Ipswich
Blackpool
Ipswich
Oxford United
Ipswich
Sheffield Wednesday
Ipswich
Stoke City
Ipswich
Coventry
Ipswich
Wrexham
Ipswich
Watford
Ipswich
West Brom
Ipswich
Charlton
Ipswich
Norwich
Ipswich
Portsmouth
Middlesbrough
Celtic
Middlesbrough
Hull City
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
Swansea
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
QPR
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
Coventry
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Utd
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
West Brom
Middlesbrough
Fulham
Middlesbrough
Derby
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
Charlton
Middlesbrough
Hull City
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
Middlesbrough
Leicester
Middlesbrough
Watford
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 |
Ipswich
Home
|
46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
| 3 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 |
Middlesbrough
Away
|
46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|