FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
26.07.2026 12:00
Veritas Stadium
Referee: Oliver Reitala, Finland
Inter Turku
Match Timeline
Gnistan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
A. Akinyemi · Assist: J. Latonen
Gnistan
🟥
45'
Ilari Kangasniemi
Inter Turku
45'
J. Latonen
Gnistan
🔄
46'
J. Laine ↔ A. Conteh
Inter Turku
52'
A. Conteh
Inter Turku
🔄
57'
J. Latonen ↔ R. Eremenko
Gnistan
🔄
57'
A. Akinyemi ↔ D. Perez
Gnistan
🔄
61'
S. Saarinen ↔ J. Niska
Inter Turku
🟨
66'
Saku Ylätupa
Gnistan
🔄
73'
J. Botue ↔ J. Tuominen
Inter Turku
🔄
73'
L. Essomba ↔ L. Kuittinen
Inter Turku
🔄
85'
C. Jephta ↔ V. Ulundu
Inter Turku
🔄
85'
E. Arko-Mensah ↔ B. Dahlstrom
Gnistan
🔄
90'
S. Ylatupa ↔ S. Eremenko
Gnistan

Inter Turku vs Gnistan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.9%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Inter Turku Win 57.9%
Draw 7.8%
Gnistan Win 34.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter Turku1.32
Gnistan1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Turku Inter Turku
WWDLW
30 GF / 20 GA
Gnistan Gnistan
WLDWL
30 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.36
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
12
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
9
1.76
Shots on Goal
3.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Turku Inter Turku 23 matches
Gnistan Gnistan 22 matches
Inter Turku Statistic Gnistan
11 Wins 8
9 Draws 5
3 Losses 9
30 Goals For 30
20 Goals Against 30
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
12 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 18
8 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 6
1.76 Shots On Goal 3.38
4.82 Total Shots 9.81
2.24 Corners 3
25.8% Ball Possession 38.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Inter Turku expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Gnistan in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gnistan having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gnistan.

Inter Turku Analysis

Inter Turku arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 30 points after 15 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 23:12 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Clinton Jephta (1 goals), Alie Conteh (1 goals), J. Yli-Kokko (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Gnistan Analysis

Gnistan sit 6 with 25 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 25:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Akinyemi (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Inter Turku won 7 times, Gnistan won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:15 from Inter Turku's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: Inter Turku 4-3-3 / Gnistan 3-4-3
H2H summary: Inter Turku wins 7, draws 3, Gnistan wins 4

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W L W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W W D L
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W L L W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L W L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W W L D W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
D D W D W
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
L L L W L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
D L L D W
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
L L L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
W W W L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)